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Asia markets gain on improved AI sentiment; Trump speech is awaited

Investors doubled down on what is seen as the safest bet in artificial intelligence (AI) while the yen was the focus.

Investors who have been shook by the volatility of recent months were also waiting for Donald Trump's State of the Union address on Tuesday night in Washington. Market participants are preparing for remarks that could cover everything from Iran to trade policies.

Early trading saw MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan?up?1% higher.

Japan's Nikkei set a record high. In early trading, it was up 1.1% to 57,956.92 after reaching an intraday high of 58.047.89. The Topix index as a whole rose 0.07%, to 3,818.73.

KOSPI Korea was up nearly 1,7% and trading above 6,001 for the first. The index has risen 44% this year.

The global shortage of memory chips has caused the stock prices of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix to double in value since October. Cash has flooded up the AI supply chains, reaching the most popular chipmakers. The fourth quarter results of the world's largest chipmaker,?Nvidia Corp. will be released after the U.S. market closes on Wednesday.

The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong was up 0.36%, while China's CSI300 index was 0.3% higher.

S&P/ASX200 in Australia was up as much as 1,1%, reaching a new record high. This is despite the fact that consumer prices increased in January, increasing the likelihood of further interest rate increases.

After a 0.8% drop on Tuesday, the yen gained 0.12% to 155.7 dollars per?dollar.

According to a report, the Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi expressed her concerns about future interest rate increases to Bank of Japan Governor Kazuoueda. This raises doubts regarding the next rate increase.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, the euro and others) fell by 0.05%, to 97.84. At $1.1777, the euro was up 0.05%.

A survey released last week showed that the majority of economists believe the BOJ will raise its key interest rate to 1% at the end of the month. Some even expect a move in April due to rising inflationary concerns and the weakening of the yen.

The current odds are 50% for a rise in April and 65% for a raise in June. This latest news, which was expected to change her stance regarding monetary policy, has brought uncertainty to the market. Investors will be eager to learn who she nominates for the two new members of the Bank of Japan board that are expected to announce today.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased by 0.5 basis points, to 4,039%. Meanwhile, the yield on 30-year bonds rose by 0.4 basis point to 4.6933%.

Anthropic, a San Francisco-based startup, unveiled ten new ways that business customers can use its AI plugins. This rekindled enthusiasm for AI's potential to boost profits across a variety of sectors.

AI-related stock prices have been volatile in recent weeks, as investors worried that heavy capital expenditure on AI might not translate into profits anytime soon.

"AI isn't a bubble, but it doesn't mean that every AI bet pays off." Laura Cooper, Nuveen’s head of macrocredit and global investment strategist, said that some companies are spending a lot on AI but will likely not see a return.

In their speeches on Tuesday, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook both expressed the view that they believed the US labour market was beginning to stabilize.

ANZ analysts said that it is clear that many members are waiting for inflation to continue rising before lowering policy.

While there are signs of stabilisation of the labour market in 2026, conditions on the labour market remain soft and are a source for disinflationary tension.

ANZ predicted that the Fed would start easing interest rates in the second half of the year, likely in June. They forecast 75 basis point cuts for this year.

U.S. crude oil rose by 0.75%, to $66.12 per barrel. Brent was up 0.75% at $71.30.

Spot gold remained flat at $5,138.49 per ounce. Spot silver dropped 0.43% to $86.66 an ounce.

(source: Reuters)