Latest News

Oil extends decline on rising Middle East supply

Oil extends decline on rising Middle East supply
Oil extends decline on rising Middle East supply

The oil prices continued to fall on Thursday, dipping near the levels seen just before the Iran War. This was due to a 'rising'?supply expectation from the Middle East that outweighed the demand concerns.

Brent crude futures, for delivery in August, fell by $1.22 or 1.65% to $72.52 a barrel as of 0337 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped $1.02 or 1.45% to $69.32 a barrel.

Both contracts have reached their lowest levels since February 27,

Brent for August was cheaper than September at $73.59, indicating ample supply in the short term.

In a recent note, IG analyst Tony Sycamore stated that "the speed of this drop has?caught many off guard" as the markets have priced in a faster return of Middle Eastern crude barrels than what most people had expected just a 'fortnight ago."

Brent fell more than $3 Wednesday, as concerns about supply eased. WTI also settled down nearly $3.

U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright said on Wednesday at a forum that the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz was close to the level before the start of the Iran War. He added that 20 million barrels of oil had left the strait within the past 24 hours. Wright said that a return to "complete normalcy" would take several weeks due to the need to demine the Strait of Hormuz.

The price of crude oil around the globe has been driven down by a combination of rising Middle Eastern supply and Iran's plans to increase sales after a temporary reprieve in U.S. sanction.

The U.S. and Israel war against Iran that began on February 28 has been ended by an initial agreement last week. This allowed the traffic to resume through the Strait.

The agreement established a 60-day period of negotiations in order to address more complex issues, such as Iran's nuclear program. Wright stated that oil would flow through the Strait even if it did not hold and that Iran "would not be able" to close it.

Oman opened Wednesday temporary routes for tanker departures 'from the Strait?of?Hormuz. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) and Omani authorities coordinated movements. Qatar's Prime Minister visited Oman to discuss the beginning of negotiations with Iran, Iraq and Gulf States over future management of the Strait.

Macquarie analysts predicted oil prices to return quickly to pre-war levels, as supply chains adapt and the Strait of Hormuz is reopened.

Brent and WTI are expected to average $62 and $67 per barrel respectively in the third quarter. This is down from $94 and $87.50 per barrel for the second quarter.

Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude oil stocks fell to their lowest level since 1984 on Wednesday. This was due to strong refinery demand and the government's release of emergency reserves. The markets, however, seemed unfazed as traders concentrated on the Strait of Hormuz. Reporting by Colleen Waye in Beijing, and Siyi Liu from Singapore; editing by Jacqueline Wong

(source: Reuters)