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Markets take stock of Trump’s U-turns and the relief rally is stuttering

Investors struggled to sort through the noise of the Trump administration, its erratic stance on tariffs, and the Federal Reserve leadership.

This week, U.S. president Donald Trump attacked Fed chair Jerome Powell. He then retracted his calls for the resignation of the chair, leaving investors in the dark about the final state of tariffs against China, despite the many headlines.

A source said on Wednesday that, in the event of talks with Beijing, the Trump administration may consider lowering tariffs for imported Chinese products. This follows a Wall Street Journal article which stated that Trump's White House was considering reducing tariffs on Chinese imports.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said later that such a step would not be taken unilaterally. He was echoing remarks made by White House spokesperson KarolineLeavitt.

I don't believe you'll ever be able to get used the flip-flopping and haphazard behavior we've seen. Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. He said that it was extreme. "I think Trump is like that - he wants the best levers and he doesn't fear trying anything. He's not afraid to walk it back either if it fails."

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell by 0.17%. This was in contrast to the Wall Street trend, which saw stocks rise on Wednesday amid hopes of a de-escalation in Sino-U.S. tensions.

The Nasdaq 500 and S&P500 futures each rose by about 0.2%. The EuroStoxx 50 futures rose 0.16%.

Japan's Nikkei gained 0.86%.

NHK reported that the Trump administration informed Japan's trade delegation it couldn't give Japan a special treatment in regards to its tariff measures. This was in response Tokyo's demand for a revision during this month's ministerial talks.

Salman Ahmed is the global head of strategic asset allocation and macro at Fidelity. He said: "Short-term volatilities are quite extreme. This high volatility will continue. You have elevated volatility moving forward because the fundamental rules of the game, the economic world, are changing."

Ahmed said this on the sidelines the IMAS Investment Conference 2025 and Masterclass in Singapore.

Investor confidence in U.S. asset prices remained fragile, and the dollar dropped on Thursday after a week of gains on Trump's U turn on firing Powell.

The dollar dropped 0.15% against the yen to 143.24. The euro rose 0.15%, to $1.1331. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc increased by 0.2%.

The 30-year yield was little changed, at 4.3675 percent. Trump's change of heart on Powell appeared to lessen the threat to the U.S. fiscal and monetary credibility.

The benchmark 10-year rate was down by about 2 basis points, to 4.3675%.

Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said that on Wednesday there is still a lot of uncertainty about the future. She urged the central bank to be cautious in its monetary policy and to monitor the economy's performance.

The markets are expecting a rate cut of about 80 basis points by December.

Oil prices have stabilized in other markets after a drop in the previous session. Sources said that OPEC+ will consider accelerating their oil production increases in June.

Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $66.26 per barrel while U.S. Crude also increased 0.18% to 62.38 per barrel.

Gold continued its march towards a new record high. The yellow metal rose 1.2% to $3,329.03 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)