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Stocks rally in relief after Trump suspends tariffs

On Thursday, global stocks rose, the dollar recovered its footing and the manic bond saleoff stabilized after U.S. president Donald Trump announced he would temporarily reduce the heavy duties he just imposed on several countries.

After a market crash that wiped trillions from global stocks, and sent U.S. Treasury Bonds and the dollar tumbling, Trump announced on Wednesday a 90-day suspension of many of his new duties in an unexpected reversal.

Overnight, Wall Street's "Magnificent 7" stocks soared again. Their market value grew by more than $1.5 trillion. S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index posted their largest daily percentage gains for more than a decade.

The U.S. Futures market turned lower Thursday with Nasdaq futures dropping 0.7% and S&P500 futures down by 0.3%.

In the previous session, the dollar recorded its biggest one-day gain against the yen and the Swiss franc since five years. The dollar lost some of its gains on Thursday in Asia, reflecting market uncertainty about the longer-term outlook as well as the Sino/U.S. Trade War showing no signs of abating.

Khoon Goh is the head of Asia Research at ANZ. He said: "I believe the initial move was simply massive short covering, and this gave the world a little breathing space. Except for China. Because markets started to price the worst-case scenarios."

The markets are likely to figure out what to do next now that the dust is settled.

Investors in Asia were still elated by the temporary tariff relief. Japan's Nikkei soared by 8% while European futures jumped.

The DAX and EUROSTOXX50 futures each rose by about 8%. FTSE futures jumped 5.5%.

Trump's decision to reverse the tariffs on specific countries is not final. The White House announced that a 10% blanket duty will continue to be applied to almost all U.S. imported goods. This announcement does not seem to affect existing duties on steel, aluminium and autos.

He said he would also increase the tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%, which came into effect Wednesday.

China raised the additional duties on American goods to 84% on Wednesday and imposed restrictions against 18 U.S. firms, mostly in defense-related industries.

The Chinese equity market opened strong on Thursday with the CSI300 blue chip index up 1.6%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 3.3%.

Wong Kok Hoong is the head of Maybank's equity sales trading.

The China + 1 route is still intact. "As the tariffs on the rest of world are 10% for 90 days and companies/businesses will have the time/alternatives necessary to adjust their supply chain routes."

The yuan's move painted a very different picture. It fell to its lowest level since December 2007, at 7,3518 per dollar.

The People's Bank of China set the midpoint, or the rate at which the yuan can trade within a 2% range, prior to the market opening. This is the lowest since September 11, 2023.

SELL BONDS

The steep drop in bond prices this week showed signs of slowing down on Thursday.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury rate dropped to 4.2889% after reaching a high of 4.515% in the previous session. It also rose by 13 basis points.

Fears of fragility on the world's largest bond market were reignited by a violent U.S. Treasury sale in previous sessions. The "sprint for cash" in COVID era was reminiscent.

Lawrence Gillum is the chief fixed income analyst at LPL Financial. He said that Treasury yields are continuing to rise because of "sticky inflation, a patient Federal Reserve, potential foreign buyer boycotts and hedge fund deleveraging."

The minutes of the Fed's March meeting were released on Wednesday. They showed that policymakers are not going to rush to cut interest rates because they believe higher tariffs will boost inflation. However, they also worry about Trump's trade policies affecting economic growth.

The markets are now pricing just 80 basis points in rate reductions by December. This is down from over 100 basis points earlier in the week.

Investors worried about the rising Sino-U.S. tensions caused oil prices to fall elsewhere.

Spot gold continued to climb, and it was up by 0.5% last at $3.097.52 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)