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Two Injured as Glomar’s OSV Hits Offshore Wind Turbine in North Sea
Glomar Offshore’s offshore supply vessel (OSV) Glomar Venture has reportedly hit the foundation of an offshore wind turbine in the Dutch North Sea, leaving two crew members injured in the accident.The Royal Dutch Sea Rescue Society (KNRM) received a distress call for medical evacuation from Glomar Offshore around 7.00 am local time on April 20, which reported that two of the crewmen aboard Glomar Venture OSV have been injured.KNRM deployed its lifeboat Irene & Henk for the assistance, as well as the second vessel Koen Oberman (Callantsoog).The Dutch media have reported that Glomar Offshore hit the foundation of the offshore wind farm in the North Sea, not disclosing which wind farm specificallyThe medical condition of both crew members was quickly assessed and the two wounded have been evacuated to Den Helder using the Joke Dijkstra rescue boat.An official investigation is currently underway to investigate the incident, according to Dutch media.
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Hyundai Steel's US $6 billion investment enrages investors, tests Seoul's Tariff Strategy
Investors continued to hammer Hyundai Steel's shares in late March after the South Korean company announced a $6 Billion investment in the U.S. The company organized a conference call with 12 investors to calm their nerves about the project, which lacked any detailed funding plans. Hyundai Steel's official apologized for the announcement of the deal while some details were still being reviewed. The deal was part of a $21 Billion U.S. Investment Package that Hyundai Motor Group, its parent company, unveiled on March 24, at the White House. The person who attended the meeting confirmed that he had said: "But we needed to move fast because of the rapidly developing U.S. Tariff situations and our government's limited ability to respond actively." This comment was made in reference to the political vacuum created by former president Yoon Suk-Yeol's removal from office. Four Hyundai executives as well as government officials said that they hoped this investment would pave a way for Hyundai to pursue more favorable terms with the U.S. in tariff negotiations. Senior South Korean government officials will meet with their U.S. equivalents in Washington, DC on Thursday to discuss tariff exemptions and reductions. Some investors, workers and trade experts are worried about whether the plan hastily drafted will help South Korea gain trade concessions. After the White House event on Tuesday, President Donald Trump announced 25% tariffs for imported autos with no exceptions for Korean products. What would be the longer-term benefit if U.S. trade and tariff policies changed again after 2029, when the new facility is operational and Trump has left office? One investor asked on the call. The U.S. has also been asked what concessions they expect from Hyundai, as well as whether the company will be able fill the new capacity. Hyundai Steel shares have lost 21.2% since the announcement of the investment. This is less than the 18.3% decline in POSCO Holdings and the 5.5% drop in the benchmark index. Hyundai Motor's shares dropped 12.9% in the same time period. Hyundai Steel is currently grappling with a weak domestic steel demand, a flood of cheap Chinese-made steel and strikes by workers over a recent wage agreement. It will report its quarterly results on Friday. Analysts warn that the investment may also put financial pressure on the struggling steelmaker. It could be forced to reduce the capacity of the plant. The new facility is expected to have enough steel to build 1.8 million cars a year. This is well above the combined target of 1.2 millions units set by Hyundai and Kia's affiliate in the U.S. If the project is financially unviable, it's likely that the company will scale back the project or delay its execution. Chan H. Lee said that the announcement could be a political gesture rather than a commitment. Hyundai Steel stated in a press release that it expects a "stable" demand for automotive steel in America, the largest auto market in the world. It also said its planned U.S. plant will supply high quality, low carbon steel products to Hyundai-Kia as well as other U.S. clients. The company also added that the tariff negotiations and investments are "separate issues." Hyundai Steel responded to concerns regarding its domestic operations by saying it was working on improving the competitiveness in its South Korean factories. Hyundai Steel has said that it will borrow 50% of the U.S. investments, but has not yet disclosed how the remaining investment will be divided amongst potential equity investors. It announced earlier this week that local rival POSCO will make an equity investment. UNUSUAL Hyundai Motor, along with its affiliate Kia, who together generate approximately one-third their global sales in the U.S., have courted Trump ever since his victory at the November election. South Korea exports more cars to the United States than Mexico. Hyundai Motor donated $1,000,000 to Trump's inaugural funds and invited him to the opening ceremony of their new Georgia car factory, Hyundai Motor Group Executive Chairman Euisun Chung said to reporters at an event in late march. Chung reported that after being briefed on Hyundai's U.S. Steel Factory Plan, Trump invited the Chairman and other Hyundai executives into the White House. It's unusual for the White House to announce an investment program, because we normally organize such events in conjunction with state governments, where we invest, said a source familiar with the situation, who declined to be named as he wasn't authorized to speak with the media. The White House seemed to want to use our investment as a way of proving that its tariff policies work. Hyundai Motor Group's investment plan is still confined to the announcement. South Korea hopes to negotiate a reduction of the 25% tariffs Trump imposed on South Korean products (since suspended 90 days ago) or to give exemptions from a separate 25% tax imposed by the United States on imported steel and vehicles. Chung told journalists that he did not expect that one company's investment alone would bring about a major shift in U.S. Tariff Policy. Its new U.S. Factory is designed to meet possible requirements for low carbon steel, rather than to prepare for tariffs. He said that tariffs were a matter of state between countries. The South Korean and Hyundai governments will be holding talks with the U.S. government. Hyundai Motor Group stated in a press release that it is "closely monitoring new policy developments" and constantly reviewing various business strategies in order to ensure long-term profit. It added that the company still plans to spend $24.3 trillion won (17.05 billion dollars) in South Korea in this year. Experts also expressed concerns about the role that Hyundai's investment could play in the tariff negotiations between Washington and Seoul. In trade negotiations, both sides avoid making unmatched concessions early on, and prefer a package-deal approach. "These are not normal times," said Wendy Cutler - a former U.S. trade representative chief negotiator and head of the Asia Society Policy Institute. She said that Korean negotiators will need to remind U.S. negotiators of the importance of getting credit for any final agreement. Former trade minister Yeo Ha-koo said, "Who knows what might have happened if Hyundai had coordinated with government and included the investment in Seoul's broader package offer later?" Hyundai workers in South Korea are still worried about the trade talks, as there is uncertainty. Kang Dohoon, an Incheon factory worker who is now facing a month-long suspension of operations due to a weak demand for construction steel, says the U.S. investments plan by Hyundai upsets many workers, as they had been calling for greater investment in local factories. Kang, a 15-year employee at the plant, said: "This is the very first time that we have had to deal with such a situation. I'm really concerned." "We feel a sense of loss." ($1 = 1,425.0100 won) (Editing Miyoung Kim & Kim Coghill).
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White House does not take aim at green tax status
A White House official stated on Tuesday that the White House does not have immediate plans to strip non-profit climate-focused organizations of their tax-exempt status. This was said as these groups prepared for a series of executive orders. A White House official said that "no such orders are currently being drafted or discussed". More than 5,000 people listened in on a Zoom call held by the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and Public Citizen last week to learn how charities could prepare for an executive action that may be taken as early as Earth Day, Tuesday. A reporter attended the call. A political law firm, Sandler Reiff, circulated to its clients in the non-profit sector and the philanthropic sector a memo that advised them to not panic if they were threatened with losing their tax-exempt status, or if international work was frozen by the government. After recent remarks from President Donald Trump, which targeted the charitable status granted to Harvard University, concerns were raised. This was seen as an initial shot at other so-called "501(c3)" organizations, named after the section of the tax code exempting charities from income taxes. The White House issued an Earth Day Statement on Tuesday, outlining the steps that his administration is taking to protect our environment. These include supporting nuclear energy and geothermal power, expanding responsible logging, forest management, and ending forced paper straw use. The statement praised Trump's tariffs against China as a means to reduce "dependence on China's high pollution industries, and ensure the U.S. is leading by example in cleaner production and global stewardship." The White House pointed out that recent orders to open more federal lands for oil, gas, and mineral development as well as rollbacks in federal air and water regulations were environmental victories that encouraged responsible energy projects. (Reporting and editing by Sonali Paul; Valerie Volcovici)
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Yale University considers selling private equity fund interest
Yale University announced on Tuesday that it is exploring the sale of private equity funds and has been advised by Evercore, an investment banking firm. Why it's important In a statement, a Yale spokesperson did not mention the amount or reason of this step. Other universities such as Harvard and Princeton had explored financial options recently due to President Donald Trump’s threats to reduce their federal funding. KEY QUOTES In an email, the university spokesperson stated that the University was exploring the sale of private equity funds and Evercore is advising them in this process. This has been ongoing for several months. "We continue to be committed to private equity as a major component of our investment program, and we continue to make commitments for funds raised by current investment managers. We continue to actively search for new relationships with private-equity firms within the Endowment. By the Numbers Yale's endowment grew to $41.4 billion by June 30, 2024, up from $40.7 billion one year before. According to the annual financial report of the university, the endowment generated a 5.7% return on investment, net fees. Harvard announced earlier this month that it planned to borrow $750,000,000 from Wall Street for contingency planning, while Princeton stated it was considering selling $320,000,000 of taxable bonds. CONTEXT Trump has threatened withholding federal funding for colleges and universities due to pro-Palestinian protests on campus against U.S. allies Israel's military attack on Gaza. He also threatens to do so over a variety of other issues such as climate initiatives and transgender policies, diversity, equity, and inclusion programs. The government's actions have been condemned by rights advocates as an attack on academic freedom and the right to free speech. (Reporting and editing by Sonali Paul in Washington, Kanishka Singh)
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Steel Dynamics posts upbeat quarterly results
Steel Dynamics beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and profit in the first quarter, thanks to higher steel shipments. Steel shipments were a record 3.5 million tonnes, and earnings from the company's metals recycling operations and steel fabrication operations also increased. Mark Millett, CEO of the Steel and Steel Fabrication operations at the company, said that the underlying steel demand had improved during the first quarter. Customer orders were up and backlogs grew throughout the quarter. The Trump administration's tariffs have seen imports decline from recent highs. Fort Wayne, Indiana based company reported net income of $1.44 per shares for the quarter ending March 31. This is down from $584m, or $3.67 a share, one year ago. LSEG data shows that they were ahead of analyst estimates of $1.38 a share. Revenue dropped to $4.37 Billion from $4.20 Billion a year earlier, but was still higher than analysts' expectations of $4.20 Billion. The company's shares were up by 2% after the market closed. Reporting by Aatreyee dasgupta in Bengaluru and Abhinav parmar; editing by Shailesh kuber
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Dollar gains, earnings and U.S. China tariff talks are the focus of attention.
U.S. shares rebounded from Tuesday's loss as investors focused on the earnings. Meanwhile, the dollar rose following comments by U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent in a closed door meeting that he believed there would be a deescalation of U.S. China trade tensions. U.S. Treasury Long-Term Yields dropped after rising on Monday. Bessent described future negotiations with Beijing, as "slogs" that have not yet begun. This was according to someone who heard him speak to investors in a JP Morgan conference. Investor confidence is shaken due to the multi-fronted tariff wars of U.S. president Donald Trump, investors are concerned that this could cause severe disruptions in world trade. The International Monetary Fund slashed Tuesday its growth forecasts in the United States and China, as well as for most other countries. It cited the impact of U.S. Tariffs, which are now at a 100-year high. Investors also assessed Trump's criticisms of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday. Trump criticised Powell this week for not cutting rates. This raised concerns over Trump's influence on the central bank, and increased concerns about U.S. financial stability. Trump stated last week that he believed Powell would leave his position if Trump asked him to, despite Powell's own statement. Although it is not clear whether Trump has the power to fire Powell. However, lawsuits filed by Trump over other firings are being monitored as possible proxy. Earnings season in the first quarter of 2018 for U.S. firms has picked up. The shares of 3M Co, an industrial conglomerate, rose 8.1% following the company's first-quarter earnings beating expectations. However it warned that tariffs could have a negative impact on its 2025 profits. Alphabet is due to release its results later this week. Stocks are down overall, but this is not a "fire sale" where you should get rid of all your stocks. Oliver Pursche is senior vice president and adviser at Wealthspire Advisors, Westport, Connecticut. All of the soft data (economic data) are deteriorating, but the hard data continue to be strong. Investors are struggling with this, he said. Neel Kazhkari, Minneapolis Fed president, said that the Fed's independence in monetary policy was fundamental and key to better economic results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1,016.57, or 2.6%, to 39186.98. The S&P 500 gained 129.56, or 2.51% to 5,287.76. And the Nasdaq Composite increased 429.52 or 2.71% to 16,300.42. Apple gained 3.4%. Tesla shares were up slightly in after-hours trade after the company beat analyst's estimates on total gross margin, but missed revenue estimates. Bitcoin extended its recent gains, resulting in a 8.6% increase for shares of Coinbase Global. Bitcoin rose 4.61% to $81,360.62. The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 12.25 points or 1.56% to 795.36. The pan-European STOXX 600 ended the day up by 0.25%. The dollar gained some ground. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures greenbacks against six major currencies, rose 0.6% to 98.937 after falling as low as 97.923 the previous session. This was a level that had not been seen since March 20,22. The dollar rose 0.42% to 141.470 yen after falling earlier below the psychological 140 yen level for the first since mid-September. The fear that Trump's policies on trade could cause a U.S. economy to slow down led some investors to purchase U.S. government bond. Benchmark 10-year yields remained at 4,391% on Monday, about 1.5 basis points below the previous day. Gold reached a new all-time record of $3,500.05 in the morning, due to the recent weakness of the dollar and the demand for safe havens. Last, spot gold was at $3.425.91 per ounce. The oil prices rose by more than $1 per barrel as a result of new U.S. Sanctions against Iran, and rising stock market. Brent crude futures gained $1.18 or 1.8% to settle at $67.44. The U.S. West Texas intermediate crude contract for May that expired at Tuesday's settlement rose by $1.23 or 2% to close at $64.32. WTI June, which is more actively traded, also rose 2% to close at $63.47.
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Sam Altman resigns as Oklo Chairman
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is stepping down as chairman of Oklo's nuclear technology startup, opening the door to a possible tie-up. Shares of Oklo fell more than 11 percent in Tuesday's extended trading. Jacob DeWitte will become chairman of Oklo, the company that aims to build its first small nuclear reactor module by 2027. Caroline Cochran said that the startup would continue to "explore potential strategic partnerships with OpenAI and other leading AI companies", in a press release. Altman's AltC Acquisition Corp., a special purpose acquisition corporation, will acquire Oklo in the U.S. by May 2024. After decades of stagnation interest in nuclear energy has surged. The generative AI boom is driving up power consumption, and businesses around the world are trying to achieve net-zero emissions. Oklo began a Pre Application Readiness Assessment in March with the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission for its Aurora Powerhouse Reactors. This assessment was to be used for the first phase of Oklo’s combined license submission for the reactors. Oklo has signed a nonbinding agreement with Las Vegas data center operator Switch to supply power.
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Phillips, a Democrat, resigns as a member of the US Energy Regulatory Panel
Willie Phillips resigned as a Democratic Commissioner on the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on Tuesday. This opened the door for Donald Trump to nominate a new member, giving the five-member commission a Republican majority. The resignation of Phillips, whose term had been set to go through June 30, 2026, allows Trump to nominate a Republican who would likely be easily confirmed by the Republican-controlled Senate. Trump's focus is on increasing oil and gas production and opening pipelines that will bring gas from Pennsylvania into the U.S. Northeast. New York politicians blocked the Constitution Pipeline, which would have transported gas from Pennsylvania. It's unclear what Trump can do to make the pipeline work. Politico reported Phillips' resignation plans before the White House even asked him. Phillips served as chairman under former president Joe Biden. The White House didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. In a press statement, Mark Christie, the Republican Trump appointed as FERC chairman on his first day of office in his second-term, said: "We will miss his presence here at FERC." "I wish him, his family and future success. I'm confident that he will be successful no matter what career path he chooses." Phillips stated in a press release that the grid is facing increasing challenges due to the surge in demand from data centers and a lack of construction for new power plants. Phillips stated, "These complex problems demand bold, creative solutions and I look to continue working on them in my next chapter." (Reporting and editing by Alistair Bell; Timothy Gardner)
OPEC? faces decisive moment on scheduled output increase: Kemp
In the next few weeks, Saudi Arabia and its OPEC? allies must take a fragile choice about whether to proceed with planned production increases from October, or delay them since of an uncertain financial outlook.
The recent slides in front-month Brent futures prices, calendar spreads and refinery margins, in the middle of issues about the outlook for petroleum consumption, have dramatized the risk of getting it wrong.
Increasing production in spite of downward modifications to usage growth and a continued output boosts from rivals in the United States, Canada, Brazil and Guyana risks another build-up of inventories and depression in rates.
However delaying risks conceding a lot more market share to western hemisphere competitors and appealing some OPEC? members to break ranks and increase output unilaterally.
PREPARED OUTPUT
Saudi Arabia and other OPEC? members are implementing three different tranches of production cuts put in location since late 2022 to drain excess petroleum inventories and assistance prices. All OPEC? members are supposed to be participating in an official collective cut of 2 million barrels daily (b/d). agreed in October 2022 at a time of unpredictability about the. economic and oil market outlook. In addition, some members are meant to be enforcing an. additional voluntary cut of 1.66 million b/d agreed in April. 2023 and another voluntary cut of 2.2 million b/d agreed in. November 2023 to support market stability. In June 2024, ministers accepted loosen up the last of these. voluntary cuts slowly - starting in October 2024 and. finishing by September 2025.
They likewise consented to permit the United Arab Emirates to. increase its output gradually by an additional 300,000 b/d -. beginning in January 2025 and likewise ending up by September 2025.
Under this plan, overall OPEC? production is scheduled to. increase by approximately 180,000 b/d each month in the fourth quarter. of 2024 and then by 210,000 b/d monthly in the very first nine. months of 2025.
From the beginning, however, ministers stressed the. arranged production boosts were conditional and could be. paused or reversed based on market conditions.
In the next couple of weeks, OPEC? should decide whether to proceed,. or customize or hold off these increases in the light of renewed. concerns about the health of the global economy and oil demand.
COSTS AND SPREADS
Oil rates and spreads are presently about the very same or. weaker than they were when ministers accepted the second set of. voluntary cuts in November 2023.
Inflation-adjusted front-month Brent futures have actually balanced. $ 79 per barrel up until now in August 2024 (42nd percentile for all. months considering that 2000) below $84 in November 2023 (49th. percentile).
Brent's six-month calendar spread has actually sold an average. backwardation of $2.50 this month (73rd percentile) rather. more powerful than $1.63 in November (57th percentile).
However inflation-adjusted refinery margins for making two. barrels of gas and one barrel of extract from U.S. crude. have actually been $22 this month (43rd percentile) below $24 in. November (50th percentile).
With the exception of calendar spreads, which are moderately. bullish, other rate signs follow a rough. balance between production and usage at the moment.
Each of these indications has actually damaged materially because. ministers made the provisionary decision to increase production. in June 2024.
INTERNATIONAL STOCKS
Business stocks of crude and improved items in the. innovative economies belonging to the Company for Economic. Cooperation and Development amounted to 2,761 million barrels at. completion of June.
Stocks were 120 million barrels (-4% or -0.71 requirement. deviations) listed below the ten-year seasonal average and the deficit. had actually almost doubled from 66 million (-2% or -0.44 requirement. discrepancies) in November 2023.
The deficit was the best for almost two years since. September 2022, according to data from the U.S. Energy. Information Administration (EIA).
Chartbook: OPEC+ output choice
Considering that late June, U.S. commercial crude stocks have. continued to decline more and quicker than typical, contributing to. proof of a tightening up market.
U.S. unrefined inventories decreased in seven of the eight weeks. considering that June 21 by a total of 35 million barrels, according to the. EIA.
U.S. unrefined stocks normally decline over July and. August as refineries ramp up processing to fulfill elevated need. for gasoline during the summer vacation period.
But the seasonal exhaustion this year was the second-largest. in the last years after 2017, suggesting worldwide materials likely. continued to tighten up at the start of the 3rd quarter.
U.S. crude stocks were 9 million barrels (-2%) below. the ten-year average on Aug. 16 down from a surplus 6 million. barrels (+1%) on June 21.
Most of the depletion happened at refineries and tank farms. in Texas and Louisiana along the Gulf of Mexico, the most. carefully integrated with global oil markets.
Gulf Coast unrefined inventories declined in seven of the last. eight weeks by a total of 25 million barrels, compared with an. average exhaustion of 10 million over the previous decade.
TACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS
By early August, portfolio financiers had cut their integrated. position in crude and fuels to some of the most affordable levels given that. 2013.
Hedge funds and other cash managers held an integrated. position in the six crucial futures and alternatives contracts. comparable to just 226 million barrels (3rd percentile for all. weeks given that 2010) on Aug. 13.
The position was below a current high of 524 million. barrels (40th percentile) at the start of July and 338 million. barrels (14th percentile) in November 2023.
In recent weeks, fund supervisors have actually minimized their positions. in reaction to increased unpredictability about the outlook for the. major economies and worldwide oil intake.
It is unclear to what extent they have actually likewise decreased. positions in anticipation OPEC? would continue with set up. output increases, and therefore just how much of the increase if any. is already discounted in rates.
If the scheduled boost has actually been completely discounted,. postponing some or all of it might spark a sharp rally in rates,. sped up and enhanced as fund supervisors attempt to restore. positions.
If it has not been discounted at all, proceeding risks. sparking an even much deeper fall in prices as funds sell more. agreements.
TACTICAL OPTIONS
Looming over all these tactical considerations is the. outlook for the international economy in the rest of 2024 and in 2025.
Global production and freight activity has actually flat-lined or. compromised since April, which has led to petroleum. consumption growing far more gradually than promised at the. start of the year.
In action to economic softening, it promises the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks will trim rate of interest. to promote consumer and company spending.
OPEC? should decide whether to concentrate on the present softness. ( which favours a post ponement) or the stimulus and prepared for. recovery (which could cause faster oil consumption and favour. pressing ahead).
The most mindful technique would be to wait on the economy. to accelerate and a rise in oil rates before continuing,. postponing some or all of them for a couple of months.
If the group is more positive in the financial and. usage outlook, it might go ahead anyway, daring to show. the hedge fund sceptics incorrect.
Related columns:. - Oil investors cut positions to record low amidst financial. market crisis
(source: Reuters)