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No evidence of imminent US economic downturn, Energy Aspects states

Market concerns about global development might have been extreme today as there is no evidence of an imminent U.S. economic crisis, a cofounder of consultancy Energy Aspects said on Friday.

In general, we do not believe the international economy is on the verge of an abrupt downshift, said Amrita Sen, director of research at Energy Aspects, keeping in mind that frustrating Chinese growth and signs of a U.S. downturn had made policymakers hesitant in both nations.

I don't think what we saw on Monday is a one-off, Sen told the Reuters Global Markets Forum, referring to the brutal sell-off previously this week activated by a relaxing of yen-funded trades. We will likely get a few more rounds of macro meltdowns, but oil's own fundamentals are stable.

International shares extended gains on Friday to erase nearly all their losses from this week's sell-off. Brent costs, on course for a weekly gain of more than 3%, had begun the week down more than 18% from their April highs.

Energy Aspects projections 2024 oil need growing at 1 million barrels per day (bpd) over in 2015, which she said was a similar rate to previous years of international downturns.

In the near-term, the marketplace will stay focused on need, which will not come roaring back thanks to the weak Chinese economy, she stated.

In 2025, unrefined supply from countries not in the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is set to grow by 1.4 million bpd year-on-year, while need is set to increase by 1.2 million bpd, she said.

If non-OPEC supply dissatisfies, there would suffice stockpile to offer cover, Sen added.

OPEC may select to postpone reviving the barrels they have laid out, however either way it is a balanced market with adequate extra capability, Sen said.

(source: Reuters)