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Metals and oil plunge in trade war as metal prices plummet

The oil price fell to its lowest level in four years on Wednesday, in the worst five-day loss streak in three year. Several commodities, such as base metals, also tumbled, as the trade conflict between China and the U.S. intensifies.

As global recession fears gripped the financial markets, stocks in Asia continued to fall on Wall Street. U.S. president Donald Trump appeared set to impose a whopping 104% duty on Chinese goods.

ANZ released a report that said "Crude Oil extended losses amid signs escalation of the trade war." "Copper is down nearly 10% since Trump announced the reciprocal tariffs against major trading partners."

The United States announced on Tuesday that higher tariffs will be applied to imports from China shortly after midnight. At the same time, the Trump administration was preparing to begin talks with other trading partner countries targeted by the sweeping tariffs.

The oil prices fell to their lowest level in over four years due to a combination of looming supply concerns, fueled by the trade war between China and the U.S., two of the largest economies in the world, and the escalating demand.

Ye Lin, Rystad's vice president for oil commodity markets, said that China's aggressive retaliation has heightened fears about a global economic recession.

She said that if the trade conflict continues, China's oil demand growth could be at risk. However, stronger incentives to boost the domestic consumption can mitigate these losses.

Since Trump announced higher tariffs against its trading partners on 2 April, oil has lost about a fifth of its value. This is the largest five-day decline since March 2022.

COPPER, IRON ORE, AND VEGOILS

Copper futures at the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit an eight-month low, and iron ore prices on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 3% as fears about a global economic recession increased.

The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange dropped 1% for a fifth consecutive day, its longest five-day loss streak since March 2019.

China is the largest metals consumer in the world. China retaliated with an additional 34% on all U.S. products from April 10 last Friday, after Trump imposed 34% on most Chinese items as part of higher tariffs.

As U.S. Treasury rates ticked up, investors became more anxious as they watched the trade war escalate.

Malaysian palm oils futures fell more than 1%, while rubber prices plummeted to their lowest level in more than an year.

Chicago soybean futures, however, rose for a second session. They had fallen to four-month lows earlier in the week. This was due to rising Brazilian prices and a weaker dollar. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Additional reporting by Michele Pek)

(source: Reuters)