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Investors assess data and Powell's comments as they lower the dollar and stocks

The dollar and global shares both fell for the ninth consecutive session on Tuesday as investors analyzed a torrent of U.S. data and Jerome Powell's comments to determine the timing of interest rate cuts.

Powell said that he couldn't say whether July was too soon for a rate reduction, but "it will depend on the data and we go meeting by meeting".

According to CME's FedWatch Tool, market expectations for a cut in July have increased to 21,2% from 18,6% the previous session.

The Dow Jones advanced on Wall Street but the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Nasdaq retreated to record lows after a fall of over 5% by Tesla. This was due to the threat of U.S. president Donald Trump of cutting off billions in federal subsidies for Elon Musk's businesses.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 227.77, or 0.52% to 44,322.06, while the S&P 500 dropped 19.78, or 0.32% to 6,185.17, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 181.49, or 0.89% to 20,190.00.

MSCI's global stock index dropped 1.69 points or 0.18 percent to 916.20, while the pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.3%. Concerns about the impact of tariffs and the global economy were reignited as the deadline of July 9 neared.

According to the Institute for Supply Management, U.S. manufacturing data for June showed that the industry was still in contraction territory.

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report showed that the number of openings had increased by 374,000, to 7.769 millions, on the last day in May. However, a decrease in hiring suggested the market might have slowed.

Brian Jacobsen is the chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, based in Menomonee falls, Wisconsin. "Despite the large increase in job openings, the economy remains stuck in Powell's equilibrium, which states that there are no new hires and no firings."

It's not stable and the ISM Manufacturing data may indicate a weaker employment market this summer.

Investors are closely watching the key government payrolls data due out on Thursday, a day sooner than usual because of the Independence Day holiday. This report will help to shape their expectations about rate cuts by the Fed.

After the data, U.S. Treasury rates reversed their course and rose. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased by 2.9 basis points to 4.25%.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve has risen 4.3 basis points, to 3.764%.

The markets were also waiting for a resolution on Trump's tax cut and spending legislation that the Senate Republicans in the United States were battling to pass.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose by 0.09%, to 96.85. The euro fell 0.08%, at $1.1776. The pound fell 0.17%, to $1.3709.

The dollar fell 0.34% against the Japanese yen to 143.52. The Bank of Japan’s tankan business sentiment index showed that the largest economies in the region are likely to weather the tariff storm at least for now. A separate survey of the private sector revealed the manufacturing sector in Japan expanded for the first time since 13 months in June.

U.S. crude climbed 0.48%, to $65.42 per barrel. Brent rose 0.27% to $66.92 a barrel.

(source: Reuters)