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Stocks hit by rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and oil prices
Investors were on edge Monday as rising?oil costs, the conflict in the Middle East, and political unrest in Europe kept them on edge. Stocks drifted lower ahead of important U.S. data on inflation later this week. Tehran announced that it would declare a restricted area outside the Strait of Hormuz within days after U.S. forces struck three Iranian tankers, and Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fired ballistic missiles on two U.S. Navy vessels. Brent crude futures have risen 1.3%, to $97.5 per barrel, the highest in seven weeks. Oil prices rose almost 8% in the last week, and are now 35% higher than they were at the end of February before war began. Diesel prices, which power transport, shipping and farming, as well as manufacturing, reached record highs in the last week. They are now around 90% higher than before the war. Investors should pay close attention to this week's U.S. Consumer Price Index because central banks will likely raise interest rates as?food prices and fuel prices are rising across the globe. On Thursday, the European Central Bank is expected raise rates to 2.5%. Futures traders expect another rate hike in December to 2.75%. Markets are also pricing in 75% of the possibility that Bank of Japan will raise rates by a quarter-point at its September 18 meeting, with 60% of another increase occurring before December. Bruce Kasman, global head economist at JPMorgan, said that the patience of central banks during the energy crisis has helped asset prices and credit cycles. "However central banks are now moving." RATE INCREASES? The Federal Reserve's last-week's payroll report, which exceeded expectations with a 162,000 increase in August, left the markets pricing in a 58% probability of an increase when they meet on September 16. And 70% for a movement in October. The euro gained 0.14%, to $1.1629. Analysts said that the euro has been drifting lower since August's three-month highs and with increasing political tension on many fronts it may struggle to gain much upward momentum. The Alternative for Germany (AfD), a far right party in Germany, won the state elections in Saxony Anhalt on Sunday. This is the first time in history that a far right party has been able to win power at the state level. The AfD, while still far from having a majority or gaining power at the national level, has stated that one of their policies is to abandon the euro. Kathleen Brooks, XTB's research director, said: "This development is harmful for the long-term stability of our single currency." Recent polls in France show that far-right leader, Marine?Le pen, who has previously supported abandoning the Euro, is likely to win the first round at next year's Presidential elections. The next few years may see a wave of political change in Europe, and a shift towards the right for the two biggest economies. It may not be an issue for FX traders now, but tomorrow it will be. This could explain why the euro is among the weakest currencies in comparison to its peers by 2026, Brooks stated. The euro fell 1.1% this year, the worst performing major currency in relation to the dollar. This was compared to a modest 0.7% increase in the Japanese yen which had been partly boosted through official intervention and a 0.4% gain in the pound. Dollar?retreated? against yen, dropping 1.2% to 154.32 as a 'burst of purchasing propelled the Japanese to a 7-month high. Last week, the yen posted its best weekly performance in over a month, with rising expectations that the BOJ will hike rates and the threat of further official buying triggering a short-squeeze. While European stocks were struggling to reach positive territory, Wall Street was a little quieter due to a U.S. Holiday. S&P futures fell by 0.2%, and Nasdaq Futures rose 0.2%.
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US imports more Congo Copper as Consumer Acceptance Grows
U.S. consumers are increasingly buying copper from the Democratic Republic of Congo. This is helping to drive record-breaking?imports of the African producer as industrial consumers take advantage of discounts on?COMEX approved brands. According to U.S. Trade data, copper cathode deliveries by the second largest copper producing nation in the world reached a record 53.290 metric tons during July. Congo now has a share of 23.9% of all imports. This is the highest ever. These numbers illustrate the increase in demand for Congo's copper by the United States. The country imported less than 32, 000 tons of?copper in 2024. Congo has more copper to sell now due to?increased production. This increase is all the more remarkable when you consider that there are no copper brands available from the Congo on the U.S. COMEX exchange. COMEX lists only two African copper brands, both from Zambia. More than one-third (35%) of COMEX approved brands come from Chile and Peru. Albert Mackenzie is a copper analyst with Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. He said that this could indicate the Congo metal was going directly to the U.S. market. "And if that's the case, it'll be much cheaper than COMEX-deliverable brand," he said. Mackenzie reported that the premium for COMEX copper compared to the LME price fluctuated between $400 and $600 during the summer. It may have been cheaper to buy non-CME-registered material at the LME price. Two sources in the industry who deal with Congo copper confirm that it is priced based on a LME basis. The first source stated that his metal is usually sold at a discount of between $550 and $800 per ton in order to cover the freight costs. Second source: The standard of Congo Copper has significantly improved in recent years. This has led to greater acceptance by U.S. consumers. China's copper imports from Congo have fallen by 4.3% over the first seven months of 2026 as large amounts of copper have been shipped to the United States. Congo's share of the market has however increased by a?five-point percentage point to 44.7%. China imported 95,778 tonnes of Congovian products in July, a 39.4% market share, which is the lowest since last October, but Congo remains the largest supplier.
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Institute: Italy has its hottest summer in more than 75 years
The Institute for BioEconomy of the National Research Council (CNR-IBE), a part of the National Research Council, announced on Monday that this summer was Italy's hottest since 1950. According to the public authority, August was the hottest month in the year with a temperature average of 25.6 C. This is 5.2 C higher than the average 1951-1980 and 3.5 C higher than the norm 1991-2020. These figures are based upon readings taken from a height of two metres. Researchers at CNR-IBE Lorenzo Arcidiaco stated that "the average of 25.6 degrees Celsius recorded in August 2026 surpasses the previous records which were 24.6 C in August 2024 and 24?C in August 2017." Arcidiaco stated that the data indicated 2026 as being the hottest year in Italy since 1950 when the data was collected. Both July and August were the hottest on record. CNR is Italy’s largest public research institution. Europe, which is the fastest-warming continent in the world, has experienced sweltering hot summers. Wildfires and drought are also a major problem. Britain experienced its hottest summer in recorded history. Most of the affected areas in Italy are located along?the Apennines and the northwestern lowlands, where drought and high temperatures have affected farming. Separate analyses of weather data showed that major cities like Rome, Florence, and Turin all experienced repeated heatwaves during June, July, and August.
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Nigeria's Dangote Oil Refinery signss IPO documents ahead of landmark share sale
On Monday, Nigeria's Dangote Oil Refinery signed offering documents with its 'advisers' and other parties involved in the initial public offering. This is a major milestone on the way to Africa's largest-ever share sale. According to a presentation made at a ceremony held in Lagos, Nigeria's commercial capital, the offering will last from September 14 until October 13. If fully subscribed, the company could raise up to $2.15 trillion ($1.63 billion). The presentation stated that in the event of a high demand for shares, Dangote's refinery and petrochemicals plant could issue up to 30 percent more than the base offer, subject to approval by the regulatory authorities. Investors will be able to gauge the level of interest in one of Africa's largest industrial projects. The 700,000-barrel-per-day refinery, built at a cost of about $20 billion on the outskirts of Lagos, has reshaped Nigeria's fuel market ?and benefited from supply disruptions linked to the Iran war, exporting jet fuel across Africa and into Europe. The plant is part of Africa's richest man,?Aliko?Dangote, whose sprawling empire includes sugar, cement, and other businesses. The IPO aims to raise money for a 'planned doubling of refinery capacity to 1.4m barrels per day. The company?has already secured a $400-million?underwriting commitment. Dangote said at the signing ceremony that he hopes the refinery will become the largest single-train refinery in the world by 2028.
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The Netherlands opens Europe's largest Carbon Capture Facility
The largest carbon-capture facility in Europe, developed by Yara International of Norway, opened?in The Netherlands on Monday. The CCS facility in 'Sluiskil in southern Dutch province of Zeeland will reduce emissions at Europe's biggest fertiliser production site and transport captured CO2 to Norway, Yara stated. Yara Sluiskil is set to capture and liquefy?CO2 up to 800,000.0 metric tons per year by 2026. Northern Lights, a transport and storage operator in Norway, will store and transport the carbon 2.6 km (1.65 miles) below the Norwegian continental shelf. Yara hopes to remove 12 million tonnes of CO2 from the site over 15 years. Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere stated that the Sluiskil Project offers a solution which is both scientifically and commercially viable. Our climate challenge is in the industry, because there we have labor, capital and technology. Energy is everywhere. Stoere stated that the Netherlands should be a leader in the energy nations. The European Union is planning to use carbon capture technology in order to achieve its 2050 "net-zero emission" target, especially for industrial processes like chemical manufacturing where there are no low-carbon alternatives available. Despite the fact that this technology has been a stumbling block in Europe for many years, it is still gaining traction. Critics say CCS allows companies to continue producing oil and gas, while promising to capture future emissions.
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France's EDF is in talks to purchase So Energy in order to increase its British customers
A source familiar with the matter confirmed a Sunday media report that a French electric utility,?EDF, is in negotiations to 'acquire' electricity supplier So Energy. This company is majority-owned by an Irish company, ESB. EDF is expanding its footprint in Britain where it already supplies electricity to around 5,000,000 customers. Sky News reported that the purchase would bring EDF a further?300,000 customers,? A spokesperson for So Energy stated that the company is evaluating a number of options, but could not comment on the subject further as it is a commercially sensitive matter. EDF is trying to keep up with Octopus, British Gas, and E.ON in a competitive British Market. German utility E.ON is also aiming to expand its presence in the region and announced plans to purchase rival Ovo Energy for an undisclosed amount. The source who refused to be named because they were not authorised to speak publicly, did NOT provide an estimate for So Energy.
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Copper prices set to reach record highs, but focus is on limited supplies outside US
The dollar was weaker on Monday and the prospects of shortages outside the U.S. boosted the price of copper. The traders said that the U.S. holiday meant volumes would be muted and that they were focusing on copper and zinc. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.2% higher, at $14.443 per metric ton. It reached $14,467 earlier in trade, its highest level since January's all-time high of $14,527.50. Since President Donald Trump proposed import tariffs last February, traders and producers have shipped large amounts of copper to the U.S. Comex copper stock levels are at a record high of 766,795 metric tons or 695.624 short tons. Albert Mackenzie is an analyst at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. He said: "It's difficult to predict what will happen with tariffs, but the longer the uncertainty persists the higher the prices will be as materials?flow into the U.S." Some copper has returned to the LME due to higher?premiums? or?backwardations? for contracts that are close by compared with longer-dated futures. The LME is expected to lose more than 121,000 tonnes of copper over the next couple weeks due to cancelled warrants and metal that has been earmarked for deliveries at 51%. . In mid-August, the premium for cash on a three-month forward was above $430 per ton. This is the highest level since 2021. It closed at around $74 last Friday. The Shanghai Futures Exchange monitors warehouses in China. They have 63,000 tons of stocks, which is 85% less than the middle of March. This is the lowest level since January 2024. Copper prices are also falling on SHFE, indicating that the top consumer China is worried about supply. Zinc prices were up?0.7%, to $3,973 per ton. This was mainly due tighter supplies. At the beginning of September, it had reached $3,990 per ton, its highest level since May 2022. Base metals prices were supported by a?softer U.S. dollar, which made dollar-priced'metals cheaper for holders other currencies. Lead rose 0.6% at $1,913.5. Tin gained 0.7% at $55,250. Nickel fell 0.6% at $16,750.
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Radiant World sued in Singapore by a fund linked to Jefferies
The website of Singapore's Supreme Court showed that LAM Trade Finance Group II - in which U.S. bank Jefferies holds a minor stake - applied for a freezing order against Radiant World and its founder on Monday. The filing is just one of many challenges that the iron ore traders are facing. Some banks have frozen their accounts, and other trading houses have severed their ties with them over concerns that invoices sent to its banks might not be valid. Radiant World denies any wrongdoing. Last week it was reported that the Jefferies fund had obtained a freezing order from a UK court over the trader. On Wednesday, a hearing will be held in the Singapore case at the?Supreme Court of the city-state. There were no further details available on the filing. The filing revealed that the case in Singapore also names Sapphire Minmetals, the iron ore trading firm, and its Chairman Rakesh Setti, along with entities of Radiant World, Pinkesh Nahar and his company. Radiant World and Sapphire Minmetals did not respond immediately to our requests for comment. Gary Nagle is the CEO of Glencore. He said that last month, the company considered Radiant World, Sapphire Minmetals, and other companies to be part of the same group. Sethi, however, has denied this. Bloomberg News reported that Incomlend, a trade-finance company, is also suing Radiant World in Singapore and Nahar? in Japan, while Mizuho Bank took legal steps to remove the management of Radiant?World Singapore. Radiant World is being investigated by the 'Singapore Police force,' which said last month that it received reports about the company and was looking into them.
France and Spain battle to contain wildfires when temperatures soar once again
The temperatures were expected to rise again in France and Spain on Wednesday, in the fourth heatwave of summer. This will increase the risk of wildfires, which have already forced people to evacuate in large numbers, burned through forests, and killed wildlife.
Weather agency AEMET in Spain said temperatures 'were expected to hit 40 degrees Celsius on Wednesday, 104 degrees Fahrenheit, at least six regions were on orange alert. This is the second highest level.
Meteo France predicts that temperatures in France's southwest, which has been devastated by fires, will rise from 33 C to 42 C. Dry winds in the morning from the southwest and in the afternoon from the west are likely to fan the flames.
French firefighters managed to keep a major fire west of Bordeaux under control overnight, but officials warned that the blaze was not yet out.
Firefighter Commander Matthieu Jomain said to reporters that "as we speak the situation is stable, but the fire still is not under control." "We are, of course, vigilant today, given the forecasted weather conditions with an increase in temperatures and wind speed in the afternoon."
Fire kills deer in Spanish forest
The heatwaves in Europe have been unprecedented this year. Climate change caused by humans is causing the heat to increase and the droughts to worsen, allowing wildfires spread more quickly.
Heatwaves that are more frequent and intense cause thousands of deaths in excess and disrupt?everyday living, from slowing down road and rail traffic to affecting river shipping.
Drone footage from El Tiemblo in Spain's Avila Province, near Madrid, shows charred carcasses of deer in a forest that has been reduced to ashes.
Cintia, a Madrid resident who goes by Cintia, was horrified at the scene she saw in El Tiemblo. She has visited this place many times.
"We love the wildlife, everything around us. We used to feed the animals, because they are from here. "They belong to this country," she said. "And look at where it is now."
VILLAGERS TRY PROTECTING THEIR HOMES
Forests have been affected in a wide range of ways. Wildfires in the Landes region west of Bordeaux have destroyed 42,000 hectares (104, 000 acres) of pine trees.
About 220,000 people were evacuated, including tourists and locals, because the fire threatened Cap Ferret Peninsula on the Atlantic Coast, which is only accessible via one road. On specially chartered ferries, hundreds of people left.
The flames were as close as 9 miles (15 km) away from the Bordeaux metropolitan area. Several companies in the suburbs closed their doors to prevent the fires spreading.
Volunteers in Lanton, a village also in the southwest of France, ravaged by wildfires have tried to protect their community with buckets of water.
It's really hard because we have few resources. "We try to help people in any way we can with the little resources we have," said 29-year-old local pastry chef Jonathan Segalas Talous on Tuesday.
"We want to stay here. We've been living here for many years. We will do everything in our power to help. "We help."
Meteo France stated that the danger level in southwest France is likely to drop from Thursday due to thunderstorms, cooler temperatures, and higher humidity.
FIRE IN CASTELLON RAGES FOR FIFTH DATE
Authorities in Spain said that the situation in central provinces Avila and Madrid had improved, but the fire in eastern Castellon was still out of control, despite having burned over 10,000 hectares due to weather conditions.
Castellon residents who were evacuated are still unable return to their homes. As the fire entered its fifth day, regional authorities estimated that the perimeter of fire was 75.5 km.
Madrid's emergency services reported on?X, that the wildfire had not spread over night. Firefighting crews "kept trying to consolidate the perimeter of the fire and extinguish any remaining hot spots" to prevent it from re-igniting.
Fernando Grande-Marlaska, the Interior Minister, said that evacuees were returning to their homes in 15 towns of Madrid and Avila. (Additional reporting from Leonardo Benassatto, Yves Herman, Emma Pinedo and David Latona in Madrid, Inti, Kate Abnett, and Sudip, Kar-Gupta, in Brussels; Janis Laizans, in Bordeaux; Writing and editing by Alison Williams; Ingrid Melander)
(source: Reuters)