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Copper prices increase as the market evaluates US job data
Copper prices rose on Wednesday. The latest US labour market data revealed a rebound of?job creation but a higher unemployment rate in November. As of 0330 GMT, the most traded?copper contracts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased?0.30%, to?92550 yuan (about $13,139.40) per ton. The benchmark copper for three months on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.97%, to $11,704 per ton. Data showed that the U.S. job growth recovered in November despite unemployment being at a record high. Copper prices, on the other hand, have remained above $11,600 per ton. This is due to?supply concerns and prospects of a boom in demand from data centres, as well as energy transition. Shanghai aluminium rose 0.83% per ton to 21,975 Yuan, while London's benchmark aluminium?rose 0.42%, to $2,888.50. After failing to reach a power agreement with the government, the Australian mining company South32 announced on Tuesday that it would put its Mozal Smelter under care and maintenance in March. Analysts at ING Economics wrote in a report that the decision by South 32 to close its smelter "should keep long-term global inventories low while prices will?see further upside next year". Nickel has recovered after a sell-off since Monday. The benchmark three-month Nickel?rose by 1.07% and the most traded nickel on SHFE rose by 0.67%. On Tuesday, the Shanghai nickel reached a low of 40 months while on Monday, the London benchmark hit a low of?eight months. Zinc fell 0.86% on SHFE. Lead dropped 0.77%. Tin rose 1.42%. Wednesday, December 17 DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0700 UK CPI, Core CPI YY Nov 0700 UK Services MM, YY Nov 0900 Germany Ifo Business Climate New Dec 0900 Germany Ifo Curr Conditions, Expectations New Dec 1000 EU HICP Final MM, yy Nov ($1 = 7.0437 Chinese renminbi) Wednesday, December 17, DATA/EVENTS, (GMT) 0700 UK CPI Core CPI YY, Nov 0700 UK CPI Services, MM, Nov 0900 Germany Ifo Business climate New Dec 0900 Germany Ifo Currency Conditions, Expectations, New Dec 1000 EU HiCP Final MM YY, Nov (1 Chinese Yuan = 7.0437 Renminbi). (Reporting and Editing by Dylan Duan, Lewis Jackson, Ronojoy Mazumdar.
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Silver reaches $65 for the first time, gold increases as US unemployment rate rises
Silver soared above the $65 mark on Wednesday for the first time, while gold edged up a bit as 'weaker U.S. labor data rekindled expectation of interest rate cuts, pressing the dollar and boosting the demand for precious metals. Spot silver rose 2.8%, reaching a new record of $65.63 per ounce. Gold spot prices rose 0.4%, to $4,321.56 per ounce, by 0230 GMT. U.S. gold futures gained 0.4% to $4350.50. Many of the end-of-year reports have stated that precious metals are the best performing asset class. "I would attribute the silver appreciation of today to speculative flow," GoldSilver Central's MD Brian Lan stated. The rally was a response to U.S. data that showed the Unemployment rate The percentage of respondents who said they were satisfied with their lives has risen to 4.6%, higher than a recent poll Forecast The 4.4% figure is a good example. Lan said that the unemployment data had definitely benefited precious metals, and weakened the dollar. This has led investors to look at other asset classes with higher returns in order to hedge against risk. Dollar index was near the two-month-low touched on Tuesday. This made greenback priced bullion attractive to foreign buyers. The U.S. Federal Reserve announced last week that it would be reducing interest rates by a quarter-point for the rest of the year. Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, however, were not as hawkish as expected. Traders still expect two cuts Each 25 basis points in 2026. In a low-interest rate environment, non-yielding investments like gold typically perform well. Investors are now awaiting key U.S. Inflation readings. The Consumer Price Index is due Thursday, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures -index, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation - due Friday. Meanwhile, ?U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent On Tuesday, Trump said that Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett are both qualified to be the head of the Federal Reserve. He added that Trump's picks should have an "open mind." Palladium, which had earlier reached a session high of $1,602,60, was unchanged at $1,602.60. (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich in Bengaluru, Ronojoy Mazumdar, and Ishaan arora from Bengaluru)
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Iron ore at a one-week high, supported by improved spot market liquidity
The price of iron ore futures rose to an all-time high on Wednesday. This was due to the accelerated buying in the spot market, as steelmakers restocked feedstocks in preparation for consumption during 'the Lunar New Year holidays in February. By 0212 GMT, the most traded iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 1.05% to reach 766.5 Yuan ($108.84). It reached its highest level since December 11, at 769 Yuan, earlier in the session. As of 0202 GMT, the benchmark January 'iron ore' on the Singapore Exchange had risen by 0.59% to $103.15 per ton. The price of iron ore in January was up 0.59% at $103.15 a ton, as of 0202 GMT. Analysts said that improved liquidity on the spot market has lifted the mood. Mysteel, a consultancy, reported that iron ore transactions?in both the portside and maritime markets jumped by 18,2% and 76.8% respectively on Tuesday. There seems to be less pressure to cut further in December in order to meet a national goal set earlier this year. Beijing pledged to restructure the giant steel industry in March by cutting output. Prices of seaborne iron ore Goldman Sachs predicted $95 for the fourth quarter. Coke and coking coal, the other ingredients used in steelmaking, both grew by 0.33% % respectively. The majority of steel benchmarks at the?Shanghai Futures Exchange rose. The rebar price rose 0.1%. Hot-rolled coil was up 0.03%. Wire rod increased 1.64%. Stainless steel was unchanged. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu Sahu; $1 = 7.0422 Chinese Yuan)
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US orders TransAlta coal unit in Washington State to remain open
The U.S. energy secretary signed an executive order on Tuesday that will 'keep a unit at TransAlta coal power?plant open for most of the winter in Washington State, the latest step taken by the Trump Administration to support fossil fuels. The order instructs the unit 2 at Centralia Generating?Station, to remain open. The order says that it is to close at the end of 2025. However, it will remain in force until March 16, 2026. Chris Wright, Energy Secretary of the United States, said in September that he expected that many coal plants would delay their retirement to provide electricity for artificial intelligence. Wright stated that the U.S. Government had held discussions with utilities across the country and expected the majority of coal plants in the United States nearing retirement will delay their closure. When coal is burned, it releases more carbon dioxide than any other fossil fuel. The U.S. coal-burning power plants have increased their output this year due to the demand for electricity from manufacturing and artificial intelligence. Last month, the administration of President Donald Trump reordered for the third time the J.H. Campbell The Michigan coal-fired power plant will remain open, even though its majority owner claims that it has already cost him tens and millions of dollars. This plant will continue to operate until mid-February.
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Trump orders blockade on sanctioned oil tankers entering or leaving Venezuela
U.S. president Donald Trump on?Tuesday?ordered the blockade of sanctioned oil tankers that enter and leave Venezuela. He also?added?that he now regards the nation's leaders as a terrorist foreign organization. Trump said on Truth Social that the Venezuelan regime has been designated a FOREIGN TERRORIST?ORGANIZATION for terrorism, drug smuggling and human?trafficking. "Therefore today, I am ordering a TOTAL AND COMPLETE BLOCKING OF ALL SANCTIONED OIL TANNKS going into and out of Venezuela." Trump's remarks came just a week after the U.S. The United States seized an oil tanker sanctioned by the U.N. off the coasts of Venezuela. This was the latest in a campaign to pressure the Venezuelan government led by Nicolas Maduro whom Trump blamed for 'drugs entering the U.S. At an event held on Tuesday night, before Trump's post, Trump's campaign included an increased military presence in the region, and over two dozen military attacks on vessels in the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea near Venezuela that have killed at least ninety people. Trump has also said that U.S. land attacks on South American countries will occur. Soon start . (Reporting from Washington by Jasper Ward, with additional reporting by Julia Symmes Cobb. Editing by Scott Malone.
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The UK will provide financial assistance to help save the last ethylene plant in Nigeria
In a partnership with chemicals group INEOS, the British government announced on Wednesday that it would provide financial assistance to Grangemouth, which is the last ethylene production plant in Britain, so as to protect chemical production and hundreds?of jobs. Ethylene can be found in plastics of a?medical grade? and other chemical products, such as water treatment and key industries like advanced manufacturing, aerospace and automotive. Grangemouth in Scotland was Britain's first oil refinery. But crude oil processing ended there in April. The operator Petroineos stated that the facility was closed because it lost about $500,000 per day and became uncompetitive against larger, "more modern" refineries in Africa, the Middle East and Asia. The plant's main operation changed after the refinery was closed to include the production of chemicals like ethylene. INEOS announced that it would invest 150?million pounds (201.20 millions) at its Grangemouth facility, backed up by a '75-million-pound government loan guarantee - and a 50 million grant. The government says that the package will improve energy efficiency, reduce carbon emissions, and boost productivity. Peter Kyle, the business minister said that "the UK government's decision will protect Grangemouth and its strategic national importance as well as secure 500 vital jobs for the area." He added, "By partnering up with INEOS, we're backing the plant and its future for the long term. We give certainty to the workers as well as the supply chain moving forward." In recent years the chemicals industry in Europe has been facing significant challenges, including high energy prices, with around 40% of European ethylene capacity recently having?closed? or being at risk. The government announced in August that it was not going to provide financial assistance to the struggling bioethanol sector. This left a sector already battered from the UK's tariff agreement with U.S. president Donald Trump, facing imminent collapse.
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Brazil asks regulator to terminate Enel's Sao Paulo power contract
Brazilian Mines and Energy minister Alexandre Silveira announced?on?Tuesday that the government will urge the power regulator Aneel to begin the process of terminating the?contract?with local unit of Italian company Enel?in Sao Paulo. Silveira said that Enel had lost the right to provide services in Sao Paulo after meeting with Mayor Ricardo Nunes of Sao Paulo and Governor Tarcisio de Freitas. Last week, strong winds caused by an 'extratropical storm' disrupted the power supply to over 2 million customers?in the Sao Paulo metro area. Among them were 1.4 million in the city of Sao Paulo. Enel declined to respond immediately to a request for comment. Aneel also declined to comment. After severe weather events in recent years, which left millions of customers without power for several days in the city, the utility company has been harshly criticized. Implications of the announcement weren't immediately clear. Silveira's statement was similar to one he made last year after another major outage of power in Sao Paulo. Termination is a decision that is made only after the company has been subpoenaed to appear before regulators. This process guarantees that it will be able to defend itself. Aneel had previously served Enel with a subpoena for previous actions that were?considered inadequate to restore power after extreme weather events. Aneel’s board began to evaluate a new subpoena last month. However, a decision had to be postponed because of a review request. Reporting by Isabel Teles, Leticia Fucuchima and Fernando Cardoso. Editing by Kylie Madry, Jamie Freed and Kylie Madry.
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Quotations-EU unveils plans for reversing the 2035 ban on combustion engines
On Tuesday, the European Commission made public proposals to reverse an effective prohibition on the sale of new cars with internal combustion engines from 2035. This was in response to pressure from Germany and other major automakers. The package proposes to reduce the 2035 target to 90% of the 2021 tailpipe emissions, while also introducing measures to speed up the transition to electric vehicles and give manufacturers more flexibility. The major reactions to the decision are: BMW GERMAN LUXURY CREAMAKER It is a first important step that the EU Commission does not pursue technology bans anymore as a "guiding" principle, but acknowledges the viability of combustion engines in the future." STEFFEN KAWOHL IS A POLICY ADVISOR FOR THE GERMAN MITTELSTAND (DMB). The automotive industry will still undergo a transformation, even if the combustion engine ban is lifted. This would only be justified if the German economy used the extra time to accelerate the transition to fossil free mobility. STELLANTIS IS A FIAT TO JEEP MAKER. The proposals don't address the current issues facing the industry. The package does not provide a viable path for the light commercial vehicle segment, which is currently in a critical state, nor the flexibility requested by the industry to be implemented for passenger cars in 2030. DOMINIC PHINN HEAD OF TRANSPORTATION AT CLIMATE GROUP The watering-down of the phase-out of petrol and diesel engines is a slap in the face to leading companies in Europe who have invested billions of dollars in electric fleets, and need the stability that it offers. MERCEDES BENZ GERMAN CARMAKER "The EU Commission took a positive step towards more flexibility and neutrality in technology for us, as manufacturers." The EU has reacted to the stagnant ramp-up of electric mobility in Europe. CHRIS HERON SECRETARY GENERAL OF E-MOBILITY EUROPE "By reopening our doors to plug-ins and non-scalable biofuels we slow down in an extremely competitive global race." The future of transportation is electric. But the question is, will Europe build it or import it? FRIEDRICH MERZ - GERMAN CHANCELLOR It is good that after a clear signal from Germany, the Commission has now opened up the regulation of the automotive industry. It is important to be more open to technology and flexible in order to align climate targets with market realities, businesses, and jobs. JAN DORNOFF RESEARCH LEADER AT THE INTERNATIONAL CONSULTANCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION The Automotive Package shows that the European Commission is committed to the electrification of cars, as shown by the small and affordable electric car initiatives. "But the proposed changes to CO2 standards will delay the necessary transformations." ANTONIO TAJANI, ITALY'S FOREIGN MINISTER "We have stopped the prohibition on combustion engines by 2035... A choice which protects 70,000 Italian jobs alone." Yes, we must protect the environment. But, at the same time, we must safeguard the dignity of individuals, those who create jobs and do business. BEN NELMES, CEO OF NGO NEW AUTOMOTIVE "The battery industry needs clarity and consistency from Europe. By rewriting the rules, the European Commission undermines trust in their own regulations. They are gambling with Europe's future economic prosperity. JULIEN THOMAS TP ICAP MIDCAP ANALYST "In our opinion, these measures are generally favorable to European manufacturers. Especially those who produce high volumes of light commercial vehicles, where regulatory uncertainty caused sales to drop?this year)." FRENCH CARMAKER RENEUL The Renault Group is pleased that the European Commission has adopted a package of automotive legislation that will address some of the biggest challenges facing the European Industry. "We are particularly impressed by the importance of the acceleration of the adoption of electric cars, both via the introduction of a new category of small electric cars under 4.2 meters and through an initiative in Europe to green fleets." GERMAN CARMAKER VOLKSWAGEN The European Commission's pragmatic proposal for "new CO2 goals" is economic sound in general. The fact that electric small vehicles will receive special assistance in the future is a very positive thing. It is pragmatic to open the market up to vehicles with combustion engines and compensate for their emissions. This is in line with current market conditions. VOLVO CAR "Asserting short-term gains at the expense of long-term commitments risks undermining Europe’s competitiveness in years to come." Investments in public infrastructure and a consistent, ambitious policy framework will bring real benefits to customers, the climate and Europe's industrial strength. "Volvo Cars is ready to make the switch from hybrids to all-electric vehicles with a bridge that spans long ranges. "If we can do this, so can others." THOMAS PECKRUHN PRESIDENT ZDK, GERMANY ASSOCIATION OF MOTOR VEHICLE TRADE "Our businesses are faced with the same problems that European regulations fail to address: high costs of charging, a lack of infrastructure, and a suitability for consumers' everyday use. Climate-neutral transportation only works when it's affordable, reliable and practical for the people. "Anything else is just a theory." The article was written by Mathias de Rozario, Gdansk. Matt Scuffham edited the piece.
Stocks rise on Fed optimism, but sterling and gilts are slammed by budget surprises
The growing bets on a rate cut in the U.S. lifted stocks for a 4th straight day, and Europe's stock markets experienced an incredible few hours when Britain's fiscal regulator accidentally published new forecasts that were crucial ahead of a brutal UK budget.
The UK budget was released by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves and contained yet another round of tax increases.
Early release
The Office for Budget Responsibility’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook has already triggered a response.
The sterling and gilt yields both rose as OBR figures showed a better than expected picture of the UK's fiscal room, but then fell as Reeves gave her speech.
"The problem with this budget is that it has backloaded the majority of fiscal tightening, and what's important has near-term fiscal loosening." Evelyne GomezLiechti, Mizuho's strategist, said that the market has had a mixed reaction.
Reeves' speech was over when UK stocks had gained 0.4%, while European equity markets were up by 0.6%. MSCI's global stocks index rose 0.4%, with Wall Street also poised to start higher.
The UK's budget was the focus of traders, reflecting the tightrope act that the government under pressure and Finance Minister Reeves were performing.
Reeves, who promised that the tax increases would be one-off and were worth $52.7 billion, has now reportedly ordered another 20-30 billion pounds in tax increases.
All of this pushed sterling to $1.32. Meanwhile, 10-year gilt yields -- the main proxy for UK borrowing costs -- ticked upwards to 4.46% after dropping to 4.48% on the previous day. This is their lowest level in nearly two weeks. The yen reversed an initial rise against the U.S. Dollar triggered by sources who said the Bank of Japan is preparing to raise rates as early as next month.
This would be a shift in the central bank's stance to a more hawkish one and follows a meeting between new prime minister Sanae Takaichi, and BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda last week.
The Yomiuri reported that the high approval ratings of Takaichi are also encouraging Japanese opposition parties, who have been preparing for snap elections.
The kiwi currency surged by as much as 1.2% after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand reduced interest rates 25 basis point to 2.25% but removed its dovish advice, signaling an end to the central banks' easing cycle.
The Australian dollar also jumped by 0.5% after an inflation report that was hotter than expected reinforced the bets made there that rate cuts were over for now.
Expectations regarding the rate of exchange
The oil prices also remain volatile. Brent oil prices remained at a low of five weeks after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy signaled on Tuesday that he was willing to move forward with a U.S. backed peace plan.
This could open the door to a relaxation in sanctions against Russian oil companies. Brent traded at $62.50 during London trading. U.S. president Donald Trump said that a deal is near on Tuesday, but investors are aware of the long road ahead.
Wall Street futures pointed to a fourth consecutive day of gains, amid a broader increase in market sentiment. Tuesday's disappointing U.S. retail and consumer confidence numbers had firmed expectations for lowered Fed rates and helped offset some ongoing tech- and AI-related jitters.
Retailers are gearing up for a busy holiday season that begins with Thanksgiving on Thursday. Black Friday, Cyber Monday and the weekend after it will be a critical period.
Investors will also receive a report on September durable goods, which is delayed, at 8:30 am ET. ET. Beige Book, the Fed's snapshot on economic conditions is due at 2 pm. ET.
Fed funds futures are now pricing an implied 80.7% chance of a 25 basis-point cut during the Fed's meeting on December 10, compared to equal odds a week earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hovered around 4,019%. It was little changed from the U.S. closing of 4.002%. After it briefly fell below the 4% threshold this month, for the first.
The Nikkei led the overnight gains in Asia, gaining another 2%. However, the Japanese government bonds' short-term rates rose to their highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis as the selloff of these bonds resumed.
Hong Kong and China’s stocks had lagged behind the wider stock rally after Alibaba's shares fell over 1% following its underwhelming Q4 Guidance.
Bitcoin, which has fallen 30% in the last few months, was just below $87,000. Spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,163.58 an ounce.
(source: Reuters)