Latest News

Russian coal exports to Asia battle amidst lower costs: Russell

Russia's. exports of seaborne coal to Asia have actually been compromising in recent. months, with lower shipments of both thermal grades and. metallurgical coal used to make steel.

Exports of all grades of coal were examined by product. analysts Kpler at 8.48 million metric loads in February, slightly. higher than January's 8.37 million.

However, that little boost came after six straight months. of declines, and the February exports were also some 21.6% below. the 10.81 million lots for February 2023.

Coal miners in Russia changed from selling mainly to Europe. to markets in Asia in the wake of Moscow's February 2022. intrusion of Ukraine, which saw Western nations embrace sanctions. versus Russian energy exports.

Russia's seaborne coal exports to Asia peaked at 14.69. million tons in April in 2015, practically double the levels in. months preceding the attack on Ukraine.

Much of the boost came as Russia increased deliveries to. India, the world's second-largest coal importer behind China.

It was able to get market share in India by providing high. discounts, particularly on thermal coal, which is mainly utilized to. generate electrical energy.

But Russian thermal coal is discovering it harder to complete on. cost versus rival grades from Asia's heavyweight exporters. Indonesia and Australia, in addition to South Africa, which is understood. as a swing provider of coal to both Europe and Asia.

Russia's exports of thermal coal to India dropped to 557,935. tons in February, down from 1.06 million in January and the. weakest month given that November 2022, according to Kpler information.

Russian delegates at the Coaltrans India conference, held at. completion of February in the western state of Goa, said it was. becoming harder for them to make any money shipping thermal coal. to India.

One representative of a Russian producer, speaking on. condition of privacy, stated the rising freight costs had. successfully cut profits to zero, and some freights heading to. India were loss-making.

It's not only higher freight costs injuring Russian thermal. coal exports to India, with the costs of contending fuel from. other suppliers also moderating in recent months.

Indonesian coal with an energy material of 4,200 kilocalories. per kg (kcal/kg), as assessed by. product cost reporting company Argus, ended last week at. $ 58.17 a lot.

This grade has actually been selling a relatively narrow range. anchored around $58 a load because November, but it's still well. listed below the 2023 peak of $87.55 in January.

SOFTER COSTS

Australian thermal coal with an energy material of 5,500. kcal/kg, a grade favoured by Indian buyers,. ended last week at $95.77 a lot, down slightly from $96.66 the. previous week.

It has likewise been trading in a relatively narrow range around $93. to $96 a lot since November, and is down 29% from its 2023 high. of $135.29 reached in mid-January.

The softer costs for Australian and indonesian coal suggests. that Russian suppliers have needed to follow suit.

The coal trade in between Russia's European ports and India may. also be more threatened by the attacks on shipping in the Red. Sea by Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi group.

While Russian shipments have not been targeted, shipping. insurance companies and companies have ended up being worried about transiting. the Suez Canal and the Red Sea, with vessels being diverted to. the longer and costlier path around the Cape of Great Hope.

Russia's exports of metallurgical coal to Asia have. been having a hard time, with shipments of 1.73 million lots in February. the most affordable since August 2021 and below 2.32 million in. January.

Russian seaborne exports to Asia of the higher-energy coal. utilized to make steel peaked at 4.47 million tons in March 2023,. and with the exception of June that year they held above 3. million tons a month until November.

Since then Russia's exports to leading buyers India and. China have tailed off, with shipments to India falling to a. 17-month low of 489,207 lots in February, below 1.09 million. in January and a peak of 1.51 million in March in 2015.

Russia's seaborne metallurgical coal exports to China were. 587,751 tons in February, up slightly from January's 576,435,. however these previous 2 months were the weakest because December 2021,. and well below the peak of 2.13 million from March 2023.

The total story for Russian coal exports to Asia is that. Western sanctions reduced the variety of purchasers ready to take. cargoes, and now the decline in costs for competing grades is. making it harder for Russia's miners to beneficially deliver cargoes. to Asia.

The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a columnist. .

(source: Reuters)