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AI could boost the LatAm and Caribbean economies by 5.1% in a decade, but wages might fall, IDB warns

According to a forthcoming study by the Inter-American Development Bank, the adoption of artificial intelligence in Latin America and the Caribbean could result in an increase of?5,1% for economic output after ten years. However, its impact on wages depends on the ability of workers to move into jobs that are expanding.

IDB's flagship report for 2026, due in November estimates that regional economic output would only be 0.3% higher with limited AI adoption and small productivity gains. The wages of workers who move to expanding sectors could rise by up to 5.3%, or by as much as 2.3%.

IDB is Latin America's largest development lender, with 48 members including 26 countries that borrow in the region.

Ilan Goldfajn, IDB president, also called for additional financing and long-term contracts to support the supply chains of critical minerals. He said that minerals produced in a way that is respectful of labor conditions and environmental protection should be distinguished from those produced without these?safeguards.

Goldfajn discussed AI and critical mineral with regional leaders on Monday, including the heads-of-state of?Chile and Uruguay as well as executives of?Alphabet Meta and Anthropic in a closed door meeting. Goldfajn did not provide any?details in an interview before the meeting on the club or price mechanism, or who would be involved or if the IDB was to provide financial support.

(source: Reuters)