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Oil prices rise on Gulf clashes, as AI fuels weekly stock increase

As the U.S. and Iran traded?fires in the Middle East many Asian markets were still on track for stellar gains this week as AI 'demand' swept over chipmakers. Benchmark Brent crude futures rose about 1% in Asia to $101 per barrel, while European stock?futures fell 0.8%. FTSE futures dropped 0.7% while S&P futures rose 0.3%.

Sterling remained steady at $1.3575, but traders were wary of Labour Party losses, which could put pressure on Prime Minister Keir starmer. The United States and Iran clashed over the Gulf, and the UAE was again attacked in a test for a month-long truce. However, the warring parties played down the situation in order to keep investors hopeful.

Kerry Craig, J.P. Morgan Asset Management's global market strategist said: "The focus is still on the strength and volume of earnings from the U.S."

He said that efforts by both sides to reach a temporary agreement to allow traffic to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, while they discussed a more comprehensive peace settlement, had also been encouraging to markets.

The stock markets in Asia have slid from record highs, despite the fact that they had been surging thanks to the strong revenue and spending plans of the U.S. AI Hyperscalers. This means rivers gold for the chipmakers in the region. MSCI's broadest Asian share index outside Japan dropped 0.9%. South Korea's KOSPI was down only 0.1%, but is set to have a 'weekly gain' of more than 13% – the largest since 2008 – on the back of a surge of Samsung and SK Hynix.

Taiwan's benchmark index is up 7% and Japan's Nikkei has risen 5.2% this week. The currency markets were largely stable, with the dollar recovering after recent lows and yen as the focus. Japan intervened on the foreign exchange markets during the early May holidays to prevent further declines in the battered yen, according to a source with knowledge of the matter.

The dollar was worth $1.1736 to the euro, $0.7221 to the Aussie and the yen at 156.8 to the yen after a surge of $70 billion on suspicion of intervention since last Thursday.

China's currency, the yuan is Asia's best performing currency since the outbreak of the war. It's on the verge of surpassing 6.8 dollars to the dollar, and it's at its highest level since 2023.

U.S. JOBS & UK ELECTIONS IN CENTER

A survey of economists indicates that investors are eagerly awaiting Friday's non-farm payrolls data in the United States. The report is expected to show a 62,000 increase in jobs in April, after a 178,000 rebound in March.

Local elections are also planned in Britain. Investors are worried that if the Labour Party's results turn out to be poor, it could put Prime Minister Keir starmer's leadership into doubt.

Analysts at ING said that "Gilts - already under scrutiny because of inflation risks - could be further pushed to look elsewhere by political uncertainty." The U.S. Trade Court ruled that Trump's latest 10% temporary global duty is unjustified by a 1970s trade law. Analysts expect an appeal to be filed quickly and that the levies will have a?small impact on U.S. trade.

Treasury yields tracked crude oil prices higher on Thursday, as traders were worried about inflation. However, they did not move significantly more on Friday. The benchmark 10-year yield was at 4.39%.

The yields on Australian 10-year bonds jumped by six basis points, to 4.99%. Bitcoin was edging towards its sixth consecutive weekly gain at $79 680. (Reporting and editing by Tom Westbrook, Kim Coghill, and Lincoln Feast.

(source: Reuters)