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The oil price is stable, but rising production offsets the disruptions in Russia's supply
The oil prices were in a narrow range on Monday, as concerns about the rising production and the impact that U.S. Tariffs will have on demand outweighed supply disruptions caused by intensified airstrikes between Russia and Ukraine. Brent crude dropped 12 cents or 0.18% to $67.36 a barge by 0046 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was down 13 cents or 0.2% at $63.88 a barge. Due to the U.S. Bank Holiday, trading is expected to be muted. Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the Ukrainian president, vowed to retaliate on Sunday by ordering further strikes in Russia following Russian drone attacks against power plants in northern and south Ukraine. Both countries have intensified their airstrikes over the past few weeks, focusing on energy infrastructure and disrupting Russian crude oil exports. According to ANZ analysts, the markets remain concerned about Russian oil flow. Weekly shipments from Russian ports have dropped to a 4-week low of 2,72 million barrels a day. The poll conducted on Friday indicated that oil prices will not rise much from their current levels in this year. This is because rising production from the top producers increases the risk of an excess, and U.S. Tariff threats are weighing on demand growth. An official survey released on Sunday showed that China's manufacturing sector shrank for the fifth consecutive month in August. This suggests that producers are holding off amid uncertainty about a possible trade agreement with the U.S., and weak domestic demand. Investors will be watching the meeting on September 7 between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies to get more clues about the rising production from OPEC+. According to the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude production reached a record in June. It increased by 133,000 barrels a day, to 13,58 million bpd. The U.S. Labor Market Report this week will provide a vital read on the health of the economy and test investors' belief that interest rates are soon to be cut. This view has boosted their appetite for riskier investments such as commodities. (Reporting and editing by Himani Sarkar; Florence Tan)
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This week, the second opposition leader to die in state custody in Nicaragua has been reported.
Local media and opposition parties reported that a critic of the authoritarian Nicaraguan government died in custody two weeks after being arrested. This comes days after another longtime critic died in detention. The deaths suggest that President Daniel Ortega, and his wife, Rosario Murillo (co-president), have intensified their crackdown on dissent, and arrested hundreds of opponents over the past few years. Since 2019, five government critics have reportedly died in government custody. Carlos Cardenas was arrested in August during police raids against government opponents. He was previously imprisoned in 2018 following a social uprising. On Saturday, the Great Nicaraguan Opposition Confederation said that the "dictatorship had handed another dead political prisoner over to his family." The Nicaraguan Government did not respond immediately to a comment request. On Monday, Nicaraguan leaders of the opposition condemned the death of Mauricio Alonso, a political activist who was detained by authorities in mid-July. Gabriela Selser, Diego Ore, and Nick Zieminski edited the story.
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FT reports that Rolls-Royce is weighing funding options for a small nuclear unit including an IPO.
The Financial Times reported that Rolls-Royce Holdings was exploring financing options for its small reactor unit. This included the possibility of a public offering. The report said that the board of directors is not in a hurry to make a decision, and the talks with banks and investment houses are still at an early stage. The Rolls-Royce SMR unit has been selected by the British government to build the first Small Modular Reactors in its plan to accelerate the decarbonisation power network starting from mid-2030. The British engineering company, which owns the majority of the unit, is planning to build three nuclear reactors. The British government has pledged to invest 2.5 billion pounds ($3.4billion) in the SMR program over the next four-year period, with the aim of launching one of Europe's earliest small-scale nuclear industries. SMRs are being pursued by other countries, including the United States of America, Canada, Romania, and the Czech Republic. If the British project is successful, it could create a global market. Rolls-Royce SMR and Rolls-Royce did not respond immediately to requests for comments outside of regular business hours. Surbhi misra, Bengaluru (Reporting and Editing by Bernadettebaum and Alex Richardson).
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Ukrainian former parliament speaker Parubiy is killed in Lviv
Andriy Parubiy, a former Ukrainian parliamentary speaker, was killed in Lviv (west Ukraine) on Saturday. A manhunt is underway to find the assailant. The office of the Prosecutor-General said that a gunman shot several times at Parubiy and killed him instantly. It said that the attacker fled, and a manhunt had been launched. Parubiy was 54 years old and a member in the parliament. He was the speaker of the chamber from April 2016 until August 2019 and was also one of the protest leaders who called for closer relations with the European Union during the 2013-14 period. From February to August of 2014, he was the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council. This was a time when fighting broke out in eastern Ukraine and Russia annexed Crimea. The officials did not immediately indicate whether this murder was directly linked to Russia's conflict in Ukraine. "Minister for Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko, and Prosecutor-General Ruslan Kravchenko just reported the first circumstances known of an horrific murder in Lviv. Andriy Paraubiy was killed," Volodymyr Zelenskiy wrote in a letter to X. He expressed his condolences to Parubiy's loved ones and family, adding: "All the necessary means and forces are being used in the investigation and the search for the murderer." The shooting was reported to the national police at about noon (0900 GMT). Lviv Mayor Andriy Sadovyi stressed the importance of finding the attacker and determining the circumstances of this attack. He wrote on Telegram: "This is about security in a war-torn country, where we can see that there are no places completely safe." TRIBUTES POUR IN The government and parliament colleagues paid tribute to Parubiy for his contribution to Ukraine’s struggle for independence and sovereignty as one of the leaders in the protests that became known as Euromaidan in 2013-14. On Telegram, the former president Petro Poroshenko stated that the murder of Parubiy was "a shot at the heart" of Ukraine. Parubiy was a member the parliamentary committee for national security, defense and intelligence. "Andriy is a great person and a friend." "They are afraid, and that's why they want revenge," he said. He praised Parubiy for his contribution to the building of the Ukrainian Army. In a Telegram statement, Andrii Sybiha, the Foreign Minister, described Parubiy, as "a patriot, a statesman, who has made a tremendous contribution to the defense of Ukraine's independence, freedom and sovereignty." He is a man that belongs in history. The Ukrainian police did not provide any information about the identity or motives of the killer. Yulia Shvyrydenko, Ukrainian Prime Minister, called for an immediate investigation into the murder. She described it as "a profound loss" to the country. She wrote: "You have always been a patriot and contributed greatly to the creation of our country."
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OWC Gets Cable Engineering Job for GreenVolt Floating Wind Farm
Renewable energy consultancy OWC has secured cable engineering support job for the 560 MW GreenVolt floating wind farm offshore Scotland, being developed by Flotation Energy and Vårgrønn, a joint venture firm created by Plenitude (Eni) and HitecVision.OWC’s scope of work includes cable engineering for both offshore and onshore cables.The subsea scope focuses primarily on the export cable, but OWC will also support inter array cable system design and alignment.The onshore engineering scope includes technical responsibility for the cable that runs from the landfall site near Aberdeen to an onshore substation.“It is a privilege to support a project that is setting new standards for floating wind and local content. Our contribution demonstrates the value of U.K.-based engineering talent and strengthens our position as a go-to partner for complex offshore wind developments,” said Will Cleverly, CEO of OWC.The GreenVolt project will deliver renewable electricity to oil and gas platforms, replacing existing natural gas and diesel power generation, while also providing power to the U.K. grid.The project has received support as part of Crown Estate Scotland’s Innovation and Targeted Oil & Gas (INTOG) leasing round.
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Elliott Affiliate's bid of $5.89 billion recommended as the winner of Citgo's auction
According to documents filed by the officer overseeing sale, a $5.89 billion offer from an affiliate hedge fund Elliott Investment Management was recommended as the winning bid in a U.S.-court-organized auction for shares of the Venezuelan-owned refiner Citgo Petroleum. Robert Pincus, a court officer, made the recommendation despite an attempt by a Gold Reserve subsidiary to sweeten their $7.4 billion deal earlier in the week. Pincus, in a ruling earlier this month said that an improved offer from Elliott's subsidiary Amber Energy was superior. The court then gave the Gold Reserve Group three days to match the bid. Pincus stated on Friday that Gold Reserve's Dalinar Energy transaction "didn't match or exceed the Amber Sale transaction and therefore the Amber Sale transaction continues to be a superior proposition." The proceeds of the auction are expected to compensate a few creditors who have been fighting in U.S. court since 2017 for nearly $19 billion after Venezuela expropriated its assets and defaulted. (Reporting and editing by Julia Symmes Cobb; Marianna Pararaga)
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California waives penalties for high profits from refineries
California's Energy Commission decided on Friday to set aside for a temporary period penalties for excessive refinery profits, which were adopted in response to the rise of gasoline prices over $8 per gallon by 2022. Phillips 66 Los Angeles refinery, which is preparing for a permanent shutdown by the end of next week, has delayed implementing penalties by five years. In an email, the staff of the Commission stated that "the fact is that supply is decreasing faster than demand and we need them to align: this means aggressively pursuing a transition to zero-emission vehicles while slowing down supply loss." California's Democratic governor Gavin Newsom proposed the penalties but has now changed direction due to fears of price spikes after 2026 following the closure of Phillips 66 refinery, and a plant in the San Francisco area operated by Valero Energy Corp. Both companies said declining gasoline demand promoted by state's policies in favor of non-fossil-fuel-powered vehicles made the once-lucrative California market untenable in the long-term. California has set a goal of banning the sale fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035. Western States Petroleum Association, which called for a 20-year delay in the penalties, said that global oil markets determine prices and not state policies. Consumer Watchdog, a group within the state of California, has criticized officials for their change in policy. Consumer Watchdog's Jamie Court wrote in a letter before the vote that by removing the penalty, California officials were opening the market up to the price spikes of 2022. The commission also adopted policies to stabilize California’s refinery capacity and increase motor fuel imports, as well as to promote the development of the oil reserves in the state. California is separated from U.S. refinery centers in the Midwest and along the Gulf Coast by the Rocky Mountains. The state depends on the refineries in Washington and California as well as Asian imports.
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California waives penalties for high profits from refineries
California's Energy Commission decided on Friday to set aside for a temporary period penalties for excessive refinery profits, which were adopted in response to the rise of gasoline prices over $8 per gallon by 2022. The delay of five years in implementing penalties comes at a time when Phillips 66 Los Angeles refinery prepares to start shutting down production next week, ahead of a complete closure. California's Democratic governor Gavin Newsom proposed the penalties but has now changed direction due to fears of price spikes after 2026 following the closure of a Phillips 66 plant and a Valero Energy Corp. plant in the San Francisco area next year. Both companies said declining gasoline demand promoted by state's policies in favor of non-fossil-fuel-powered vehicles made the once-lucrative California market untenable in the long-term. California has set a goal of banning the sale fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035. Western States Petroleum Association, which called for a 20-year delay in the penalty, supported this decision. WSPA has criticized the Energy Commission's claim that the threat of fines had kept gas prices low in the State. Catherine Reheis Boyd, WSPA president, said late last year that "no mandates, rules or decrees have been issued by Sacramento since 2019." Consumer Watchdog, a group within the state of California, has criticized officials for their change of direction. Consumer Watchdog's Jamie Court wrote in a letter before the vote that by removing the penalty, California officials were opening the market up to the price spikes of 2022. The commission also adopted policies to stabilize California’s refinery capacity and increase motor fuel imports, as well as to promote the development of the oil reserves in the state. California is separated from U.S. refinery centers in the Midwest and along the Gulf Coast by the Rocky Mountains. The state depends on the refineries in Washington and California as well as Asian imports.
West challenges China's vital minerals hold on Africa: Andy Home
China's CMOC Group overtook Glencore to become the world's. biggest producer of cobalt in 2015 as it ramped up its brand-new. Kisanfu mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The business's production jumped by 174% year-on-year to. 55,526 metric tons, representing over a quarter of worldwide. need of 213,000 loads.
Kisanfu, in which Chinese battery giant CATL owns a minority. stake, has flooded the cobalt market. The Cobalt Institute. quotes worldwide production exceeded need by 12,500 loads in. 2023, making it among the most significant surpluses in recent years.
CMOC is unconcerned. It plans to lift output even more this. year in spite of a downturn in the cobalt cost from $40 per pound. in May 2022 to a present $13.
Others can't pay for to be so sanguine. The cost implosion. has actually upturned job economics and undermined Western hopes of. lowering reliance on China for a metal that is critical both. to tidy energy technology and military hardware.
The West is now tough China's tight grip on the. mineral riches lying beneath the soil of the Congo and its. neighbour Zambia.
This new scramble for Africa comes with a post-colonial. twist because both nations have ambitions to be significant actors in. the vital minerals race.
BACK TO AFRICA
The hint is in the name. The Copperbelt straddling northern. Zambia and the southern part of the Congo still includes a few of. the wealthiest copper and cobalt deposits worldwide.
KoBold Metals, a California-based metals expedition business. backed by billionaires Expense Gates and Jeff Bezoz, claims its. Mingomba project in Zambia boasts copper grades of around 5%,. compared with under 1% for most huge mines in Chile, the world's. leading manufacturer.
Couple of Western mining business have actually until now ventured into. the renascent Copperbelt, cautious of the challenging mix of political. danger, bad facilities and, when it comes to Congolese cobalt,. the ethical concerns around artisanal mining.
Less still have actually lasted.
U.S. manufacturer Freeport McMoRan brought the Tenke. Fungurume copper-cobalt mine into production in 2009. It offered. its holding to CMOC in 2016, providing the Chinese business its. first foothold in the Congo.
Freeport went on to sell CMOC the Kisanfu deposit in 2020. stating it was no longer strategic to its long-term development.
CMOC quite obviously sees the deposit very differently.
And Western governments also appear to be concerning the view. that if you're strategically short of energy transition metals. such as copper and cobalt, there's just one place to head.
Back to Africa.
DE-RISKING AFRICAN METALS
The U.S. International Development Financing Corporation (DFC). is planning to near double its monetary dedications to try to. de-risk mining in the Copperbelt.
The flagship financial investment up until now is the Lobito Corridor. project, which will upgrade the existing rail line from the. Angolan port of Lobito to the Congo and then extend it into. Zambia.
The objective is to connect Copperbelt mines directly with the. Atlantic Ocean, lowering both the carbon and the expense foot-print. of the present trucking corridor to South African ports.
U.S. and European federal government support, it is hoped, will. de-risk logistics for the private sector, a policy that has. already flourished in the kind of a six-year dedication from. Ivanhoe Mines to utilize the updated rail line for copper. exports from its huge Kamoa-Kakula mine in the Congo.
The United States Trade and Development Firm (USTDA),. meanwhile, is funding a feasibility study into a brand-new. 200-megawatt solar power plant in Solwezi.
This will not just supply Zambian market however has the. potential to provide power for 2 critical mineral mines in the. Congo, resolving another persistent problem for Copperbelt. operators.
Facilities is simply the start of the West's re-engagement. with the Congo and Zambia.
The DFC has an extremely healthy pipeline of critical minerals. tasks in the area, according to deputy CEO Nisha Biswal.
Japan's Company for Metals and Energy Security has just. signed a memorandum of comprehending with Congo's state-owned. mining company Gecamines for technical cooperation at every. phase of the mineral supply chain.
The deal falls under the aegis of the Minerals Security. Collaboration, a U.S.-led alliance of Western countries aiming to. lower critical metals dependence on China and other problem. providers such as Russia.
RECLAIMING CONTROL
Gecamines has in current years been a mainly passive. minority stake-holder in the nation's mines.
That is altering as the Congolese government wants to get a. greater revenue share of its mineral resources.
President Felix Tshisekedi's government, which won a second. term in December elections, is taking a harder line with a few of. the Chinese financial investment deals struck under his predecessor Joseph. Kabila.
The amorphous mega handle China's Sicomines joint endeavor. has been reviewed with the Chinese partners devoting to $7. billion in infrastructure costs and annual payment of 1.2%. royalties.
CMOC itself was secured a lengthy disagreement with the. government over royalties, causing a year-long suspension of. exports.
CMOC wound up paying $800 million and, possibly more. substantially, accepted translate Gecamines' minority holding. into commensurate physical metal offtake deals.
Gecamines sees this as a design template for all its minority. holdings and the Zambian government appears to be taking a close. interest.
Gecamines has likewise just offered to buy 3 copper-cobalt. properties from Eurasian Resources Group, which is part owned by the. government of Kazakhstan.
The real game-changer, nevertheless, could be the Congo's second. effort at formalising its artisanal mining force, which. jointly produces over 10% of the world's supply of cobalt.
Entreprise Generale du Cobalt (EGC) was created in 2021 and. offered exclusive rights over artisanal production however stopped working to. secure a suitable deposit to trial the scheme.
Gecamines will now move five mining areas to EGC in what. is wished to be the start of a transformational process of. absorbing artisanal workers.
De-risking artisanal mining would be also be. transformational for the Minerals Security Partnership, which. desperately requires to find cobalt that's not devoted to Chinese. purchasers.
The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a. columnist .
(source: Reuters)