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Dollar falls on US trade policy concerns; Nvidia has little impact on stocks

Investors weighed the prospects for tariffs, the economy and President Trump's policies as they assessed the dollar's performance in the early Asian hours of Thursday.

Asian stocks were mixed, with tech shares in the region receiving little boost from Nvidia, the AI darling and heavyweight U.S. chipset maker.

As trade war fears kept the market sentiment fragile, bitcoin, the cryptocurrency, remained below $85,000. Gold as a safe-haven remained steady at about $40 below its previous record high.

Trump lowered the prospects for levies against Canada and Mexico, two of his top trading partners, by announcing that they would go into effect on April 2. This would be a month-long delay.

A White House official said that the March 2, 2012 deadline for levies was still in effect, "as of now", causing further confusion about U.S. Trade Policy.

The yield on the two-year Treasury bill in the United States has risen to 4.09% after a drop to its lowest level since November 1, at 4.065%, the previous session. The 10-year yield increased to 4.2772%, from a low on Wednesday of 4.245%. This was a 2-1/2 month trough.

Dollar and U.S. Yields have been under pressure over the past few weeks due to a combination of weak economic indicators combined with concerns about growth arising from Trump’s tariffs.

In recent days, traders have increased their bets on Federal Reserve interest rates being cut. They now see two quarter-point cuts this year. The first is likely to happen in July, and the second as early as October.

The markets will be looking for signs of a slowdown in the GDP and durable order data that are due Thursday, as well as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditure rate (PCE). This is due Friday.

"Markets have started to lose confidence in U.S. economic growth," Shoki Omori said, Mizuho Securities' chief global desk analyst.

Omori stated that 10-year Treasury yields will not fall below 4% as long as inflation remains "sticky" and economists begin to adjust their predictions towards a weaker outcome. In the equities market, Japan's Nikkei index rose just 0.1%. Australia's benchmark index increased by 0.5%. South Korea's Kospi fell 0.7%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose by 0.9%. Tech shares led the way, while blue chips on mainland China gained 0.2%. Taiwan's shares rose 0.2%.

U.S. Nasdaq Futures were unchanged after a 0.3% increase in the regular session over night, and S&P500 futures also remained stable following the cash index ending the day flat.

Nvidia's shares fell 1.5% during extended trading after a 3.7% gain in regular trading Wednesday. The chipmaker released a positive growth forecast after the closing bell. Investors are used to the company's big wins.

Analyst Jun Rong Yeap of IG said that Nvidia's earnings were much more stable than expected.

Yeap stated that the lack of major surprises could have contributed to the relative calmness.

"Sellers might find fault with the slight decline in gross margin, but... note that it stems from newer products for data centres - ultimately beneficial to long-term growth."

Bitcoin remained at $84,742 after a drop of more than 11% so far in this week.

Gold was little altered at $2,912 an ounce.

Crude oil has risen from the two-month lows that it reached following an unexpected buildup in U.S. stockpiles of fuel.

Brent crude rose 0.26%, to $72.72 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Futures rose 0.23% to $68,78.

(source: Reuters)