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After record rally, gold, silver and platinum are taking a break
Gold prices fell on Wednesday as they took a breather after soaring past the $4,500 an ounce mark in the earlier part of?the day, while silver and platinum pared some gains from their record-breaking rally. At 10:04 am, spot gold was down by 0.4% to $4,468.96 an ounce. The session began with a high of $4,525.18. This was followed by a low of $4,425.18 at 1504 GMT. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery fell by 0.2% to $4,497.90. Jim Wyckoff, Kitco Metals' senior analyst, said that the gold market was experiencing some chart consolidation as well as a mild profit-taking following record highs. Gold is more likely to thrive in periods of uncertainty and low interest rates. U.S. president Donald Trump said Tuesday that he would like the next Federal Reserve chair to lower interest rates in a good market. The?U.S. The?U.S. central bank has reduced?rates a total of three times in the past year. Currently, traders are pricing in two rate reductions next year. A U.S. official said that the U.S. Coast Guard was waiting for more forces to arrive on the geopolitical scene before it could attempt to board and capture a Venezuelan-linked oil tanker, which they have been pursuing since last Sunday. Silver reached a record high of $72,70, but fell last 0.8% to $70.86 per ounce. The next upside target is $4,600/oz for gold and $75/oz for silver by the end the year. Wyckoff said that the 'technicals' remain bullish. Silver prices are up 147% on a year-to date basis, outpacing the bullion price increase of 70% during that same period. Platinum reached a high of $2,377.50, before reversing its gains to stand at $2.198.30, down 3.3%. Palladium fell 9% to $1,692.43 per ounce after reaching its peak three years ago. The price of platinum and palladium used primarily in automotive catalytic convertors to reduce emissions is up 160% and 100% respectively year-to date, due to tight mine supplies, tariff uncertainty and a shift away from gold investment.
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NIPSCO gets federal order to maintain Indiana coal plant
Northern Indiana Public Service Company announced on Wednesday that it had?received an order from the federal government requiring continued operation of R.M. Schahfer generation station will continue to operate 'well beyond?its December 31, 2025 retirement date. The firm said that the order requires the Indiana-based facility to remain open for a period of 90 days following the date of?order. The directive is coming as several U.S. utilities are delaying coal plant retirements in order to meet the 'rising demand for power,' driven by data centers and rising natural gas prices, which have led to a re-focus on coal generation. Donald Trump, the president of the United States, has also advocated for increased coal production. He signed executive orders aimed at increasing coal use in April. NIPSCO, a subsidiary of U.S. utility NiSource Inc., had previously stated that it intended to retire the two remaining coal units at the Schahfer Plant by the end 2025. Vince Parisi, President and Chief Operation Officer of NIPSCO, said that they were reviewing the overall impact on their customers and business. They would comply with any orders received. (Reporting from Yagnoseni das in Bengaluru, editing by Vijay Kishore.)
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SolGold accepts a $1.2 billion acquisition by Jiangxi Copper, a top investor
SolGold, a gold and copper mining company, announced on Wednesday that it had reached an agreement to be purchased by Jiangxi Copper. The deal valued SolGold at $867 million pounds ($1.17billion). The 28 pence per share deal represents a 43% premium over SolGold, a company focused on Ecuador that closed its stock price the previous day (November 19), the day Jiangxi approached the company to do a deal. SolGold's share price closed at 25.65 pence on Wednesday, a trading session that was shortened due to the holiday. The agreement gives Jiangxi the control of SolGold's Cascabel Project in Ecuador's Imbabura Province, as miners rush to secure copper supplies amid increasing demand driven by electric vehicles and AI infrastructure investment. One of the largest undeveloped copper and gold?deposits is located in South America. The London-listed mining company said that earlier this month, it was inclined towards recommending?the offer. Jiangxi was the third bid to acquire the company. "JCC is delighted to receive the unanimous recommendation from the SolGold board, and the strong support of other large shareholders for the acquisition. JCC is excited about the potential of the Cascabel Project," said Shaobing Zhou in a press release. SolGold's top investors also include BHP, a global mining company, and Newmont.
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Silver, platinum and gold all reach new heights
On Wednesday, gold broke the $4,500 mark for the first-ever time. Silver and platinum also reached new records, as speculation and a demand for'safe havens' and further U.S. interest rate cuts in 2019 fueled speculative metals. At 1220 GMT the spot gold price was up by 0.2% to $4,494.49 an ounce, after hitting a session high of $4,525.19. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery climbed 0.4%, to $4,523.10. Platinum peaked at 2,377.50, but then pared gains to end up at 2,312.70, a 1.6% increase. Silver reached an all-time record high of $72.70, and it was lastly up 1.3%. Palladium fell 1.5% to $1,830.37 per ounce after reaching its highest level in three years. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst for City Index and FOREX.com. He said that the lack of bearish factors, and strong momentum are all backed up by solid fundamentals. These include central bank purchases, a declining U.S. Dollar, and some haven demand. "Other metals, like copper, have been rising. This is providing support for the entire commodities complex." As investors seek safe-haven assets in the face of geopolitical tensions, and as they expect that the U.S. Federal Reserve would continue to ease its monetary policy, gold has gained more than 70% over this past year. U.S. president Donald Trump said Tuesday that he wanted the next Fed chair to lower interest rates if the markets were doing well. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to perform well in an environment of low interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in at least two rate reductions?next. Silver's price has risen by more than 150% in the past year, surpassing gold, due to strong investment demand and its inclusion on "the U.S. Critical Minerals List" as well as rising industrial usage. Analysts at Societe Generale wrote in a report that the risk of a significant drop in gold prices is largely tied to a'slowing down of outright gold purchases, such as those by central banks in emerging markets. Investor positions indicate that, barring such a situation, the unprecedented rise in gold prices is likely to continue. This supports our Commodities Strategists' forecast of $5,000/oz by 2026. The price of platinum and palladium (used in catalytic converters for automobiles to reduce emissions) has risen by 160% and 100% respectively year-to date, due to tight mine supplies, tariff uncertainty and a shift away from gold investment.
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Russia plans to build a nuclear plant on the Moon within 10 years
Russia is planning to build a nuclear plant on the Moon 'within the next ten years to power its lunar space program and a joint Russian/Chinese research station, as major powers race to explore Earth's only natural satellite. Since 1961, when Soviet cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin was the first person to enter space, Russia has been a leader in the space exploration field. However, in recent years, it has fallen further behind the United States, and increasingly China. Elon Musk revolutionised space vehicle launches, which were once a Russian specialty. Is that a nuclear reactor on the Moon? Roscosmos, the Russian state space corporation, announced in a press release that it had signed a contract to build a moon power plant by 2036. Roscosmos didn't say that the plant was nuclear, but said that it included the Russian state nuclear corporation Rosatom as well as the Kurchatov Institute - Russia's foremost nuclear research institute. Roscosmos stated that the plant would be used to power the Russian lunar programme. This included rovers and an observatory, as well as the infrastructure for the joint Russian-Chinese International Lunar Research Station. Roscosmos stated that the project is an important step in the creation of a permanently operating scientific lunar station, and the transition from a one-time mission to a long term lunar exploration program. Dmitry Bakanov said that Roscosmos's goal was to build a nuclear plant on the Moon and explore Venus, also known as Earth's "sister planet". The moon is located 384,400 kilometers (238,855 mi) away from our planet. It moderates earth's wobble, which helps to maintain a stable climate. It also creates tides in all the oceans. U.S. PLANS REACTOR ON MOON Russia isn't the only country with such plans. NASA announced in August its intention to place a nuclear reactor on?moon within the first quarter fiscal year 2030. "We are in a race for the moon with China. "We need energy to have a moon base," U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy stated in August when asked about plans. He also said that the United States is currently "behind" in the race to reach the moon. He said that energy is essential for life to continue?on the Moon and then to reach Mars. Nuclear weapons are prohibited in space, but nuclear energy sources can be placed there as long as certain rules are followed. Some space analysts predicted a gold rush on the Moon: NASA estimates that there is a million tonnes (or more) of Helium-3 on the moon, which is an isotope helium rare on Earth. Boeing's research shows that rare earth metals, such as scandium, yttrium, and 15 lanthanides - which are used in smartphones, computer and advanced technology - can also be found on the Moon. According to Boeing's research, the rare earth metals - used in smartphones, computers and advanced technologies - are also present on the moon. These include scandium, yttrium and 15 lanthanides.
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The US dollar's weakness and growth in GDP has led to a record-breaking price for copper of $12,300.
The?U.S. economy grew at a robust pace, boosting demand prospects and supporting prices. Economic growth increased demand prospects, and a weaker US dollar supported prices. As of 1010 GMT on the London Metal Exchange, benchmark three-month copper was up 1.1% to $12,195 per metric tonne, after earlier hitting a record high $12,282. This week the metal gained 2.6%, December saw a 9% increase and 2025 is on track to see a 39% jump as supply restrictions lead to bullish bets. Copper also reached a record high of 96.750 yuan (13,793) per ton at the Shanghai Futures Exchange on Wednesday. John Meyer, an analyst at SP Angel, said: "It wouldn't surprise me to learn that the Chinese are purchasing physical copper on the market. They will get as much as possible while no one else is watching." The Yangshan premium The, a measure of Chinese demand for copper, has risen to $55 per tonne, its highest level since September 24. The U.S. economic growth accelerated to its highest rate in two years during the third quarter. Meanwhile, the dollar is headed for its worst performance in over two decades due to investors' bets on more rate cuts in 2019. The greenback is weakening, making metals more affordable to holders of other currencies. Copper has been flowing in large quantities to the United States over the past few months. This includes more than 50,000 tonnes from China in November. Aluminium was up 0.6% to $2,956 per ton on the LME after reaching its highest level since May 2022. Zinc grew 0.2% to $3 098, while lead increased 0.6% to $1 994.50. Tin climbed by 1% to $43,005. Nickel was up 0.6% to $15,835, and rose for the sixth consecutive day, on the expectation that Indonesia will reduce ore production next year. The LME Ring, or the open-outcry floor, will close at 1440 GMT on Wednesday before closing on Thursday and Friday to celebrate Christmas.
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Gold, silver and Platinum extend record streak
Silver and platinum both reached new records on Wednesday, as the speculative demand for precious metals and expectations of future U.S. interest rate cuts fuelled speculation. At 1023 GMT the spot gold price was up by 0.1% to $4,493.76 an ounce, after hitting a session high of $4,525.19. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery climbed 0.3%, to $4.520.00. Silver reached an all-time peak of $72.70, and last rose 0.9% to $72.09 per ounce. Platinum peaked at 2,377.50, before reversing gains, now standing 0.3% higher, at $2282.70. Palladium fell?2.5% to $1,815.25, after reaching its highest level in three years. Gold is supported by the lack of bearish factors, strong momentum and solid fundamentals. These include central bank purchases, a declining U.S. Dollar and some haven demand, according to?Fawad Rasaqzada. "Other metals, like copper, have been rising. This is supporting the whole commodities complex." Gold is up more than 70% in 2018, its largest annual gain since 1979. Investors are flocking to safe-haven investments amid geopolitical tensions, and they expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to continue to ease their monetary policy. U.S. president Donald Trump said Tuesday that if the markets are performing well, he would like to see the next Fed chair lower interest rates. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to perform well in an environment of low interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in at least two rate reductions next year. The price of silver has risen by more than 150% in the past year, surpassing that of gold, due to strong demand for investment, its inclusion on?U.S. The inclusion of silver on the U.S. critical minerals list, and its increasing industrial use have all contributed to this increase. In a recent note, analysts at Societe Generale stated that the risk of a significant drop in gold prices is largely related to a slowing in outright gold purchases by central banks in emerging markets. Investor positions indicate that, barring such a situation, the unprecedented rise in gold prices will continue. This is consistent with our Commodities Strategists' forecast of $5,000/oz for end-2026. The price of platinum and palladium (used in catalytic converters for automobiles to reduce emissions) has risen by 160% and 100% respectively year-to date, due to tight mine supplies, tariff uncertainty and a shift away from gold investment.
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Global shares hover near record highs; gold, silver scale new highs
As 2025 approaches, global shares remained near their record highs, capping an?abundant artificial intelligence-driven year. Commodities, like gold and silver have extended their bullish trend to new?highs?. Overnight, on Wall Street the S&P 500 closed at a record high as the long-elusive Santa Claus rally finally took hold. The U.S. economic data that showed the economy expanding at a faster rate than expected in the third quarter helped boost risk sentiment but hurt bonds. The STOXX 600 Index in Europe was unchanged at the start of trading, while the UK's blue-chip FTSE 100 dropped 0.2%. The bourses in Amsterdam, Brussels, and Paris will be closed for a half-day session, while those in Germany, Milan, and Brussels are open. Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures also remained unchanged amid low liquidity. This week, gold and silver were among the biggest movers as markets prepared for a shorter trading day before the holidays. Gold spot prices remained unchanged at $4489.91 an ounce. They had earlier reached a record high of $4525.86, bringing their gain for the year to 72%. Silver prices jumped by 1.2%, to $72.27, a new record. This was the best year for silver ever. Chris Zaccarelli of Northlight Asset Management, the chief investment officer, said that the data released on Tuesday showing that the U.S. economic growth grew at its fastest rate in two years during the third quarter is "exceptional". He wrote that if the economy continues to produce at the same level, there's less reason to be concerned about a slowing down economy. Instead, the focus may shift to price stability. Goldman Sachs economists expect a global GDP growth rate of 2.8% for 2026. This is slightly higher than the 2.5% consensus and 2.6% for the U.S., compared to 2% consensus. In a note, the Wall Street Bank's U.S. chief economist David Mericle said that "our 2026 global outlook" argues for growth above consensus and declining inflation next year. Goldman's outlook reflects a reduced drag on the economy from tariffs, as well as tax cuts and easier financial conditions. ASIAN Shares Higher, Traders Eye Yen The broadest index for Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.4%, following the Wall Street rally. The index has risen 26% this year, which is its best performance in years. Scott Chronert is a U.S. Equity Strategist at Citi. He predicts that equities will continue to rise in value and earnings over the next year. "Yet high-performance dispersion in themes, sectors and the market cap is expected." The yen has gained on the foreign exchange markets for the third session in a row amid the risk of intervention by?Japanese officials. The dollar fell 0.3% to 155.83 Japanese yen and retreated from the previous 158-level zone which drew interventions. The euro remained largely unchanged at $1.18 after a 14% increase this year. The dollar has been down around 10% against other major currencies this year. Treasuries rose this year as the Fed resumed rate cuts. The yield on two-year Treasury bonds remained at 3.532% despite falling by 72 basis points in the past year. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was 4.1589% despite a 42 basis point decline for the same period. Early trade saw oil prices remain stable, but they were on track for a decline of a third consecutive year. Brent crude futures rose 0.1% to $62.45 per barrel but are down 16% on the year. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam & Tomasz Janowski)
OPEC? surprise set off record hedge fund oil sales: Kemp
Portfolio financiers sold record volumes of petroleum recently after OPEC? shocked the market by announcing strategies to increase production beginning with the fourth quarter of 2024.
Hedge funds and other cash managers sold the equivalent of 194 million barrels in the 6 most important futures and choices agreements over the seven days ending on June 4.
Fund sales were the fastest for any week because at least 2013 when the U.S. Product Futures Trading Commission and ICE Futures Europe started releasing data in the current format.
Sales were more than three basic discrepancies far from the typical weekly change, suggesting how stunned investors were by the announcement to raise production.
Financiers offered Brent (-102 million barrels), NYMEX and ICE WTI (-53 million), European gas oil (-17 million), U.S. diesel ( -15 million) and U.S. fuel (-6 million).
Sales of crude in general and Brent in particular were also the fastest on record as traders concluded the crude market would be easily through the remainder of the year and into 2025.
But heavy selling of refined fuel agreements suggests financiers were also reacting to signs of lukewarm intake and swelling stocks of gasoline and diesel.
Financiers had actually become bearish or extremely bearish about all components of the petroleum complex.
Chartbook: Oil and gas positions
Overall petroleum positions were slashed to 208 million barrels (first percentile for all weeks because 2013) the most affordable since a single week in December 2023 and before that January 2016.
Brent positions were cut to their third-lowest level on record at simply 46 million barrels, down from 335 million just 7 weeks earlier.
Intense hedge fund selling assisted push front-month Brent futures costs down to their least expensive level for four months on June 4.
In subsequent speeches as well as an online rundown to oil analysts, OPEC? officials have restated that the scheduled increase can be paused or reversed based on market conditions.
The re-emphasis on the contingent nature of the prepared increase appears to have actually steadied the market with costs rising a little.
However the group's current conference will go on record as a significant OPEC? surprise-- even if it did not end up as ministers planned.
U.S. NATURAL GAS
Hedge funds turned a little more careful about the outlook for U.S. gas prices last week after inventories remained stubbornly high and took some of the recent bullishness out of the marketplace.
Funds offered the equivalent of 90 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the two major futures and choices contracts connected to gas prices at Henry Center in Louisiana over the 7 days ending on June 4.
It was the very first net sale for five weeks as funds added more bearish brief positions (114 bcf) than new longs (24 bcf).
Nevertheless, the resulting net long position of 791 bcf ( 52nd percentile for all weeks given that 2010) remained well above the current net short of 1,675 bcf (3rd percentile) in mid-February.
Working inventories were the second-highest on record for the time of year on May 31 and 612 bcf (+27% or 1.45 standard discrepancies) above the prior 10-year seasonal average.
After swelling through much of the winter of 2023/24, the surplus has actually not increased given that mid-March, hearting bullish investors, however it has actually not yet narrowed either, injecting an aspect of care.
Related columns:
- OPEC? switches method to safeguard market share (June 4, 2024)
- U.S. oil futures draw renewed interest from hedge funds
(source: Reuters)