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Markets prepare for Trump tariffs and US inflation data

The global stock market stabilized on Friday following a volatile week, thanks to the introduction of a Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model that is low-cost. Investors braced themselves for U.S. Tariffs against Canada and Mexico starting as early as this Saturday.

Apple's relatively strong sales forecasts overnight helped to support the market sentiment. European stocks rose 0.4% early in trading while Wall Street futures rose between 0.4 to 0.7%.

Investors reacted badly to the AI model of Chinese firm DeepSeek on Monday, sending shares in high-profile technology names like Nvidia and Oracle plummeting.

The tech stocks have recovered some of their losses. Microsoft and Meta CEOs defended their massive expenditures to remain competitive in the AI sector.

Investors are also focused on the looming threat of U.S. President Donald Trump to impose 25% tariffs on Mexico, Canada and other countries. This has helped boost the dollar and gold prices and put pressure on the Mexican peso as well as the Canadian dollar.

Michael Nizard is the multi-asset Chief Investment Officer at Edmond de Rothschild.

He said that markets are undervaluing the risks associated with Trump's tariffs. Europe may be his next target.

After the Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged on Wednesday, the U.S. inflation figures due on Friday will be closely scrutinised to determine the direction of interest rates.

The data released on Thursday indicated that the U.S. economy slowed down in the fourth-quarter, but was still robust enough to allow investors to expect the Fed will only lower rates gradually this year.

The U.S. Dollar Index was up last 0.1% for the day, and is on track to gain 0.7% on a weekly basis.

As expected, the European Central Bank cut rates on Thursday. The market expects the Bank of England to follow suit next Monday. Both the euro and the sterling fell slightly on Friday.

The yen last traded in Japan at 154.71 dollars. Recent yen gains are due to expectations of more rate hikes from the BOJ in this year. Ryozo Himino, the BOJ's Deputy Governor, said that the BOJ would continue to increase rates if prices and the economy move in accordance with central bank forecasts.

Gold rose to a record of $2,800.99, and was flat for the day.

Brent crude futures fell 0.3% to $76.7 per barrel. U.S. crude oil futures fell 0.2% to $72.62 per barrel.

The stock markets of mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan were closed to celebrate the Lunar New Year. The MSCI Asia-Pacific broadest index outside Japan fell 0.1% but is still on track for a gain of about 1% this month.

(source: Reuters)