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Chevron wins arbitration against Exxon over Hess deal, according to analysts.

Chevron wins arbitration against Exxon over Hess deal, according to analysts.

Chevron is moving forward with its acquisition of Hess for $53 billion after winning a landmark court battle against Exxon Mobil, allowing it to access the largest oil find in decades off of the coast of Guyana.

KIM FUSTIER HEAD OF EUROPEAN OIL & GASOLINE RESEARCH HSBC

Hess has helped Chevron grow from a company producing 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd), to one that produces 4.2 million, which is not far behind Exxon's 4.5 million. In contrast, the failure to close Hess had negative consequences. It would have increased the gap between Exxon and Chevron, raised doubts about Chevron's management, and raised the question of the need for other M&A acquisitions in order to replace Hess.

ALLEN GOOD, MORNINGSTAR ANALYST

We view the outcome as positive for Chevron given the size and quality of the Guyanese asset. We don't see the ruling as negative for Exxon. Their ultimate goal was to deny Chevron access, or secure a favorable ruling that could be used elsewhere, not to acquire the assets themselves.

AJAY PARMAR IS THE OIL AND ENERGY TRANSITION ANALYTICS DIRECTOR OF CONSULTANCY ICIS

The U.S. oil giant's victory in the arbitration case over the Guyana oil assets is a major win. It opens the door for the acquisition of Hess, which will strengthen Chevron’s upstream presence across Guyana, Canada and U.S. On-shore... We expect the company to further strengthen its portfolio in the coming years.

BIRAJ BORKHATARIA, ANALYST AT RBC CAPITAL MARKETS

We expect Chevron shares to outperform in the next few weeks, now that investors are more confident about the investment case. They can also focus on the growth of Hess assets and the free cash flow inflections into 2026-2027.

Chevron will likely review its synergy targets at (Capital Market Day), which is scheduled for November 12th. Chevron plans to dig deeper into the company's longer-term goals.

JASON GABELMAN ANALYST AT TD COWEN

Chevron said when it announced the deal that eight assets (Guyana GOA Australia TCO Permian DJ Bakken Eastern Med) were core. This is not clear if it still holds true, as some may see the Bakken area as a potential divestiture candidate.

"Chord Energy, Devon Energy and other companies have been acquiring in the basin. We expect Chevron to be interested in future opportunities as a consolidator and/or divesting."

PHILLIPS JOHNSTON, ANALYST AT CAPITAL ONE SECURITIES

The ruling ends a 16-month saga which began in March 2024 when Exxon attempted to block the merger deal. Since the first announcement on October 23, 20,23, Hess's total shareholder return has been -6.6%, compared to -2.2% for Chevron and +7.7% for Exxon (all before today's trading). Reporting by Seher Daeen, Vallari Srivastava, and Pooja menon in Bengaluru. Editing by Louise Heavens & Frances Kerry.

(source: Reuters)