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European shares reach record highs amid hopes for peace in Ukraine

European shares reach record highs amid hopes for peace in Ukraine

European shares reached record highs on Monday, with defence stocks leading the way, as regional leaders demanded an urgent summit to discuss the Ukraine conflict amid increasing U.S. demands to increase military spending to ensure security.

The pan-European STOXX 600 Index was up last 0.4% as a gauge for defence and aerospace stocks soared almost 4% in value to lifetime highs, after having more than doubled since Russia invaded Ukraine 3 years ago.

Analysts have called this "supercycle" in the sector. It is expected that earnings will continue to grow in the defence industry due to the significant increase in budgets for new security requirements.

Bruno Schneller is the managing director of Erlen Capital Management. He said that a resolution to the conflict could bring positive growth for Europe. This includes improved consumer confidence, reduced energy prices and easier financial conditions.

The demand for banks was also high, with a 1.2% increase and a jump to the highest level in 17 years, thanks to soaring bond yields.

French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency summit about Ukraine on Monday after U.S. officials said that Europe would not have a role in any talks in Saudi Arabia this week aimed at ending conflict.

The British government said that it would be ready to send troops to support any agreement, and Russian and U.S. officials were preparing to hold their own talks in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday. Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Ukraine's president, said that his country will not recognize any decisions taken in discussions where it was not present.

DELETED THREATS

The threat of reciprocal U.S. Tariffs has receded, but there was still a concern that these levies could include taxes based on the value added tax in other countries.

"Trade policy is still a wildcard with the possibility of incremental tariffs, and their impact upon inflation and growth. Although the tariffs announced have not yet changed the economic landscape materially, further escalation may introduce new uncertainty," Schneller said.

The Financial Times reported Sunday that, in order to protect its farmers and to follow the reciprocal trade policy of U.S. president Donald Trump, the European Commission will explore strict import limits for certain foods manufactured to different standards.

The U.S. market is closed on Monday due to Presidents Day, which means that trading volume will be lower than usual. However, the S&P500 futures and Nasdaq Futures both rose by 0.2%.

The S&P 500 gained 1.5% for the week while the Nasdaq rose 2.6%.

In Europe, the markets are also watching German elections at this weekend.

The dollar dropped almost 0.6%, to 151.46 Japanese yen, as the euro fell by 0.2%.

Investors waited for the employment and inflation figures to be released later this week. The pound remained at $1.2593 - just below its high of two months.

Both the Australian and New Zealand central banks are expected to reduce interest rates during their policy meetings this coming week.

Gold fell from Friday's record-highs to $2,899 per ounce after seven weeks of gains.

Bloomberg News, citing delegates, reported Monday that OPEC+, the oil producer group, is considering delaying a series monthly increases in supply due to start in April, despite Trump's calls for lower prices.

Brent crude oil rose by 9 cents, to $74.82 per barrel. U.S. crude oil gained 13 cents, to $70.87 a barrel. (Reporting and editing by Ed Osmond, Angus MacSwan.)

(source: Reuters)