Latest News

Tariffs on coal from the US to China are expected to increase US coal exports into India

Five industry officials have said that the United States will increase coal exports to India following China's tariffs on U.S. energy imports. This could lead to a decline in Australia and Russia’s market share in India.

China's Finance Ministry announced last week that it would impose a 15% tax on the import of U.S. Coal. The officials claimed this could force U.S. miner to ship coal to India, the second largest coal importer in the world behind China.

"Three U.S. shipments that were meant to go to China are now in India, and another 10 shipments are awaiting." "These are large capesizes, and this could further lower prices," Vasudev Pamnani, director of India's I-Energy Natural Resources said.

Pamnani said at the Coaltrans India Conference on Monday that more U.S. imports of coal could impact Australia.

The U.S. is a relatively small contributor to Chinese coal imports in volume terms. However, the value of the coking coal used by steelmakers has increased by almost a third, reaching $1.84 billion by 2024.

Malcolm Roberts said that the tariffs could lead to more U.S. and Australian coal being shipped to China.

In the last decade, Australia was India's dominant supplier of coking coal. It accounted for around 80% all shipments. In 2024, its share dropped to 62% as the United States, Russia and Mozambique supplied supplies to India.

Australia may now be able to regain some market share in China, its main market. It was responsible for two-thirds or more of the coking coal imported by China before China banned such imports unofficially in 2021. Mongolia and Russia export the most coking coal to China.

Chinese data show that the U.S. will account for 9% of China's coking coal imports in 2024. Australia is expected to make up 8%. Sethuraman N R, Sudarshan Varadhan and Barbara Lewis contributed to the report.

(source: Reuters)