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US and China to hold trade talks on June 9 in London
Three of Donald Trump's closest aides are scheduled to meet their Chinese counterparts on Monday in London for talks on resolving a trade conflict between the two world's largest economies, which has been causing global markets to be on edge. U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent will be represented by the U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Grer, Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick, and the U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer in the talks. Trump announced the talks on his Truth Social platform, but did not provide any further details. The identity of the China representative was not immediately known. The Chinese Embassy in Washington didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. Trump wrote that "the meeting should go well." The meeting is scheduled a day after Trump called Chinese President Xi Jinping, in a rare call between leaders amid weeks of brewing tensions over trade and a fight over vital minerals. Trump and Xi have agreed to meet and their staffs will hold discussions in the interim. Both countries face pressure to ease tensions. The global economy is under pressure due to China's control of rare earth minerals, for which it is the leading producer. Investors are also concerned about Trump’s efforts to impose tariffs across the board on products from the majority of U.S. trading partner nations. China has also seen the supply of important U.S. products like chip-designing software cut off. On May 12, the countries reached a 90-day agreement in Geneva, to reverse some of their triple-digit, tit for tat tariffs that they had imposed on each other after Trump's inauguration. The preliminary agreement sparked an international relief rally on stock markets. U.S. indices that were in or near bear-market levels have recovered the majority of their losses. Although stocks rose, the temporary agreement did not address the broader concerns straining the bilateral relationship. These range from the illicit fentanyl traffic to the democratically-governed Taiwan, and U.S. complaints against China's export-driven, state-dominated economic model. Trump, since returning to the White House, has threatened a variety of punitive actions against trading partners. However, he has retracted some of these measures at the last moment. This on-again-off-again strategy has confused world leaders and scared business executives. Beijing views mineral exports in the United States as a way to exert political pressure. If economic growth slows down because companies are unable to produce mineral-powered products, this could lead to domestic political pressure being placed on President Donald Trump. The United States has identified China in recent years as its most important geopolitical competitor and the only nation capable of challenging the U.S. militarily and economically. (Reporting and editing by Costas Pittas, Anna Driver and Trevor Hunnicutt)
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India and central Asian countries express joint interest in rare earths exploration
In a statement released after the India-Central Asia Dialogue's fourth meeting in New Delhi, India and five countries from central Asia expressed an interest in exploring rare earths together. The announcement coincides with global alarm about China's decision not to export rare earth alloys and mixtures. This has affected industries from automotives to clean energy and defence. India and central Asian countries, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan as well as Uzbekistan, also asked "relevant authorities" to convene the India-Central Asia Rare Earth Forum sooner than the September meeting. The statement added that the sides agreed to meet again in 2026. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 elements, whose main uses include the creation of magnets for motion in cars, cellphones and missiles. China produces 90% of the rare earth magnets in the world and mines 60% of it. However, as part of a sweeping response to U.S. tariffs on imports by President Donald Trump, China announced export restrictions for these rare earth magnets. India has been in talks with companies about establishing long-term stocks of rare earth magnets, offering tax incentives to domestic producers, to reduce its dependence on Chinese shipments, according to a report on Thursday. South Asia also plans to offer incentives to recycle 24 essential minerals. The plan is currently being approved as the nation looks to secure minerals for the green energy transition. (Reporting and writing by Shivam Patel; editing by Alex Richardson, David Evans, and Sakshi Dayal)
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US declares Biden fuel efficiency rules exceed legal authority
The Transportation Department has paved the road for looser fuel economy standards in the United States by declaring on Friday that former President Joe Biden’s administration overstepped its authority when it assumed a high uptake of electrical vehicles to calculate rules. The Department made this declaration when it published its final "Resetting of the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency Program" (CAFE). Fuel economy requirements will be revised by a separate rule issued by the Trump administration. "We make vehicles more affordable in the United States and we are making it easier to manufacture them." In a statement, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said that the previous administration used CAFE standards to mandate electric vehicles. In writing the rule under Biden last year, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration of the Department of Transportation (NHTSA) "assumed that significant numbers of EVs will continue to be manufactured regardless of the standards established by the agency," the department said on Friday. Duffy signed in January an order that directed NHTSA to cancel fuel economy standards set under Biden, for model years 2022-2031. These standards were intended to reduce the fuel consumption of cars and trucks. Late Thursday Senate Republicans have proposed to eliminate fines for failing to meet CAFE standards as part of an extensive tax bill. This is the latest step to make it easier for automakers build gas-powered cars. In 2018, Chrysler's parent company Stellantis, which is owned by Chrysler, paid nearly $400 million in penalties between 2016 and 2019. GM paid $128.2 millions in penalties between 2016 and 2017. Stellantis stated that it backed the Senate Republican proposal, "to provide relief until DOT develops their proposal to reset CAFE standards." The current standards are not in line with the market realities and immediate relief is needed to preserve affordability and freedom. GM has declined to comment. NHTSA, under Biden in June 2024, said that it would increase CAFE requirements for light-duty vehicle to approximately 50.4 miles per liter (4.67 litres per 100 km), from 39.1 mpg at present. Last year, the agency estimated that the rule for cars and trucks could reduce gasoline consumption and emissions by 659 millions metric tons. This would result in a reduction of fuel costs and a net benefit of $35.2 billion. (Reporting and editing by Aidan Lewis, Peter Graff, and David Shepardson)
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Trump approves coal mine expansion for Asia exports
The U.S. The U.S. The Montana-based company can now recover 22.8 million metric tonnes of federal coal, 34.5 millions of adjacent nonfederal coal as well as extend the life of its Bull Mountains mine for nine years. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum is also the co-chairman of Trump's Energy Dominance Council. He said that by unlocking more federally owned coal, it allows the U.S. a chance to strengthen ties with U.S. ally abroad. He said that President Trump's declaration of a national emergency in the energy sector allowed us to act quickly, reduce bureaucratic delays, and secure America’s future by ensuring energy independence and strategic trade. Signal Peak sent its initial plan to expand their mining operations to Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement (OSMRAE) in 2020, but it is currently under federal review and subject to litigation. The Interior Department has completed the environmental impact assessment for the mine expansion in accordance with its new policy, which speeds up such reviews by a maximum 28 days. Burgum joined Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin and Japanese and Korean officials in Alaska this week to promote an LNG and other energy exports destined for Asian market. The Bull Mountains Mine, located in Musselshell County and Yellowstone County, employs more than 250 workers, and supplies primarily Japan and South Korea. Environmental groups have attempted to block the expansion due to concerns over water consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Valerie Volcovici)
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Gold drops as US job data clouds prospects for rate cuts
Gold prices slipped on Friday after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report dampened hopes for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while silver soared to its highest level since 2012. As of 10:45 am, spot gold was down 0.6%, at $3,333.69 per ounce. ET (1445 GMT), and has risen 1.2% in the past week. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.6% to $3356.50. According to a report by the Labor Department, non-farm payrolls rose 139,000 in may, as opposed to estimates of a 130,000 increase, according economists polled. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in line with expectations. The data came in line with expectations, which is negative for gold, as it suggests that the Fed will stay on hold for some time, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Based on the trading of short-term interest rate futures, traders are hesitant to make bets on a Fed third rate reduction by year's-end. Gold is a hedge for inflation and geopolitical unrest. Gold is less attractive as a result of higher interest rates, since it does not yield any return. There was little clarity on trade policy after the call between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese leaders Xi Jinping, which took place on Thursday. These are difficult negotiations that won't be resolved over the phone. Meir said that if the headlines on tariffs turn negative, it's good for gold. After hitting a record high of more than 13 years, spot silver dropped 0.3% to 36.04. Silver's gains "appear to have been driven by speculative flow, who saw it as way too cheap in comparison with gold. The break above the 35/oz mark amplify the move," Giovanni Staunovo said, an analyst at UBS. Palladium, meanwhile, rose 3.4%, to $1,039.78, the highest level since March 20, 22. Platinum also rose 3.4%, to $1168.72. Both metals are expected to see weekly gains.
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Copper prices rise in the near future due to falling LME stocks
Due to concerns about the near-term supply of copper at the London Metal Exchange, due to the falling stock levels in LME registered warehouses, contracts with shorter maturities have been priced higher than those with longer maturity. A month ago, the discounts on nearby LME copper against forwards with longer dates were converted into premiums as COMEX prices continued to be higher than those of the LME. The premium of cash LME copper over benchmark 3-month futures The price of a ton was $75 on Thursday, but it jumped to $93 at the close. This is the highest level in over two years. The discount was $63 back in early April. The backwardation is a sign of some sort of shortage. "Normally, it's in contango," explained Dan Smith of Commodity Market Analytics. The total copper stock in the LME's warehouse system has been reduced by half since mid-February, to 132.400 tons. This is the lowest level in nearly a year. The 54,600 tonnes of available stocks (those not marked for shipment) are the lowest level since July 2023. Alastair Muuro, Senior Base Metals Strategist EMEA at Marex, explained that the sharp movement in the spread was due to new cancellations of LME stocks. He said that the premium was lower on Friday because there were no new major cancellations of title documents, such as warrants. Stocks continued to leave LME registered warehouses. Recent mine supply disruptions, traders diverting metals to the U.S. and Washington's investigation into the possibility of tariffs on imports of copper are fueling fears. Despite the fact that there is not a dominant holder of LME copper warrants (0#LMEWHL>) ahead of expiration of contracts on Wednesday the third of each month, one party had more than 90% of cash copper contracts as of June 4, helping to maintain the premium. 0#LMEWHC> (Reporting and editing by David Evans; Polina Devitt)
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Fuego volcano in Guatemala spewing ash has forced more than 700 people to evacuate
Guatemala's Fuego Volcano emitted ash miles high into the sky on Friday, as authorities evacuated 700 people as a precaution. Seismology agency INSIVUMEH reported that a lava flow was forming around the crater, which is located about 18 km away from Antigua Guatemala. It added that some ash plumes could reach up to 5 km in the air. Authorities have warned of an increase in activity around the active volcanic cone this week. "We evacuated more than 700 people who spent the night in shelters." "We evacuated them out of caution," said disaster agency CONRED on Friday. It added that people had been relocated from nearby Escuintla and Sacatepequez, as well as Chimaltenango. In a Friday evening report, INSIVUMEH reported that a lava stream could be seen stretching for 1.2 kilometers. It said that "this continues to accumulate in a unstable manner around crater, and in the higher parts of the ravines which could collapse and lead to more pyroclastic flow". Fuego is well-known for its regular activity. Fuego's most violent eruption, in June 2018, killed over 200 people. The Central American nation has 37 volcanoes. Many of these are dormant, or even extinct. Reporting by Sofia Menchu; Writing by Aida Pelaez-Fernandez, Editing by Sarah Morland & Andrew Heavens
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Sinomine, China's copper smelter in Namibia is halted due to a global shortage of concentrates.
Sinomine Resource Group, China, announced on Friday that it had temporarily suspended copper smelting at its Tsumeb facility in Namibia. The group cited a shortage in concentrate due to a rapid expansion of smelter capacities worldwide. Sinomine acquired Dundee Precious Metals' Tsumeb Smelter in 2024, which is one of only a few facilities worldwide that can treat copper concentrates containing arsenic or lead. The smelter has the capacity to process up to 240,000 tons of copper concentrate per year. It previously processed metal from Chile, Peru, and Bulgaria. The global copper smelting industry has grown rapidly in the last few years. This has led to a rapid increase in production, which has outpaced demand for the metal, whose use has been boosted in recent times by its use in technologies that generate renewable energy, such as electric vehicles. Sinomine Tsumeb Smelter's CEO Loggan Lou stated in a press release that the increased smelting capacities in major copper producing regions have "resulted a substantial overcapacity". Lou stated that "this has caused a shortage in copper concentrate and placed pressure on smelters around the world, including Tsumeb." Sinomine plans on upgrading the smelter in order to commercially produce multiple metals and minerals. Sinomine announced in September that the Tsumeb Smelter contained 746 metric tonnes of germanium. This mineral is essential for chipmaking and other applications such as solar cells, infrared technologies, fibre optic cables and infrared technology. The smelter also explores the addition of germanium or zinc smelting to the smelter.
The aunt of Trafigura Mongolia's boss was the main partner company
Trafigura’s top executive for Mongolia has been suspended pending an investigation into a fraud scheme worth billions of dollars at the Swiss trading firm. The executive, however, lent more than $500 million from Trafigura to a company owned by his aunt.
Lex Oil is Trafigura’s main counterparty in Mongolia. According to three sources and a document, it belonged to Erdenetuul who is the aunt of Trafigura’s suspended local boss Jononbayar Erdenesuren.
Trafigura announced last October it had suffered a loss of $1.1 billion after an internal investigation found that employees within its Mongolian petroleum product supply business had engaged in "serious misbehavior", such as manipulating documents and data to inflate the amounts paid by Trafigura, and to hide overdue receivables.
Trafigura's principal counterparty, the company stated, owed Trafigura a "substantial portion" of money. However, the company did not identify the counterparty nor any individuals because the investigation continues.
Sources claim that Jononbayar sold and lent hundreds of millions to his aunt's business.
Sources interviewed by Trafigura said that the risk department at Trafigura should have looked into family connections to determine if there were any conflicts of interest. This cast doubts over the level of oversight in one of the largest traders of energy and commodities.
Trafigura has been briefed on the concerns of two banking sources. They are concerned that Trafigura will uncover further fraud.
The reporting was based on the three sources familiar with Trafigura's Mongolia operations. It also included the two banking sources and an undated document issued by the Department of State Registration in Mongolia that showed Lex's ownership information.
A spokesperson for Trafigura said that an external investigation is ongoing. The company refused to respond to questions about the status of an investigation, which staff members have been terminated or suspended, and whether they were aware of Jononbayar’s links with its main trading partner.
According to three sources familiar with Trafigura, Jononbayar joined Trafigura in 2012, as his LinkedIn profile shows.
According to sources familiar with the situation, he is one of a few, unspecified employees who were placed on suspension last year.
Jononbayar's aunt Lex Oil and an attorney for the firm have not responded to comments sent via LinkedIn or by email. I was unable identify the lawyer who represents Jononbayar.
CUSTOMS LINK
The three sources claimed that in addition to Erdenesuren's work at Erdenetuul, Erdenesuren's mother also worked for the Customs General Administration of Mongolia, which supervises fuel imports.
Trafigura was Mongolia's largest fuel supplier by 2014, said the same sources. The sources claim that Erdenesuren was employed by the CGAM risk department from 2014 until 2018.
Erdenesuren or CGAM didn't respond to requests for comments on LinkedIn or via email.
Trafigura did not name any employees when it made its statement on the issue. It said in an October statement that they were taking "appropriate discipline action".
Three sources confirmed that Trafigura's internal investigation found no evidence to support the claim that Lex or Trafigura was treated preferentially by the CGAM.
Trafigura announced in October that it had conducted a review of the risks associated with its global network. It identified locations at higher risk, but did not identify them. The review revealed no significant findings.
SCANDAL EARLIER
The banking sources reported that Trafigura's bank traders were rattled by the $1.1 billion loss in one of the company's smallest markets, particularly as the incident followed a nickel fraud in Singapore, which cost the company nearly $600 million.
Trafigura released very few details regarding the latest incident but determined that the serious misconduct of individuals in Trafigura's Mongolian business occurred between 2019 and 2023.
According to its website and three trading sources, Lex Oil was established in 2019. It formed a partnership Trafigura.
According to two trading sources, Lex received credit for Trafigura, with which it gave credit to local fuel consumers so that they could purchase diesel imported by Trafigura and Lex from Russia and Singapore. Trafigura did not loan money to Lex, according to documents.
In 2020, the COVID pandemic halted Mongolian coal exports to China. This affected the mining sector and its fuel demand. Lex Oil, however, continued to blend fuel and lend to local companies, accumulating debts to Trafigura.
Trafigura reported in its December annual report that it had discovered evidence of "deliberate manipulating of data and documents, and concealing of overdue receivables". In its annual report in December, Trafigura said it had found evidence of "deliberate manipulation of data and documents and concealment overdue receivables".
According to a screenshot from the ownership document, Erdenetuul will sell Lex Oil to Dashnyam chinbat in 2022. He did not reply to a comment request. The records were removed from the website of the government, but the ownership changes are still visible on the non-profit Mongolian database OpenDataLab which tracks government disclosures.
According to a source in the Mongolian government, the new government elected last year has launched an investigation, but it is too early for the findings to be revealed.
Trafigura's annual report stated that the company had "increased its scrutiny" over the past few years.
It said: "We are building and extending on this work urgently." (Reporting Dmitry Zhdannikov; additional reporting Marwa Rashad, editing by Jason Neely).
(source: Reuters)