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European stocks increase, and long-dated yields decline ahead of US employment data

Early Friday, European stocks rose while bond yields on long-dated bonds fell as the markets awaited a rate cut by the United States. This helped to ease concerns over fiscal deficits across various countries.

The S&P 500 reached a new record high on Thursday, after the weekly jobless claims data revealed more than expected. Overnight, Asian stocks followed Wall Street's upward trend.

At 0752 GMT the MSCI World Equity Index had gained 0.3% for the day, and Europe's STOXX 600 Index was also up 0.4%. Both are expected to finish the week with a slight gain after recovering from the dip that occurred earlier in the week.

The FTSE 100 and France's CAC 40 both rose 0.3%.

According to LSEG, the markets are almost certain that the Fed will cut rates by a quarter point at the end of its two-day meeting.

The monthly U.S. employment report, due in the afternoon session, will confirm traders' expectations. Stocks rise when the labour market is weaker, as it increases expectations that Federal Reserve will lower rates.

Francesco Sandrini is the head of Amundi's multi-asset strategy. He said, "We saw yesterday the signs that there may be a weakened in the jobs market, which will pave the way for an agreement in September."

Sandrini said that today's numbers can confirm, to a certain extent, an easing of the Federal Reserve.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced speculation about rate cuts with an unexpectedly dovish address at the Fed symposium held in Jackson Hole last month.

Ken Crompton is the head of rates at National Australia Bank. He said that unless there's a really stellar payrolls report, it's difficult to see anything that will change the market's mind about a September rate cut.

The terminal rate, and how to get there, is still a question.

The market sentiment has improved in recent sessions, after stocks in Europe and globally fell this week. Long-term bond yields have also reached their highest levels in years as investors were concerned about the financial state of different countries, especially Britain and France.

The yields on 30-year bonds in France and the UK were lower on Friday. France's yield was 4.3944% compared to a high of 4.523% reached on Wednesday.

The benchmark German 10-year yield is 2.7122%. German industrial orders fell unexpectedly in July, according to data released on Friday.

The yields on Treasuries 30-years were at 4.8593%. They had reached their lowest level in three weeks, during Asian trading.

The dollar index fell 0.2% to 98.054 while the euro rose 0.2% to $1.1678.

The U.S. has signed an agreement to lower auto tariffs for Japan after months of negotiation. The dollar fell 0.3% against the Japanese yen. It was trading at 148.14.

The oil prices are in their third consecutive day of declines. Brent crude futures dropped 0.5% to $66.65 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.6% to $63.05

Gold was unchanged at $3,546.24, after reaching a record high of $3,578.50 earlier in the day.

(source: Reuters)