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Data shows that UAE aluminium exports jump ahead of Trump's tariffs.

Data shows that UAE aluminium exports jump ahead of Trump's tariffs.

The United Arab Emirates exported aluminium to the United States in the first eleven days of March. This was due to buyers stocking up on shipments before U.S. Tariffs went into effect on Wednesday.

The UAE has exported 68.560.29 tons of aluminum to the U.S. so far in March before tariffs were imposed, compared with 16,124.88 tons for the whole of March 2024. Exports are at their highest level in nearly two years on a monthly scale.

The President Donald Trump has imposed 25% tariffs for all U.S. imports of steel and aluminum with the aim of strengthening domestic production.

Canada will supply about 70% of the primary and alloyed aluminum consumed in the U.S. by 2024. The UAE, on the other hand, was the second largest exporter, accounting for about 8% of the total U.S. consumption.

Canada, which is the largest foreign supplier of aluminum and steel to the U.S. has announced 25% retaliatory duties on these metals as well as computers, sporting equipment, and other products.

Yulia Bucneva, Director at Fitch Ratings said that U.S. Importers will likely look for alternatives to Canada due to the tensions in trade with Canada, and the threat of further tariffs being imposed on Canadian imports.

Buchneva cited figures from a consulting firm to say that "on average, business costs for UAE producers are lower than those of Canadian producers, and Emirates Global Aluminium is a low-cost producer worldwide." She said that even with tariffs, the UAE could still profitably export metal to the U.S.

EGA, a world-leading aluminium producer, stated on Wednesday that volatility in the aluminium price is expected to continue into 2025, due to tensions within global trade. It also added that alumina prices are expected to stabilize as more capacity will be coming online in this year.

Analysts have stated that U.S. consumers depend on aluminum producers in Canada, such as Alcoa or Rio Tinto. They will seek alternative supplies.

The benchmark aluminium price on the London Metal Exchange has increased 5% to $2,675 a metric ton this year, but is down from a peak of $2736 per metric tonne reached in February, which was an eight-month high. (Reporting and editing by Rod Nickel; Additional reporting by Eric Onstad, London)

(source: Reuters)