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The 300 kg gem found in the presidential palace of Madagascar was shown by the military ruler
Madagascar's interim President, who took power on the island nation in the Indian Ocean last month, unveiled a gem weighing 300 kg (661 pounds) that he claimed was found in the Presidential Palace. The Ambohitsorohitra State Palace, in Antananarivo's capital, Antananarivo, showed the dark boulder streaked with green crystal on Tuesday night. Expert analysis is still needed to determine the size and grade of the emerald that's embedded in the stone. Colonel Michael Randrianirina said, "This is an asset for the nation," as he stood next to the find. He promised "complete transparency" and said that "it might be sold". He did not give any details about how, when, and where the stone had been found. All he said was "we discovered this incredible treasure upon arrival" and that "we don't know why it was transported here". Carl Andriamparany, Mines Minister of Madagascar, called it a collector’s dream. He said that an emerald in its natural matrix was rare. Officials have not found a stone with a similar matrix documented anywhere in Madagascar. The government announced that the proceeds of a sale will go to the state treasury. (Reporting and writing by Lovasoa Rabary; Editing by Bate Felis and Alison Williams).
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Bangladesh court stops arbitration with India’s Adani Power for dues
The Bangladesh High Court halted arbitral proceedings on Wednesday between India's Adani Power and Bangladesh's power board over disputes regarding power supply payments. The Bangladesh Power Development Board and the company led by Indian billionaire Gautam Adian have been in dispute over unpaid electricity bills as part of an agreement that both parties signed in 2017. Adani and BPDB decided early this month to use an international arbitration process in order to settle disputes regarding Bangladesh's electricity supply payments. The court announced on Wednesday that arbitration would be suspended until a report is received from a committee formed by the high court to investigate fairness and any possible irregularities of the agreement between Bangladesh's government and Adani Group. Last year, the Bangladesh High Court ordered that a group of experts examine the contract between Adani and Bangladesh. Adani Power provides electricity from its 1,600 megawatt coal-fired Godda power station in eastern India. This plant meets almost a tenth the power needs of Bangladesh. Abdul Qayyum told reporters that if Adani begins arbitration proceedings in Singapore before the report is released, the investigation would be of no value. In December, the interim government of Bangladesh accused Adani for breaching the power-purchase agreement by refusing tax benefits to the Godda Plant that India had provided. Adani received a tariff from Bangladesh of 14,87 takas ($0.1220), per unit, during the fiscal period ending June 30, 2024. This was higher than the average 9.57 takas for power supplied by Indian companies. A spokesperson for the Adani Group said that the company had yet to review the court order. However, according to the agreement, any dispute between the parties must be resolved by the Singapore International Arbitration Centre which is outside the jurisdiction of Bangladeshi courts. BPDB didn't immediately respond to a comment request. Reporting by RumaPaul and SethuramanNR; Editing Maju Samuel
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Israeli airstrikes kill ten Palestinians in Gaza - a shivering ceasefire, say medics
Health authorities reported that Israeli airstrikes in Gaza killed 10 Palestinians on Wednesday, in an area under Hamas' control. The attacks occurred in a region of the Gaza Strip where a fragile ceasefire was in effect since October. Two people were reported dead in Shejaia, a suburb to the east of Gaza City. Four more died in Zeitoun, a nearby suburb. Four Palestinians were killed in a third airstrike in Mawasi, west of Khan Younis. Israel's military claimed that its forces had struck Hamas militants in Gaza who had fired at its troops, violating the ceasefire of nearly six weeks. No Israeli forces were hurt. The fragility of the truce has been demonstrated by repeated shooting incidents. Israel and Hamas are trading blame over what they both claim is a violation of the U.S. broker truce. This is the first step in President Donald Trump's plan to create a postwar Gaza. According to witnesses, medics and Palestinian media, all three attacks went beyond the imaginary "yellow lines" that were agreed upon between areas under Israeli control and Palestinian control. The Zeitoun attacks targeted a building owned by a muslim religious authority and the Khan Younis attacks targeted a U.N. run club. Both of these clubs housed displaced families. The ceasefire on October 10, which ended the two-year Gaza War, has helped to ease the conflict and allowed hundreds of thousands to return to Gaza. Israel has withdrawn troops from city positions and increased aid flows. Violence has not stopped completely. Palestinian health officials say Israeli forces killed 290 in Gaza strikes since the truce. Nearly half of those deaths occurred in one day, last week, when Israel retaliated against an attack on their troops. Israel claims that it has killed three soldiers since the ceasefire started and targeted scores of militants. (Reporting and editing by Nidal Al-Mughrabi, Howard Goller)
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Gold prices rise on demand for safe-haven assets ahead of US data
The gold price rose on Wednesday as investors sought out the safe haven asset in anticipation of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes to be released later that day. This was also due to delayed U.S. Employment data on Thursday. At 11:25 am, spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,081.15 an ounce. ET (1625 GMT) after climbing more than 1% earlier in session. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery gained 0.4%, to $4.081.50 an ounce. There's a safe-haven buy going on right now .... Bob Haberkorn, RJO Futures' market strategist, said that the (job) figures have been slightly softer and there is jitter in the equity markets. The global stock market stabilized Wednesday after another sell-off driven by fears over AI valuations. However, the mood is cautious as we await what could be a make-or break earnings report from chip giant Nvidia this week and U.S. job data. The Federal Reserve will release its minutes from the October meeting at 2 pm ET today. Today, policymakers will be able to clarify their stance on a possible rate cut. At the meeting, the central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis point. However, Chair Jerome Powell warned against further rate cuts in this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that traders now expect a 49% probability of a rate reduction, as opposed to the 46% they saw earlier in the session. Gold that does not yield tends to perform well in low interest rate environments and times of economic uncertainty. The release of the September job report, which was delayed because of the U.S. shutdown of government, is also expected on Thursday. This will provide an early indication of the economic health. The September employment report is expected to show that 50,000 new jobs were created during the month, according to economists polled. Data showed that in mid-October, the number of Americans who received unemployment benefits reached a record high. Other than that, silver spot rose by 1.1%, to $51.26 an ounce. Platinum increased by 0.9%, to $1.549.10 and palladium dropped 0.8%, to $1.389.45. (Reporting and editing by Alexandra Hudson in Bengaluru)
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Bangladesh court stops arbitration with India’s Adani Power for dues
The Bangladesh High Court halted arbitral proceedings on Wednesday between India's Adani Power and Bangladesh's power board over disputes regarding power supply payments. The Bangladesh Power Development Board and the company led by Indian billionaire Gautam Adian have been in dispute over unpaid electricity bills as part of an agreement that both parties signed in 2017. Adani and BPDB decided early this month to use an international arbitration process in order to settle disputes regarding Bangladesh's electricity supply payments. The court announced on Wednesday that arbitration would be suspended until a report is received from a committee formed by the high court to investigate fairness and any possible irregularities of the agreement between Bangladesh's government and Adani Group. Last year, the Bangladesh High Court ordered that a group of experts examine the contract between Adani and Bangladesh. Adani Power provides electricity from its 1,600 megawatt coal-fired Godda power station in eastern India. This plant meets almost a tenth the power needs of Bangladesh. Abdul Qayyum told reporters that if Adani begins arbitration proceedings in Singapore before the report is released, the investigation would be of no value. In December, the interim government of Bangladesh accused Adani for breaching the power-purchase agreement by refusing tax benefits to the Godda Plant that India had provided. Adani received a tariff from Bangladesh of 14,87 takas ($0.1220), per unit, during the fiscal period ending June 30, 2024. This was higher than the average 9.57 takas for power supplied by Indian companies. Adani Power and BPDB didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. (Reporting and editing by Maju Sam; Sethuraman N R and Ruma Paul)
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Brazil's Lula presses COP30 negotiators to reach an early climate agreement
Brazil's President was scheduled to meet with key negotiators on Wednesday at the COP30 Summit as part of a push to reach a deal before schedule on some the most controversial issues in the global talks on climate change, including fossil fuels. Nearly 200 countries have gathered in the Amazonian city of Belem for a two-week U.N. Summit to increase multilateral action on climate change. The United States was absent, but the United States is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases. Brazil, the host country, hopes to break the trend of recent climate summits that have run past their deadlines by attempting to approve a package on Wednesday and to address the remaining issues on Friday. FRESH DRAFT ESTIMATED ON WEDNESDAY By late morning, the COP30 Presidency had not yet announced a new draft of the original deal. The first version published on Tuesday presented a variety of options that divided opinion. According to Brazilian officials the return of President Luiz inacio Lula da Silveira to the conference gave the talks a new political boost. He was to meet with key negotiators and U.N. secretary-general Antonio Guterres. Brazil and 80 other nations that support it want to come to an agreement to help spur action in 2023 on the agreement made at the COP28 for a transition away from fossil-fuels. But the idea of creating an action plan to guide this transition has been rejected so far by others, Andre Correa do Lago, Brazil's COP30 president, said on Tuesday. VANUATU: 'WE HAVE BLOCKERS' Vanuatu, a Pacific island nation, Vanuatu’s climate minister Ralph Regenvanu said Saudi Arabia was among those who were opposed. Saudi Arabia didn't immediately respond to requests for comments. Regenvanu stated, "I believe it will be very difficult... because we have blockers." The package also includes a number of other contentious issues, including how wealthy countries will finance poorer countries' switch to clean energy and what needs to be done to close the gap between emissions reductions promised and those required to stop temperature rises. The poorer countries, who are already suffering from the effects of global warming, rally for a strong result. We want ambition in finance. "We want ambition on adaption. "We want to see ambitious plans for the transition," Jiwoh Abdulai said, Sierra Leone’s climate minister. "We want to make sure that we are living on a sustainable path, not only for our generation but also for future generations." Five sources said that plans to launch a U.N. supported global market to trade carbon offset credits have hit a snag due to disagreements between governments over funding. (Additional reporting by William James, Editing by Richard Valdmanis, Alison Williams.)
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Gold gains 1% as demand for safe-havens increases ahead of US data
Gold prices rose over 1% Wednesday as investors sought out the safe haven asset in anticipation of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes to be released later that day. Also, the delayed U.S. jobs data for Thursday was a factor. At 9:36 am, spot gold rose 1.2% to $4,116.26 an ounce. ET (1436 GMT). U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery gained 1.3% to $4117.10 an ounce. There's a safe haven buy-in going on right now .... Bob Haberkorn, RJO Futures' market strategist, said that the (job) figures have been slightly softer and there is a jitter in the equity markets. The global shares stabilised on Wednesday after another selloff sparked by fears over AI valuations. However, the mood was cautious as investors awaited what could be a make-or break earnings report from chip giant Nvidia, and U.S. job data later this week. Data showed that on Tuesday, the number of Americans who received unemployment benefits reached a two-month-high in mid-October. The Federal Reserve will release its minutes of the October meeting at 2 pm. Today, policymakers will be able to clarify their stance on a possible rate cut. At the meeting, the central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis point. However, Chair Jerome Powell warned against further rate cuts in this year. Gold that does not yield tends to perform well in low interest rate environments and times of economic uncertainty. The release of the September job report, which was delayed because of the U.S. shutdown of government, is also expected on Thursday. This will provide a preliminary gauge of the economy's health. The September employment report is expected to show that 50,000 new jobs were created during the month, according to economists polled. The CME FedWatch tool shows that traders now expect a 51% probability of a rate reduction, up from 46% in the earlier session. FEDWATCH Other than that, silver spot rose 2.3%, to $51.87 an ounce. Platinum increased 1.3%, to $1.544.80. Palladium dropped 0.5%, to $1.396.50. (Reporting and editing by Alexandra Hudson in Bengaluru)
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Indian state regulator delays Adani's power deal over cost issues
A filing on Wednesday revealed that the power regulator in Uttar Pradesh, northern India, has deferred approval of an Adani Group coal power project worth $2 billion due to a lack of clarity about costs. This was six months after its announcement. Adani Power won in May a contract for the supply of 1,500 megawatts from a coal-fired plant in Uttar Pradesh, at a cost of 5.38 rupees per unit ($0.0638). Lack of clarity on costs is due to a July decision by the Indian Government to relax rules for certain coal plants that install equipment which would remove sulfur dioxide while burning coal. Coal plant operators are expected to save billions of rupees through the easing of regulations. In an order, the state power regulator stated that Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation failed to provide their own analysis of cost savings or savings resulting from the non-installation of the equipment. The commission ordered the state utility to add Adani Power as a party in the case, and to submit detailed cost assessments to the commission within two weeks. The case will now be heard on December 18. In its previous hearing, held in September, the regulator stated that the utility had to have notified the commission of any changes in fixed charges and operating costs resulting from the fact that the equipment was no longer required. The utility also claimed that it should have evaluated the impact of the revised rates for goods and services taxes on coal as part of the power supply contract. Indian state electricity distribution companies are signing long-term agreements with coal-fired generators in order to meet an expected surge in evening demand. This is despite efforts by the country to increase its clean energy capacity. (Reporting and editing by Shreya Biwas; Sethuraman N.R.)
Markets in H1 - Down with the dollar and up with guns
Investors knew that after Donald Trump's radical election promises, markets would be bumpy in 2018, as he returns to lead the largest economy of the world. The dollar's dramatic drop was not predicted by anyone, but it has been a surprise to many.
Many key markets will look calm if you simply run through the numbers of the year without tracking their journey.
The VIX is barely moving, and world stocks are at records highs.
Look closer, and you'll see that all these markets have experienced extreme swings in the last six-month period - including the dollar.
The reserve currency of the world is down by over 10%. This is the biggest drop in the first half since the advent of free-floating currency in the early 1970s. Gold, on the other hand, has seen its largest rise in the last 25 years.
Vincent Mortier is chief investment officer of Amundi Asset Management, Europe's largest asset management company. He attributes this to Trump's "Big Beautiful" fiscal plan, which will keep the U.S. debt at $36.2 trillion and the deficit at 6-7 percent.
The U.S. dollar is expected to continue falling, but more slowly, according to Mortier.
The struggles of the "Magnificent 7" tech giants have also been eye-catching. The "Magnificent Seven" have been the cash cows of portfolios for many years. However, this year they have been left in dust by a 20% rise in Chinese competitors and a nearly 70% increase in European weapon makers.
Trump is also responsible for the latter action. Trump's signal that the U.S. would scale back Europe’s military protection forces the region, and other NATO member states to rearm.
The $140 trillion global bonds market was initially intrigued by Germany's historic proposal to overhaul its self-imposed credit brake in order to allow higher defense spending, but long-term U.S. borrowing costs and record-high Japanese interest rates have driven the majority of moves since.
Most people outside of the US will have lost money on benchmark U.S. bonds this year.
In May, the 30-year Treasury yields soared to their highest level since 2007, but they are now back down at 4.8%. Switzerland's interest rates were also lowered to zero in this month.
ARE YOU READY FOR A GREAT ROTATION?
Dollar's fall has also led to a 12.5% increase in the euro, a nearly 8% rise in the Japanese yen and a 13.5% increase in the Swiss franc. The dollar's slump has given emerging markets the chance to shine.
Trump's reengagement with Russian President Vladimir Putin helped the rouble soar by 40%. However, it is still heavily restricted by Western Sanctions and lags behind the cedi's 42% decline in Ghana's gold-producing country.
Eastern Europe's currencies, such as the Hungarian forint, Czech crown, and Polish zloty are all 13-17% stronger. Taiwan's dollar rose 8% in two days only last month, and Mexico's peso as well as emerging market currency debts are all enjoying double-digit growth for the year despite the trade war trauma.
Pramol Dhawan is PIMCO’s head of emerging markets portfolio management. He said that the capital shift from U.S. assets to emerging and other market assets was the largest in the past two decades.
"We still believe we are at the beginning of this."
The bottom of the FX list includes familiar currencies like the peso from Argentina and the lira from Turkey. The Turkish lira is down by nearly 11%, and a lot of this happened after the main political opponent of Turkish President Tayyip Erdoan was arrested in March.
As usual, Bitcoin has been volatile. Bitcoin soared almost 20% after Trump's election, then fell nearly 30% as his plans to create a U.S. crypto reserve were not well received. It has now spent the past three months clawing back all of that money.
The price of oil has also fluctuated. Oil prices have also fluctuated. In April, they fell 30% to under $60 per barrel after Trump's tariff plan fueled global recession fears. But this month, when Israel and the U.S. attacked Iran, it briefly rose above $80.
Good as Gold
Copper defied global economic worries and jumped 11%. However, it is the precious metals which have shone. Silver and gold are neck-and-neck, both up 24%. Platinum is up almost 50%, after a series of 10-year highs.
It won't leave much time to take a breather in the second half. Trump wants his "Big Beautiful Bill", which he calls the "Big Beautiful Bill", to be passed through Congress before Independence Day, July 4, while his global trade war ceasefire ends five days later.
As the deadline nears, and there has been little progress in establishing mutually agreed baseline levies, it is unclear how long the markets will remain numb.
(source: Reuters)