Latest News

Be careful what you Warh for.

Gregor Stuart Hunter gives a look at what the European and global market will be like today. Stocks, commodities, bond yields, and the dollar are all up. The markets have become risk-off since Donald Trump announced that he had 'decided' who he would nominate as the new Federal Reserve chairman.

Kevin Warsh has risen to the top of prediction markets since the two met in the White House.

Warsh is a former Fed Governor who is seen to advocate lower interest rates. He is also viewed as one of the more moderate candidates amongst the many that have been proposed and is perhaps a little more cautious about heavy monetary stimuli than other candidates.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures fell 0.4% each after it was reported that Warsh had visited the White House on Thursday for a meeting, according to sources familiar with this matter. Bloomberg News reported that the Trump administration is preparing to nominate Warsh for the next Fed Chair.

The market was weighing up the implications of this 'pick', and MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell as much as 1.3 percent, reducing the shine from the benchmark's highest'monthly' gain in the last three years.

Early European trading saw pan-regional futures rise 0.6%. German DAX futures rose 0.5%, and FTSE Futures climbed by 0.2%.

Brent crude fell 1.4% to $69.74, as oil markets assessed heightened geopolitical risk after Trump signed an executive orders declaring a state of emergency and setting up a process for imposing tariffs on goods coming from countries that provide or sell oil to Cuba. Trump said that he planned to speak to Iran in the face of rising tensions.

There has been no word yet on what Trump thought about the premiere of "Melania", which took place on Thursday. Unnamed U.S. officials told a reporter that the attendance of cabinet members at the premiere of the high-profile documentary on First Lady Melania was mandatory. Many of them attended the event held at the Kennedy Center.

The key developments that could influence the markets on Friday

Results of the Company

Exxon Mobil, Chevron, American Express, Verizon, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Aon, CaixaBank

Economic Events

France: preliminary GDP for Q4 and consumer spending and producer prices?

Germany: Unemployment rates, CPI, HICP, and flash GDP for the third quarter, import prices in December

UK: Bank of England consumer loans and mortgage lending in December

Euro zone: flash preliminary GDP for Q4, unemployment rates for December

Debt auctions:

UK: 1 month, 3 months and 6 months government debt (Reporting and editing by Gregor Stuart Hunter)

(source: Reuters)