Latest News

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Another deadline dodged

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets

Donald Trump unilaterally extended a ceasefire in the Iran War beyond the deadline of Wednesday, but it is unclear whether other parties to the conflict have agreed. This partly explains the lack of reaction from crude oil prices to what was otherwise viewed as a relief sign.

Below, I'll explain more. Check out my newest column about why Kevin 'Warsh' may struggle to please Trump as Fed chair. Listen to the Morning Bid Daily Podcast, where I talk about oil's response to the ceasefire and more. Don't forget April 23, when I will be joining Jamie McGeever, my ROI colleague, for a timely discussion on rethinking the safe-haven asset in uncertain times. Register here.

Brent crude prices rose to under $100 a barrel on Wednesday, while WTI crude was trading at about $91/bbl. Iran claims that Trump's continued U.S. port blockade is a breach of ceasefire, and the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed. It is reported that cargo ships were fired at again this morning. It's not clear when or if new talks will begin between the two parties. World stock markets and Wall Street Futures remain optimistic about a possible de-escalation, as they have for the majority of this week. They are now looking for other directions. They're most obviously looking at the vibrant tech sector. South Korean, Japanese, and Taiwanese shares continued to reach new highs over the past 24 hours, with Korea's chip-giant SK Hynix making it into the top 20 most valuable companies in the world.

Tesla's earnings report tonight, after the bell rings, will probably focus on its energy and solar business. Its robotaxi plans and proposed move into chip design are also likely to be discussed. Intel, which has been the biggest mover in the last month, will also report on Thursday. The chip giant has had one of its best months ever with a 50% increase in stock prices so far this April.

Wall Street index futures rose ahead of the Wednesday bell. Kevin Warsh, the Fed's nominee for chairperson, was confirmed by Congress in the last 24 hours. The dollar and Treasury markets remained stable after the hearing. There were no big surprises. Warsh said he was not asked by Trump to make a commitment to lower interest rates and instead focused on his plans to "regime-change" the Fed's framework for policymaking and his long-term desire to reduce the Fed balance sheet. Trump said just before Warsh's speech that he would not be happy if his new appointment did not deliver immediate rates cuts. But with the price pressures on again, this seems like a distant dream. The markets see less than 50% chance that the Fed will resume easing in the remainder of the year. In the meantime, U.S. March retail sales were up more than forecast. Even after removing the gas receipts, retail sales were higher than expected. At least for one month, the economy has seemed to be able to weather the oil shock. UK inflation in March was higher than expected, rising from 3.0% to 3.3%. However, core prices without energy were lower.

Chart of the Day

Shares of U.S. chipmaker Intel soared by more than 50% in the last month, and more than tripled in the last year. Demand for Intel's chips and servers has risen amid the "worldwide AI buildout," and after the U.S. Government and Nvidia acquired stakes in this once struggling firm.

Intel will report its earnings on Thursday amid fears that there may be a shortage of chips. However, this month the company expanded its AI processor partnership with Google and joined Elon Musk’s Terafab AI complex project to produce processors.

Watch today's events

* U.S. bond auction for 20 years (1 p.m. EDT)

* U.S. Corporate Earnings: Tesla, IBM and Moody's

Want to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed here are the author's. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is committed to the Trust Principles and adheres to a policy of integrity, independence and neutrality.

(source: Reuters)