Latest News
-
As US-Iran hostilities resume, oil prices rise and gold drops
As the dollar and oil prices rose on Wednesday due to renewed hostilities between Iran and the U.S., gold fell to an 11-week low, fueling concerns over inflation and interest rates hikes. Gold spot was down 1.9% to $4,181.04 an ounce at 0414 GMT after reaching its lowest level since 23 March. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 1.9% to $4204.70. Dollars rose, causing greenback-priced gold to be?more costly for holders of currencies other than the dollar. Oil prices rose 1%, fueling inflation fears and expectations that interest rates will remain high for a longer period. The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have changed, as has the increase in yields. Ilya Spivak is the head of global macro for Tastylive. He believes that all three factors are weighing down on gold. On?Tuesday, the United States launched strikes against Iran. President Donald Trump claimed that Tehran had shot down an Apache helicopter from the United States in Strait of Hormuz. This has deepened doubts about a possible peace deal and further strained a fragile ceasefire. Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed that they carried out attacks on a U.S. Base in Jordan as well as 21 other targets in Gulf on Wednesday in retaliation to the American strikes. According to the CME FedWatch, traders are pricing in more than 70% of an increase in U.S. rates by December. Gold is often seen as a hedge to?inflation. However, higher interest rates tend to put a strain on this non-yielding material. The markets are waiting for key U.S. reports on inflation this week. These include the Consumer Price Index data from May, which will be released later that day, and the Producer Price Index reading, scheduled for Thursday. This is to determine the Fed's policy. Spivak stated that if we could break the $4100 level I believe the path of resistance for gold would fundamentally change. We might start to look at the $3,500 level as the next level by the end the year. Spot silver dropped 2.1% to $64.01 an ounce. Platinum fell 3.4% to 1,667.92 and palladium was down 1.5% at $1,204.24. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu, Sonia cheema, and Pablo Sinha from Bengaluru)
-
Oil prices rise as tensions between the US and Iran flare up again, while stocks are tightened
After?the U.S. The military launched new attacks against Iran, and market data revealed another large drawdown in U.S. oil stocks. Brent futures climbed 66 cents or 0.7% to $92.11 a bar at 0406 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude crude crude climbed by 60 cents or 0.7% to $88.80. After President Donald Trump promised to act on the downing of an Apache attack helicopter by the U.S., this was a new escalation which threatened to unravel a fragile truce between Washington and Tehran. Priyanka?Nova, a senior analyst at Phillip 'Nova, stated that the latest attacks have shifted traders’ focus to war risks and possible supply disruptions. Sachdeva stated that "while diplomatic efforts are still ongoing, recent military exchanges have brought back a geopolitical premium to oil markets." Tehran has said that it will resume hostilities?if Israel continues to attack Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel's refusal of ending its campaign against 'Iran-backed Hezbollah' has hindered Trumps attempts to 'extend a fragile ceasefire' in the larger U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran to a durable resolution. The ING commodity analysts said that if the disruptions continue into the third quarter - a time of higher oil demand - prices could rise. Tehran continues to 'block most shipping through Strait of Hormuz. This normally transports a fifth of crude oil and natural gas around the world. Washington has imposed a blockade on?Iranian port. U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright stated on Tuesday that the?oil-exports through 'the Strait of Hormuz? are increasing even though Washington and Tehran struggled to reach an agreement on ending their three-month war. According to data released by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday, U.S. crude oil inventories dropped for an eighth straight week. Gasoline stocks also fell. Sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said that crude stocks dropped by 9.12 million barrels during the week ending June?5. Gasoline inventories also fell by a total of 1.19 million barrels. During the war, the United States was a marginal crude and product supplier and increased exports to Asia. A drop in U.S. stocks could harm exports and increase prices. Reporting by Arathy S. Somasekhar, Jeslyn Lerh and Shri Navaratnam; Editing by Sonali Paul and Shri Navaratnam
-
Officials alter train schedule after drones strike historic museum in Russia annexed Crimea
Local authorities said on Wednesday that Ukrainian drones had hit a historical museum in Sevastopol, in Russia-annexed Crimea. They also reduced the number?nighttime train services in response to intensifying air strikes. The museum is dedicated to the 1853-1856 Crimea War, which was fought between the Russian Empire and a coalition including the Ottoman Empire. In that war, Russia lost. Mikhail Razvozhayev said that the roof of the museum was damaged on Telegram. He didn't provide any details on the damage, or if there were casualties. "The enemy will be held accountable for this sacrilege!" Razvozhayev wrote in his early Wednesday morning post. Sergei Aksyonov, the Crimea's Russian-installed Governor, said on Telegram that authorities had cut night train schedules after a drone strike this week killed a train assistant and injured a driver. Fuel shortages are affecting the Black 'Sea Peninsula of Crimea after recent Ukraine drone strikes, just as the holiday season is about to begin. Last week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr?Zelenskiy proposed face-to?face?talks? with Russian President Vladimir?Putin. He rejected the proposal. The Kremlin claimed that Ukraine undermined efforts to reach a peaceful solution to the conflict after the train accident. A regional governor reported that the city of Novokuibyshevsk, in Russia's Samara Region, which is a major oil hub along the Volga River and hosts several refineries run by state-controlled Rosneft, had successfully repelled drone attacks. Local media reported that authorities urged residents to take shelter in the city's one million inhabitants as public transport was suspended due to air raid alerts. The Ukraine's continued attacks on the Russian energy infrastructure have forced Moscow to?cut its?oil production, which is third largest in the world. The regional governor wrote on Telegram that falling debris from a UAV triggered a fire in a fuel tank located at a site for civilians. On Telegram, the Mayor of Moscow also said that the city is repelling drone attacks. According to local authorities, in a rare move, the remote oil-producing regions of Khanty-Mansiysk and Perm, as well as the industrial regions Chelyabinsk?and Sverdlovsk?in Ural Mountains thousands of kilometers (miles?) from Ukraine issued air raid warnings. Could not independently verify reports. Reporting by Jekaterina Glubkova, Tokyo; editing by Neil Fullick
-
Taliban: Pakistani airstrikes in Afghanistan kill at least 13, Taliban claims
Zabihullah Mojahid, the Afghan Taliban's spokesperson, said that at least 13 people, including 11 children, were killed after Pakistani military launched air strikes in three provinces of Afghanistan. This is a resurgence of a conflict which has claimed hundreds of lives this year. Mujahid said that at least '14 other people, all women and children, were injured in the strikes by Islamabad, which violated Afghanistan airspace and targeted civilian homes, in the provinces Kunar, Khost, and Paktika. Security officials told us that Islamabad had carried out airstrikes on what they called the "hideouts of Pakistani militants who were using them against Pakistan." Islamabad accuses Kabul of harbouring militants who, it claims, plot attacks against Pakistan. The Taliban denied the accusations and said that militancy in Pakistan was an internal issue. The renewed violence threatens to 'disturb' a long period of peace between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Former allies, they fought the?worst war in years back in February. In March, the two countries reached a fragile truce. China was tasked with mediating a settlement to the conflict. Reporting?by Mohammad Yunus Yawar and Mushtaq Al in Peshawar; writing by Hritam Mukherjee, editing by Himani Sarkar & Lincoln Feast
-
In May, higher gasoline prices are likely to have pushed the US consumer price index up again.
The Middle East conflict has increased the prices of energy products in the United States, and this will give the Federal Reserve more ammunition to maintain interest rates at the same level for the rest of the year. Wednesday's Consumer Price Index readings, which are expected to be the third consecutive month of high year-over-year comparisons, will likely highlight increasing pressure on households as more consumers use their savings to fund their purchases. The inflation rate is expected to exceed wage growth for the second consecutive month in May, which could have a negative impact on economic growth. The rising cost of living poses a serious political problem for Donald Trump and the Republican Party as they seek to maintain control of Congress during the November midterm elections. Trump's promise to reduce inflation was a major reason he won the presidential election of 2024. However, his approval ratings have fallen as frustration grows over his economic management. Joseph?Brusuelas is chief economist at RSM. He said that the top-line inflation increase will surpass wage growth for a second consecutive month. This means that Americans' paychecks are declining in real terms. If this trend continues, it could pose a problem for household consumption in second half of the year. A survey of economists has predicted that the Consumer Price Index will likely increase by 4.2% over the past 12 months, ending in May. This would be the biggest annual increase in the CPI in over a decade, and follow a 3.8% advance in April. In March, the CPI rose 3.3% on an annual basis. The CPI is expected to increase 0.5% monthly in May, after increasing 0.6% in April. In order to achieve its 2% target, the U.S. Central bank monitors the Personal Consumption Spending Price Indexes. All inflation measures are well above the Fed target. According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the national average gasoline cost increased by 8.8% in may to $4.60 per gallon. Gasoline prices had increased by over 50% at one point since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran in February. In recent weeks, prices have fallen amid a ceasefire. This has led some economists to be cautiously optimistic that the CPI could peak in May. Although the Strait of Hormuz shipping restrictions have increased fertilizer prices, this hasn't yet led to a significant increase in food prices. Stephen Stanley, Santander U.S. Capital Markets' chief U.S. economics, said that there is a high probability that the headline inflation rate will peak in May. However, the oil price could rise again, depending on what happens in the Middle East. The labor market is resilient. This report follows the news that was released last week, stating the economy had posted a third consecutive month of job growth above expectations in May. The unemployment rate has remained at 4,3% for the third consecutive month. Although financial markets are pricing in an increase, economists continue to believe the central bank has a high bar to raise interest rates. Others argued that, aside from high airfares and other signs of oil price shock affecting the services sector, there was no evidence to support this. Core CPI, excluding volatile components such as food and energy, was projected to have increased by 2.9% in May after increasing by 2.8% in April. Core CPI was forecast to have increased 0.3% on a monthly basis, after increasing 0.4%. James Knightley is the chief international economist at ING. "We are in a situation where the central bank still views monetary policy as restrictive." The monthly CPI is expected to moderate in part due to the diminishing boost that was given by a one-time adjustment of rent measures, after the shutdown of government last year prevented data collection. The artificial intelligence boom has driven up the prices of software and computers, but they have a lower weighting in the core CPI basket. In the core inflation basket, there is a greater weighting. Unexpectedly, a deflation of used cars and trucks has also helped curb the?inflation of goods. Import tariffs divided economists. Some saw the price increase as being largely over, while others believed that the duty was still increasing prices. Diego Anzoategui is an economist with Morgan Stanley. He said that the economy was nearing the end phase of tariff pass-through. Our estimates show that tariffs have raised prices by 63 basis point so far. The total pass-through is closer to 70 basis point. We began to see a slowdown in March, and we expect this trend to continue. Reporting by Lucia Muttikani, Editing by Andrea Ricci
-
Copper prices fall as macro-concerns weigh on tariff support
Copper prices fell on Wednesday morning as macroeconomic concerns and volatility related to the Middle East conflict offset the price support provided by U.S. tariffs. As of 0300 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price?on London Metal Exchange?declined by 0.36% to a metric ton at $13,566.5. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.38%, to 104.010 yuan (15,354.52) per ton. The price of oil rose Wednesday as the U.S. launched a new strike against Iran. The Middle East war has increased energy prices and put pressure on manufacturing, which is a major sector for copper demand. Data released by the Chinese government on Wednesday shows that China's producer price rose for a third consecutive month in May. This is at its highest level since 2022. The rise in commodity prices and improved demand in some industries are to blame. Markets are also watching for the U.S. data on inflation that will be released later today. The dollar rose after better-than-expected U.S. job data last Friday, and the Fed's rate hike is more likely this year. This roiled the copper market. Interest rates that are higher generally reduce the prospects for industrial metals, which depend on growth. The expectation of a U.S. decision on copper tariffs in the second half of this year continued to support prices. The U.S. floated the possibility of a?15% tariff on copper imports starting in 2027. This would be followed by a 30% tariff from 2028. Stocks of copper in LME registered warehouses According to LME data, the number of people using LME has declined every day since May 28. Aluminium fell 1.54% among other LME metals. Zinc lost 0.58%. Lead lost 0.55%. Nickel lost 0.77%. Tin dropped 1.86%. On SHFE, aluminium fell by 0.89%; zinc, by 0.2%; lead, by 0.59%; nickel, 2.19%. Tin, 2.16%.
-
Meta partners with Ambani’s Reliance to build AI data centers in India
Facebook parent?Meta announced on Wednesday it had partnered with Mukesh Ambani, a billionaire from India. The two companies will build the first AI-enabled India data center. Reliance is building a datacenter with a 168 MW power capacity in Jamnagar, a city located in the western Indian state Gujarat. According to a statement, Meta will lease this facility with options for expansion. Meta said India’s large user base and rapidly growing digital economy make it a great place to invest. According to IMARC Group, India's data center market will nearly double by 2034 to $13.11 Billion, driven by digital transformation, cloud adoption, and increasing AI workloads. Meta and Reliance created a joint venture in August of last year to build AI platforms and tools?for?enterprises?in India?using Meta's Llama?models. Reliance had committed a joint?initial?investment of 8.55 billion rupees (89.67 millions dollars), which was split 70/30. Meta invested $5.7 billion into Jio Platforms in 2020. This is a Reliance company. ($1 = 95,3500 Indian Rupees) (Reporting and editing by Sherry Phillips and Mrigank Dahniwala in Bengaluru)
-
Gold falls as oil and the dollar rise due to renewed US-Iran hostilities
Gold dropped?more? than 1% to a 11-week low on Wednesday, as the dollar and oil prices rose due to renewed hostilities by the United States with Iran. This fueled concerns over inflation and interest rates. Spot gold fell 1.8%, to $4,187.59 an ounce, by 0230 GMT. This is its lowest level since 23 March. U.S. Gold Futures for August delivery were down 1.7% to $4,213.40. Dollars rose, making bullion priced in greenbacks more expensive for holders?of other currencies. Oil prices increased by 1%, fueling inflation fears and cementing expectations that interest rates will?stay high for longer. The Federal Reserve's policy shift, the increase in yields and the dollar's rise are the main drivers. Ilya Spivak is the head of global macro for Tastylive. After President Donald Trump claimed that Iran had shot down a U.S. Apache in the Strait of Hormuz - further threatening a fragile ceasefire - the United States launched strikes on Iran. According to CME FedWatch, traders are now pricing in a greater than 70% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by December. Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, rising interest rates can weigh on the non-yielding gold. The markets are waiting for key U.S. reports on inflation this week. These include the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from May, which will be released later in the day, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) reading, due out on Thursday, to determine the Fed's policy. Spivak stated that if we could break the $4.100 level the resistance path for gold would fundamentally change. We might then start to consider $3.500 as the next level by the end of this year. Silver spot fell by 1.5%, to $64.43 an ounce. Platinum fell 2.8%, to $1678.10 and palladium dropped 0.8%, to $1212.31. (Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)
Sources say that Putin's peace demands include a stop to NATO expansion.
According to three Russian sources familiar with the negotiations, President Vladimir Putin has set conditions to end the war in Ukraine. These include that Western leaders commit in writing to stop expanding NATO eastwards as well as lifting a portion of sanctions against Russia. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has said repeatedly that he wants the European conflict to be over. He has also shown growing frustration towards Putin in recent weeks. On Tuesday he warned the Russian leader 'playing with fire' by refusing ceasefire talks with Kyiv while his forces were making gains on the battlefield. Putin told Trump that after a two-hour conversation last week, he agreed to work on a document with Ukraine that would outline the terms of a peace agreement, including when a ceasefire will be implemented. Russia is drafting their version of the document and has no idea how long it will take.
Kyiv, as well as European governments, have accused Moscow for stalling its troops' advance in the east Ukraine.
One senior Russian source, speaking on condition of anonymity and with intimate knowledge of the Kremlin's thinking, said that Putin is willing to make peace at any cost.
Three Russian sources have said that Putin wants an "written" commitment from major Western powers to not expand the U.S. led NATO alliance eastwards. This is a shorthand way of formally excluding Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova and other former Soviet Republics. The three sources also said that Russia wants Ukraine to remain neutral, certain Western sanctions lifted, a solution for the frozen Russian assets in the west, and protection of Russian speakers in Ukraine.
First source: If Putin is unable, on his terms, to achieve a peaceful settlement, he'll try to demonstrate to the Ukrainians and Europeans, through military victories, that "peace tomorrow would be even more painful".
The Kremlin has not responded to a request for a comment about'reporting. Putin and Russian officials repeatedly stated that any peace agreement must address the "root cause" of the conflict. This is Russian shorthand for NATO expansion and Western support for Ukraine. Kyiv repeatedly stated that Russia shouldn't be given veto rights over Ukraine's aspirations to become a member of the NATO alliance. Ukraine wants the West to provide a solid security guarantee that is backed up by teeth in order to deter future Russian attacks. The administration of President Volodymyr Zelenskiy did not reply to a comment request. NATO has said in the past that it would not change its policy of "open doors" just because Moscow demanded it. The 32-member alliance's spokesperson did not answer any questions.
Putin sent tens-of-thousands of troops to Ukraine in February 2022, after eight years fighting between separatists backed by Russia and Ukrainian troops in the east of Ukraine.
Russia controls less than one fifth of Ukraine. The Russian advance has accelerated in the last year. However, both Russia and Ukraine are paying a heavy price for the war.
In January, it was reported that Putin had become increasingly concerned about the economic distortions of Russia's wartime economies. This is due to labour shortages as well as high interest rates implemented in order to combat inflation. Oil, which is the foundation of Russia's economic system, has been steadily declining in price this year. Trump, who boasts of his friendly relationship with Putin, and believes that the Russian leader is seeking peace, warned Washington it could impose additional sanctions if Moscow delayed efforts to reach a settlement. Trump suggested on social media that Putin was "absolutely CRAZY", for unleashing an aerial attack against Ukraine last week.
First, the source stated that Putin would move further into Ukraine in the event he saw an opportunity to do so on the battlefield. The Kremlin also believed that Russia could continue fighting for many years despite the economic and political pressures imposed by Western countries. Second source: Putin is less willing to compromise with regards to territory, and is sticking to his public position that he wants to claim the entire four regions of eastern Ukraine.
The second source stated that Putin has reaffirmed his position on the issue of territory.
NATO Enlargement As Trump and Putin battled in public about the prospects for peace in Ukraine could not tell if the intensification of war and the hardening of positions signaled a determination to reach an agreement or a collapse of talks.
In June of last year, Putin laid out his first terms for an end to the conflict immediately: Ukraine must abandon its NATO ambitions and remove all its troops from four Ukrainian regions that are claimed by Russia and largely controlled by them.
Russia controls more than 70% Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions, as well as almost all of Luhansk. Russia also controls a small part of Kharkiv, Sumy and Kherson regions and threatens Dnipropetrovsk.
The former U.S. president Joe Biden and Western European leaders, as well as Ukraine, have repeatedly called the invasion an imperialistic land grab. They also vowed that they would defeat Russian forces.
Putin sees the war in the context of the watershed moment for Moscow's relationship with the West, which he claims humiliated Russia in 1991 after the Soviet Union collapsed by expanding NATO and encroaching upon what he believes to be Moscow's sphere.
In 2008, NATO leaders in Bucharest agreed that Ukraine and Georgia will one day be members. In 2019, Ukraine amended its constitution to commit to full membership in NATO and the European Union. Trump said that the U.S.'s previous support for Ukraine’s NATO membership bid caused the war and indicated that Ukraine would not be granted membership. The U.S. State Department has not responded to a comment request on this story.
Putin, who became the Kremlin's top official in 1999, has returned to NATO enlargement several times, including his most detailed remarks on a possible peaceful future in 2024. Just two months prior to the Russian invasion in 2021, Moscow presented a draft of an agreement with NATO that, under Article 6 would bind NATO "to refrain from any further expansion of NATO, which includes the accession of Ukraine and other States." At the time, U.S. diplomats and NATO officials said that Russia had no veto over the expansion of the alliance. Russia wants to see a written commitment from NATO because Putin believes that the United States misled Moscow after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 when U.S. Secretary James Baker told Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, in 1990, that NATO wouldn't expand eastward.
William J. Burns, the former director of Central Intelligence Agency, said that there was a verbal agreement, but it never became formalized. It was also made before the fall of the Soviet Union. NATO, which was founded in 1949 as a means of providing security against the Soviet Union says that it does not pose a threat to Russia, even though the 2022 assessment on peace and security within the Euro-Atlantic region identified Russia as the "most significant and direct danger".
Finland joined NATO in 2023 after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in that same year. Sweden followed in 2024. Western European leaders have said repeatedly that if Russia won the Ukraine war it could attack NATO one day - which would trigger a global war. Russia has dismissed such claims as scaremongering but also warned that the conflict in Ukraine could escalate. (Reporting in Moscow; Editing by Daniel Flynn).
(source: Reuters)