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Saudi Arabia enhances petroleum share in Asia at Russia's expense: Russell

Saudi Arabia clawed back market share of Asia's crude oil imports in November, while Russia surrendered a few of its barrels in what might be an early sign of a shift in market characteristics.

Asia's imports from Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter, rose to 5.83 million barrels per day (bpd) in November, up from 5.28 million bpd in October, according to data put together by LSEG Oil Research Study.

On the other hand Russia's products to Asia, the top-importing region, dropped to 3.51 million bpd in November, down from October's 3.96 million and the lowest given that January, according to LSEG.

The data show that Asia's imports from Saudi Arabia went up by 550,000 bpd in November, while Russia's dropped by 450,000 bpd.

The swing to Saudi Arabian barrels from Russia came even as the kingdom's state-controlled oil producer, Saudi Aramco , increased the official market price for its crude to Asian consumers for November-loading cargoes.

Aramco's benchmark Arab Light grade was increased by 90 cents a barrel to a premium of $2.20 over the local benchmark Oman/Dubai average for November.

The increase did come after the premium had dropped to the least expensive in nearly three years in October, and was seen at the time of the increase as a reflection that Asia refining margins were recuperating.

The make money from improving a barrel of Dubai crude at a. typical Singapore refinery << DUB-SIN-REF > increased to $6.62 on Nov. 29, and has increased 240% because striking $1.95 on Oct. 10, when the. existing uptrend started.

Regardless of the increase in Aramco's November OSPs,. Saudi crude has become more rate competitive in Asia relative. to other grades, including Russia's Urals, which is the primary. unrefined exported from its western ports.

Money Dubai crude ended at $71.83 a barrel on. Nov. 29, a premium of $4.36 over Russia's Urals << URL-E >, which. closed at 67.47.

This premium is lower than it was for much of the recent. months, when it has actually traded above $5 a barrel.

Russian crude also deals with higher transportation costs, provided the. longer sea trip from Russia's ports in the Baltic to. locations in Asia.

These costs are likewise likely to increase as more sanctions on. Russia's so-called shadow fleet of tankers are embraced, with. Britain enforcing brand-new steps versus 30 vessels recently,. taking the total to 73.

CHINA, INDIA

Russian crude has largely been limited to just two significant. buyers in Asia, China and India, since sanctions were imposed. after Moscow's 2022 intrusion of Ukraine.

China's imports of Russian oil dropped to 2.04 million bpd. in November from 2.19 million in October, while India's slipped. to 1.47 million bpd from 1.75 million.

At the same time China raised its imports of Saudi crude to. 1.68 million bpd in November from 1.62 million in October, while. India saw arrivals of 770,000 bpd from the kingdom, up from. 610,000.

Other Middle Eastern suppliers likewise saw increases in November. imports, which most likely shows the competitiveness of their. crudes versus grades priced versus international benchmark Brent,. such as those from West Africa.

China's imports of Iraqi oil rose to 1.53 million bpd in. November from 1.21 million in October, while those from Oman. raised to 770,000 bpd from 680,000 bpd.

India's arrivals of crude from the United Arab Emirates. increased to 510,000 bpd in November, up from 360,000 bpd in. October, LSEG information shows.

The premium of Brent crude over Dubai << DUB-EFS-1M > reached. an 11-month high of $2.98 a barrel on Aug. 30, around the time. that a number of the November-arriving freights would have been. arranged.

The premium has actually since trended lower, ending at $1.42 a. barrel on Nov. 29, and this constricting might assist exporters such as. Angola and Nigeria restore market share in Asia for cargoes. showing up early next year.

The difficulty for Middle East exporters is to keep their. crudes competitive enough versus other manufacturers so as to. keep, or restore, market share.

This is specifically crucial for them provided Asia's overall. cravings for crude is most likely to drop in 2024 from the previous. year, with imports for the very first 11 months coming in at 26.52. million bpd, down 370,000 bpd from the very same period in 2023.

The views expressed here are those of the author, a writer. .

(source: Reuters)