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Zambian miners look to the election in hopes of support for copper expansion

Mining firms in 'Zambia' have set their priorities for the upcoming elections. These include a stronger incentive for processing minerals, revitalizing exploration, and 'expanding electricity generation'. They say these measures are necessary to achieve the country's target of tripling its copper output.

Africa's second largest copper producer aims to triple its current output, reaching 3 million metric tonnes, in order to capitalize on the growing demand for metals used in construction, EVs, and power networks.

The demand for copper has led to a 40% increase in the benchmark futures prices in the last year, to $14,000 per ton.

Ayo Sopitan is the chief executive officer of Metalex Commodities, a mid-tier mining company. He said that to triple copper production, there will need to be stronger incentives in exploration, local manufacturing and value addition as well as major infrastructure investments.

Sopitan added that Zambia needed to strengthen its rule of law and dispute resolution mechanisms. Export duties on concentrates continue to burden producers who lack refining capability.

Anthony Malenga is the president of Zambia’s Chamber of Mines. He said that high investor confidence through tax reforms, and closer engagement with miners has helped attract over $10 billion in investments since?the?2021 election.

He said that policy discussions between government and mining companies are helping to address the most outstanding issues in terms of competitiveness. However, Zambia's ambitions for growth now depend on a robust exploration pipeline.

Malenga stated that the mining industry requires real growth, and this can only be achieved by increasing spending on greenfield exploration. He added that reforms in licensing should ensure that exploration permits are held only by companies who have the ability to develop projects.

Over 8 MILLION ZAMBIANS To Vote

Zambia's economy is based on mining, which contributes about 9% to GDP, generates 72% of export revenues, and accounts for almost half of the government revenue.

On August 13, more than 8 millions Zambians will vote to elect the president, legislators and local government representatives.

Analysts predict that President Hakainde Hichilema will be re-elected in a peaceful?poll. This indicates a broad continuity of policy for investors.

According to a senior source in the industry, Zambia has implemented several important reforms over these last four years. These include currency regulations, rules on local content and fuel cost measures.

Menzi Ndhlovu is a lead analyst at Signal Risk. He said that while investors expect little change in the fiscal regime following the election, power shortages, and the pressures on labour are the greatest threats to Zambia's copper-growth ambitions.

Ndhlovu stated that the power generation capacity could be insufficient to support major mining expansions without significant new investments.

Zambia's Mines Ministry did not immediately respond to an inquiry for comment.

Zambia's industry executives estimate that it needs an additional 2,000 megawatts to meet its production goals, although recent investments are expected to ease the supply pressure.

(source: Reuters)