Latest News

Dollar slips as stocks fall on US-China standoff

Dollar slips as stocks fall on US-China standoff

The dollar fell to its highest monthly level in years on Tuesday, as investors prepared for the impact of the trade war.

The tariffs imposed by Donald Trump have shaken the confidence in U.S. assets. Even though the S&P 500 has recovered much of the early April losses it suffered, the dollar is only able to maintain its current level, with no significant rebound.

The situation deteriorated overnight after U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent said on CNBC that it was up to China to "de-escalate the tariffs", which are currently at 125%, for most U.S. Exports to China.

The Asia session was dominated by a holiday in Japan, which kept most currency pairs at the same level. The euro's rise to $1.1409, up 5%, is its biggest monthly gain in 15 years.

Nikkei, S&P 500 and Dow futures rose, aided by officials who hinted at a easing of automotive tariffs. However, investors were still waiting for a more significant relief from the 145% U.S. Tariffs on China.

China has made some concessions, but has not yet introduced any stimulus measures. They are hoping that Washington will blink first.

China's Foreign Ministry also stated that President Xi Jinping has not spoken with Trump in recent times, nor have their respective administrations tried to reach a tariff agreement, contrary to the U.S. President's claim made in an interview to Time magazine.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 0.3% in the early trading and mainland blue chips index fell by 0.2%.

J.P. Morgan analysts stated in a report that the first-quarter GDP figures and the April U.S. job numbers due later this week will likely be supported by purchases made in advance to avoid the new taxes. However, a decline in China shipments indicates a reckoning could be coming soon.

In a recent note, J.P. Morgan analysts said that the clock was ticking for hard data resilience. They highlighted a 42% drop in China's shipments to the U.S. from peak to trough in the last 10 days. This, if it continued, would have a ripple effect on supply chains.

"A worrying decoupling between U.S. and China trade appears to be underway. We expect the damage will increase in the coming weeks and month."

Investors will also be watching the results of the Canadian election, which is expected to bring the Liberals back to power. Inflation readings in Europe are due, starting with Spain and Belgium on Tuesday.

After a massive outage that brought Spain and Portugal to an absolute standstill, power started to return to some parts of the Iberian Peninsula late Monday.

HSBC, BP, Deutsche Bank and Coca-Cola will all be reporting their quarterly results on the same day, as well as Adidas, Coca-Cola and Visa.

Apple, Microsoft and Meta Platforms will report their mega-caps in the coming week.

Gold was trading at $3,333 per ounce on February, an increase of nearly 7% over April, and almost 27% so far this year. Brent crude fell a little to $65.68 per barrel.

Treasuries weren't traded in Asia due to the holiday in Japan, leaving 10-year benchmark yields at 4,206%. Futures were largely unchanged.

(source: Reuters)