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India limits duty-free imports of gold for jewellery exporters in order to curb demand
India tightened the rules on duty-free gold imports for jewelry exports, capping the imports at only 100 kilos per license, according to an order from the government. The country is the second largest consumer of precious metals in the world. This week, the South Asian nation raised its import tariffs for gold and silver from 6% to 15% as part of an effort to reduce foreign purchases of these metals. It also aims to ease pressure on reserves of foreign currency due to higher oil prices. India is one of the leading exporters in the world of gold jewellery. New Delhi allows manufacturers and jewellers, under the scheme of advance authorisation, to import gold for export without paying any duty. On Thursday, the?government changed import rules for jewellers by capping gold imports at 100 kilograms per license and tying future licences with fulfilling at least 50% earlier export obligations. According to the order, first-time applicants must also undergo a physical inspection of the manufacturing facility by regional authorities in order to verify its existence, production capability and operational status. The holders of licences are also required to submit fortnightly, independent, chartered accountant-certified reports detailing the gold imports or exports that were conducted under this scheme. The new rules have excessive compliance requirements. The government appears to be trying to discourage gold imports even though this could result in a decrease in jewellery exports. According to the data collected by the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council, India's gold jewellery exports in 2025/26, which included both plain and studded segments, stood at $11.36 Billion in fiscal year 2025/26, which ended in March. "The government appears determined to reduce gold imports." "The government is increasing import barriers, one by one," said an Indian bullion dealer based in Kolkata. (Reporting and editing by Mark Potter, Ros Russell and Rajendra Jadhav)
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Gold prices steady as investors turn their attention to the Middle East and Trump-Xi summit
Gold 'prices remained steady on Thursday as investors focused on the latest developments of the U.S. and Israel war against Iran, and the signals from President Obama's meeting with Chinese president Xi Jinping. Dollars other than the greenback rose by 0.2%. This makes bullion priced in greenbacks more expensive. At 1043 a.m. (1443 GMT), spot gold was unchanged at $4,689.99 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell by 0.2% to $4695.80. The price of oil dropped after Iran's?state media reported that 30 vessels had recently crossed the Strait of Hormuz. Attacks on vessels were also reported in the area. Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that if the Middle East conflict doesn't end, there is a risk of a major downturn in gold. He added that if the Middle East conflict is not resolved, there could be a significant downturn in gold prices. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool the price of a U.S. rate cut has been priced in at any time this year. This is due to an energy-driven sharp rise in U.S. consumer and producer prices in April. Gold is considered a hedge against rising inflation but higher interest rates can weigh down on this non-yielding material. In a recent note, Nikos Tzabouras of Tradu.com said that gold is lacking a firm direction. Markets are weighing lingering geopolitical uncertainties,?the economic impact from the Middle East conflict, and the hope that the 'Trump-Xi' meeting will?help broker a solution. Xi also told Trump on Thursday that the trade talks were progressing but warned against a disagreement about Taiwan which could cause'relationships to fall apart, or even lead to conflict. Taiwan was not mentioned in the U.S. summary. The Indian government has announced a 100-kilogram limit on imports of gold under its advance authorization program, which allows Indian exporters to benefit from certain exemptions. Silver spot fell by 3.5%, to $84.88 an ounce. Platinum fell by 3.4%, to $2,065.05, while palladium fell by 3.7%, to $1,443.62. (Reporting and editing by Paul Simao, Nick Zieminski and Ishaan arora in Bengaluru)
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Iraq requested financial assistance from IMF in response to the Iran war, a source said
A source close to the IMF confirmed that Iraqi officials had approached the IMF about financial assistance due to the conflict in the Middle East. The source stated that initial discussions took place 'last month at the spring meetings of IMF and World Bank, in Washington. Discussions are still ongoing on how much funding Iraq will need, and how a loan will be structured. The massive U.S. and Israeli bombing campaign that began February 28 against Iran, which prompted Tehran to close the Strait o'Hormuz, has rocked Middle East and caused damage to infrastructure and economies. Iraq has been 'hard hit' by the war. The majority of its oil exports, which represents nearly all of government income, have been cut off due to the closure of a critical waterway that previously carried around?one fifth of the world?s crude oil. IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack stated that the IMF worked with the World Bank, the International Energy Administration and other organizations to assess the effects of the war on its member countries. She added that the Fund is also actively engaged in discussions with its member countries, many of whom are seeking policy advice. She said that IMF Director Kristalina Georgeieva had stated the IMF had received requests for help from "at least 12" countries, but refused to give any details on which countries requested assistance. The Iraqi government and its embassy in Washington did not immediately comment. Iraq's economy is heavily dependent on oil exports. Iraq's latest financial deal with IMF was a $3.8 billion standby agreement that expired in July 2019. Of this amount, $1.49bn was drawn. Iraq is owed $2.39 billion by the global lender, which includes $891 million that was provided through a rapid funding instrument. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Chizu Nomiyama, and Andrea Shalal)
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US Wireless carriers launch joint venture to address rural "dead zones"
Verizon, AT&T, and?T-Mobile announced on Thursday they had agreed in principle to form a joint venture to address coverage gaps that have existed for years - especially in rural areas - by using satellite-based technology. The plan, according to the largest wireless companies in the United States, aims to eliminate nearly all dead zones that lack mobile service. The plan aims to improve network performance and ensure redundant connectivity in natural disasters using "direct-to-device" satellite technology. The Federal Communications Commission has approved EchoStar’s $40 billion sale to SpaceX and AT&T of wireless spectrum. EchoStar will sell?65 Megahertz to SpaceX at a cost of $17 billion in order to enhance SpaceX’s Starlink’s next-generation device-to device offering. The joint venture will invest in satellite-based direct-to device technologies to fill coverage gaps. Analysts also believe that the joint venture could be defensive, as some are concerned SpaceX will eventually compete directly with U.S. wireless providers. FCC Chairman Brendan Carr said in an interview that the sale of $40 billion worth of spectrum provides Starlink with a clear path to "enter direct into the cell market." Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, has stated that the company has deployed over 650 Starlink satellites to support a new direct-to device business. Musk said that the company's goal was to "deliver complete cellular coverage on Earth." Carr said Starlink would be able to deal with dead zones on its own, or in partnership traditional carriers. SpaceX will gain 'exclusive-use spectrum to develop a Starlink service that connects devices or directly to cell phones, among other services. The FCC stated that AT&T’s low-band spectrum would expand coverage throughout the United States, particularly in rural and underserved regions. Carr said, "We are fundamentally reshaping wireless industry with this approval." "As regulators, our job is to give the market a fair chance at settling itself." Direct to cell is not a "winner", but neither are we putting it aside and declaring it as a "loser". The FCC has also granted SpaceX waivers to address the convergence of satellite and wireless broadband. The FCC's announcement allows SpaceX to use their new spectrum in a flexible manner for hybrid, terrestrial and space-based network architectures. The FCC has ordered EchoStar to set up an escrow fund of $2.4 billion, which would cover any amount that EchoStar may owe as a result of disputes over the work done under licenses. (Reporting and editing by Sharon Singleton, Nick Zieminski and David Shepardson)
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Investors focus on Middle East and Trump-Xi Meeting as gold prices ease
?Gold prices dipped on Thursday as investors focused mainly?on a?recent development in the Middle East conflict and signals from U.S. president Donald Trump's recent meeting with Chinese president Xi Jinping. At 9:42 am EDT (1342 GMT), spot gold was down by 0.4% to $4,668.34 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell by 0.7% to $4672.70. The dollar?U.S. The dollar rose 0.1% and made metals priced in greenbacks more expensive to holders of other currencies. Oil prices fell after Iran's official media reported that 30 vessels had recently crossed the Strait of?Hormuz. This report briefly boosted gold prices. Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategy for TD Securities. He said that if this Middle East conflict doesn't end, there is a risk of a "significant downturn" in gold. He said that if inventories and supplies of energy products are reduced, prices could rise dramatically, resulting in an increase in inflation. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool the U.S. rate cuts are largely priced in at this point in the year due to an 'energy-driven increase in U.S. consumer and producer prices in April. Gold is considered to be a hedge against rising inflation. However, as interest rates rise, the metal tends to lose its appeal. The data released on Thursday revealed that?U.S. Retail?sales increased in April but some of this increase was due to higher prices. Xi reassured Trump on Thursday that the trade talks are progressing, but warned that disagreements over Taiwan could lead to a 'dangerous path' and even conflict. Taiwan was not mentioned in the U.S. summary. Spot silver dropped 3.8% to $84.00 per ounce. Platinum fell 3.4% at $2,065.50 and palladium fell 3.7% to $1,443.74. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; editing by Paul Simao)
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Iraq requested financial assistance from IMF in response to the Iran war, a source said
A source close to the IMF confirmed on Thursday that Iraqi officials had approached the International Monetary Fund in order to?secure financial assistance due to the conflict in the Middle East. Sources said that initial discussions took place during the spring meetings in Washington of the IMF and World Bank, and are continuing about how much funding Iraq will need and the structure of any loan. The Middle East has been rocked by the war that began February 28 with a massive U.S. and Israeli bombing campaign on Iran. This led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Iraq was hard-hit by the war. Its oil exports, which make up nearly all of its government revenue, were cut off due to the closing of the crucial waterway that?previously transported about one-fifth the world's crude oils. The?IMF and the Iraqi Embassy did not immediately comment. Iraq's economy is heavily dependent on oil exports. It has the?fifth-largest?petroleum reserve in the world. Iraq's latest financial?deal was a $3.8 billion standby agreement that expired in July 2019. Of this amount, $1.49billion was drawn according to the IMF website. Iraq is owed $2.39 billion by the global lender, according to the website. This includes $891 million that was provided through a rapid funding instrument. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Chizu Nomiyama, and Andrea Shalal)
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Venezuelan bonds rise after debt restructuring by government
Venezuela's bonds rose on Thursday, after the country began a restructuration exercise that is expected to be one of the largest and most complex sovereign debt restructuring exercises undertaken. Venezuelan government announced that it has appointed U.S. consulting firm Centerview Partners to rework what is estimated at hundreds of billions dollars in sovereign and state-owned debt. The dollar-denominated bonds of the country, which have been in default for years but still trade on financial markets, reached their highest level since more than a decade. Data from Tradeweb showed that the bonds of Petroleos de Venezuela, a state oil company, were at a decade high, at 40 to 50 cents. Jean-Charles 'Sambor is the head of EM Debt at TT International, London. He viewed it as a signal that a restructured debt was now a top priority for both Caracas, and the White House. He added that "the recovery rate will high" because we are dealing with a country whose oil production and debt sustainability has improved sharply. COMPREHENSIVE & ORDERLY Venezuela, the South American nation with the largest oil reserves in the world, and Petroleos de Venezuela (the state oil company) owe between $150 and $170 billion dollars of debt and interest. This burden must be reduced for the economy to remain viable. The government announced late Wednesday that it aimed for a "comprehensive" and "orderly" overhaul of the debt burdens, which would include both sovereign debt as well as that of PDVSA. Venezuela defaulted on its debts due to U.S. sanction pressure in 2017. However, its bonds have steadily increased since U.S. president Donald Trump returned the White House at the beginning of last year. Since the U.S. ousted President Maduro, in January, momentum has picked up and Washington's relations with acting Venezuelan president Delcy Rodrguez have become closer. In a client note, JPMorgan analyst Benjamin?Ramsey stated that the goal is to move "expeditiously" with financial advisers. "We remain MW (marketweight), Venezuela in our portfolio model, pending an?improved assessment of a framework for debt sustainability." Ramsey said that although the process was questioned, it is worth noting that it began before the International Monetary Fund provided its assessment of Venezuela's economic prospects or debt sustainability metrics.
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Markets focus on Trump-Xi Meeting
?Gold was largely stable?on Friday, as investors focused mainly on a meeting between U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping. They also digested a rise in U.S. prices due to increased energy costs associated with the Iran War. As of 1112 GMT, spot gold was up 0.2% to $4,696.36 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.1% to $4,703.70. China's Xi said that the trade talks are?making good progress? at the beginning of a two day summit on Thursday, but that a disagreement over Taiwan might?damage relationships and even lead conflict? Gold is still hovering at $4,700 while markets digest the latest U.S. inflation figures. It is very evident that we are now in a phase of consolidation," said Swissquote analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa. Data on Wednesday revealed that U.S. Producer prices had posted their largest increase in four-years in April. This is the latest indication of an accelerating inflation. On Tuesday, data showed that the annual U.S. consumer inflation had posted its biggest gain in three year. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders have priced in a large amount of interest rate increases this year. This is due to the rising cost of energy. The?U.S. The Senate has approved Kevin Warsh to be the chair of the Federal reserve. Gold is considered to be a hedge against rising inflation. However, as interest rates rise, the metal becomes less attractive. HSBC has raised its forecasts for silver prices to $75 an ounce by '2026. The bank cited the weaker U.S. -dollar. However, the bank believes that there is only limited room 'to the upside as silver remains too overvalued. Silver spot fell by 1.3%, to $86.86 an ounce. Platinum fell by 1.3%, to $2,110.70. Palladium fell 2.2%, to $1,467.03. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis in Bengaluru, Noel John)
MORNING BID AMERICAS - Flood the zone
By Anna Szymanski
What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend.
From the Editor
Hello Morning Bid readers! The week began with a bang and it is yet to be seen if it will end on a whimper. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell revealed that the Justice Department threatened to indict him on Sunday, drawing widespread condemnation. In a wide-ranging, multifaceted interview with President Donald Trump on Wednesday, Trump stated that he did not plan to fire Powell and also hinted at a possible delay in intervening in Iran.
Do investors have a chance to relax until next week? Most likely not. Monday in 2026 is still a very long time away. Trump has claimed he's in a "wait-and-see" mode with Iran, where 2,000 people were killed by a human rights organization. He also continues to threaten to buy Greenland. Just before Trump's meeting with Venezuelan leader Maria Corina Machado who recently won the Nobel Peace Prize, the United States seized a second Venezuelan-linked tanker. Washington's actions in Venezuela could be the start of a larger U.S. effort to realign Latin America in terms of geoeconomics, which would limit the ability of Russia or China to use Western Hemisphere commodity markets as a point of pressure. This week, geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Iran as well as the Black Sea brought energy markets to the forefront. Brent crude prices spiked by 9% during the week ending Wednesday, reaching a three-month peak above $66 per barrel. However, they then plummeted below $64 after Trump's reversal on Iran. A large supply glut is still present, creating a dangerous environment for crude investors. Gold prices fell after reaching a new record high of $4642.72 per ounce on Tuesday. Gold may still have a number of tailwinds that will support price increases in this year despite this decline, including central bank appetite for gold and demand for safe-haven assets. This week, the Japanese yen was also volatile. The currency dropped on Wednesday, reaching a low of around 160 dollars per yen, an 18-month record. Since then, it has strengthened partly due to comments made by Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama regarding the possibility that the United States and Japan could work together to protect the currency. Is there more yen instability likely? It is likely, because Japan's economy has returned to normality after decades of turmoil. Investors may need some time to adjust to this new reality. The main dollar index, which is a measure of the currency's value, has been on the rise this week in spite of all the political turmoil domestically and internationally. The markets believe that while the Trump administration was able to roll back the near 50% increase in the dollar over the last?15-year period, the 7% decline expected by 2025 could be the end. The markets also received some additional information this week on U.S. Inflation, as the Consumer Price Index for December was released on Tuesday. The report revealed a slightly lower-than-expected increase in annual core prices. However, consumers and policymakers should not be cheered, as inflation could be higher than it appears. The major U.S. equity indices are expected to finish the week higher despite a tech-driven mid-week sell-off which was stopped by TSMC's blockbuster earnings report. Taiwan and Washington reached a deal Thursday to reduce tariffs on many Taiwanese exports. U.S. stock prices continue to shrug off Trump’s unorthodox policy, just as they did back in 2025, with the exceptions of the post "Liberation Day" ructions. But now that Trump has become the market activist, this might not last for very long. Check out Open Interest for more news on commodities and markets. Learn why talent is more important than territory in the future of AI, why the London Metals Exchange enjoyed a great resurgence since its crisis-induced years of 2022 and why uranium may rise this year.
Check out the reading, listening, and watching suggestions from the ROI team as we enter the weekend. Please contact me at
We're reading this weekend... ANDY HOME. ROI Metals columnist. Amanda van Dyke is the founder of Critical Mineral Hub. She offers a incisive view on why the U.S. government is so focused on Greenland. Rare earths are the topic, but not as you may think. RON BOUSSO is the ROI Energy columnist. Energy analyst Gerard Reid wrote a blog post that provoked thought about recent power outages. In the last year, Europe suffered from a series major blackouts which highlight the challenges that economies will face when undergoing the energy transition. Mike Dolan, ROI Finance & Markets columnist: In the IMF's Finance & Development Magazine, historian Johan Nordberg has written a powerful essay on his book Peak Human: What we can learn from the rise and fall of golden ages. He writes: "Leaders offer safety, greatness and a return of an imagined golden age by protecting and controlling. When the future seems uncertain, it is easy to fall into a familiar story. "Yet history tells us a different story." GAVIN MAGUIRE is a columnist for ROI Global Energy Transformation. Orennia, a software and intelligence company that specializes in energy, offers eight charts to define 2025.
Listen to JAMIE MCGEEVER, ROI Markets columnist. In the latest Perkins vs. Beamish Podcast, "Powell vs Trump – It's War," TS-Lombard economists Dario Perkins, and Freya Beamish, dissect President Trump's sudden escalation of tensions with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
We're keeping an eye on... MIKE DOLAN: In 2025, stocks, bonds, and commodities all survived multiple shocks. Will they continue to show resilience in the coming year? This episode of The Big View features Peter Thal Larsen, editor-in charge of Open Interest and Anna Szymanski who discuss inflation, AI, and the buy-the dip mindset.
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(source: Reuters)