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Gold's uptrend is intact but it will need to correct before reaching $4,000 by 2026

Gold's uptrend is intact but it will need to correct before reaching $4,000 by 2026

Gold's spectacular rally to successive records highs is expected to continue for the remainder of the year. However, a healthy correction will be needed before it reaches the $4,000 an ounce milestone, which is set for 2026.

Investors have been prompted to buy gold by strong tailwinds including expectations of monetary easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The long-term bull run in gold looks intact as demand, especially from central banks, and ETFs continues to increase at a faster rate," Renisha chainani, head research at Mumbai refiner Augmont, said on the sidelines at the India Gold Conference, held in New Delhi.

She said, "But gold has reached overbought levels and could see a short-term correction of 5-6% before consolidating again and reaching new highs in 2026 above $4,200."

Gold spot was trading at around $3,680 an ounce on Wednesday, after reaching a session record of $3,689.27. It has gained 40% this year following a 27% increase in 2024.

Nearly all participants in the industry at the conference expected gold's bull market to continue through 2026, based on a decline in U.S. rates of interest, strong demand for investment and geopolitical risk.

Analysts have hedged prices to reach $4,000 by 2026. It's hard to say because the price is rising faster than expected, according to Nicholas Frappell of ABC Refinery, who heads global institutional markets.

At the end of its monetary policy meeting, scheduled for September 17, it is widely expected that the U.S. Central Bank will cut interest rates. Trump has repeatedly criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's slowness and urged the Fed to reduce rates.

Gold is a popular hedge against geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties. It also flourishes in an environment of low interest rates.

Metals Focus' managing director, Philip Newman, said that gold prices have not been in this range for too long. The firm anticipates the price to rise to $3,800 by the end of the calendar year.

We could see a possible correction after this price rally. But we also see it as an opportunity for investors to enter the market who have been waiting. In 2026, we could see gold prices rise above $4,000."

SILVER BREAKOUT

Silver, a metal that is both an investment and used for solar and electronics, has done well due to the strength of gold and the strong physical demand during this time of deficit concerns.

On Tuesday, the metal reached its highest price in 14 years at $42,50 an ounce.

Silver prices have been boosted by growing investor interest, said Chirag Thakkar. He is the chief executive officer of Amrapali Group Gujarat.

(source: Reuters)