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Oracle falls, but stocks mostly rise; US dollar and yields fall on Fed views

The major stock indices rose on Thursday. The Dow and S&P 500 posted?record highs, even though technology shares declined following Oracle's disappointing forecasts, and the dollar and U.S. Bond yields fell. The Nasdaq?ended down, while the Dow?and S&P 500?added to gains made the day before when the Federal?Reserve?cut rates, but gave a more dovish outlook than anticipated. Global stock indexes were also higher. Oracle, the cloud computing giant, reignited fears over astronomical tech valuations after it missed analysts' profit and sales estimates and announced a $15 billion artificial-intelligence overspend. Last week, its shares fell 10.8%. The S&P tech sector also declined. Nvidia, the AI leader, saw its shares fall 1.5%.

SoftBank, a partner of Oracle in the U.S. Stargate project and a partner to Japan's Nikkei index, fell more than 7.5% overnight.

Michael O'Rourke is the chief market strategist of JonesTrading, Stamford, Connecticut.

He said: "Overall, I think the market is doing well, considering how Oracle is trading, and that the AI sector is weaker. But, I do believe investors are being a bit cautious."

Investors focused on the global rate outlook after the Fed cut its benchmark funds rate by 25 basis points, as predicted, to 3.5%-3.75%, in a split decision of 9-3.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell was balanced in a recent press conference. He said that he didn't "think that a rate hike is anyone's baseline case." Interest rate futures now have at least two rate reductions priced in for the next year.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased?646.26 or 1.34% to 48,704.01; the S&P 500 grew 14.32 or 0.21% to 6,901.00, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 60.30 or 0.25% to 23,593.86.

DOLLAR HITS LOWS IN MULTI-MONTH

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 3.17 points or 0.31% to 1,014.91. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.55%. The U.S. Dollar fell, reaching multi-month lows versus the euro, Swiss Franc, and Sterling and extending the losses from the previous day.

Swiss National Bank's decision not to raise interest rates supported the Swiss franc. The dollar fell 0.63% against the Swiss Franc to 0.795 after previously reaching its lowest level since November.

The euro reached its highest level in October 3 with a 0.43% increase at $1.1744. The dollar index fell by 0.27%, measuring the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen, the euro and others.

U.S. Treasury Yields fell for the second consecutive session after the Fed's policy statement.

The?Fed said Wednesday that it will start buying short-dated government securities on Friday. An initial round of around $40 billion Treasury bills is expected. This was earlier than investors had anticipated.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 2.7 basis points, to 4.137% from 4.164% at late Wednesday. The yield ended a streak of four consecutive sessions of gains, the longest in five weeks. The yield on the 2-year note, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates from the Fed, fell 3.9 basis points, to 3.526%. Investors shifted their focus towards the European Central Bank's meeting next week, as the benchmark Bund yield in euro zone hovered at a nine-month peak.

The benchmark yield for the eurozone, Germany's 10-year bond, was down 1.5 basis points at 2.84%. On Wednesday, they reached 2.894%, their highest since mid-March. The difference between U.S. yields and German yields fell to 126.01, the lowest level since June 2023.

Investors shifted their attention back to the Russia-Ukraine talks, which led to a lower oil price. U.S. crude dropped 86 cents and settled at $57.60 per barrel, while Brent declined 93 cents and settled at $61.28. Spot gold increased 1.07%, to $4273.09 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)