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Venezuelan international bonds continue rallying after Maduro's capture

Venezuela's sovereign international bonds gained?more than 2 cents Tuesday, continuing a rally that began in the previous session. This was fuelled by the optimism of investors following the capture by the U.S. over the weekend of President Nicolas Maduro.

Tradeweb data shows that the defaulted 2034 notes accounted for some of the largest gains. They added 2.5 cents to the bid price at 43.01 cents per dollar. Some bonds rose close to 10 cents on Monday.

Petroleos de Venezuela bonds also rose in value, with the 2031 bond up by 2 cents and now bid at 42.60cents.

Several of the 'bonds are trading at their highest level since Donald?Trump began his first term in January 2017. This marked the beginning of a sharp increase of U.S. sanction regime against Caracas, which saw Venezuela go into sovereign default.

Since Trump began his second term, in January 2025, many bonds have nearly tripled in price.

Fuelled by Hope

For a regime change in Venezuela that would pave the way for a future debt restructuring.

Jared Lou, portfolio director at William Blair Investment Management said: "We believe the outlook for debt restructuring could shift significantly, as expectations have improved for the ultimate?recovery of Venezuelan debt."

Venezuelan bond values could rise if a credible, structured political transition takes place. This would allow U.S. oil companies to resume operations and enable sovereign debt restructuring. (Reporting and editing by Karin Strohecker; Andrew Heavens, Libby George)

(source: Reuters)