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Chevron's upstream strength lifts first-quarter earnings past estimate

Chevron's first-quarter earnings exceeded Wall Street expectations on Friday as higher oil prices related to the U.S./Israeli war against Iran helped boost its upstream business.

According to LSEG data, the company reported adjusted 'earnings' of $1.41 per a share, which is well above the consensus 'estimate' of 95 cents. Despite the impressive beat, total profit was at its lowest in five years due partly to timing effects related to financial derivatives.

Chevron’s largest business unit, the upstream segment, has generated $3.9 billion, an increase of 4% on a year-over-year basis as higher oil prices have led to increased revenues.

Mike Wirth, CEO of Chevron, said that despite the increased geopolitical volatility, and the supply disruptions it caused, the company delivered a solid first quarter performance. This highlights the resilience of the portfolio, as well as the value of disciplined implementation.

The conflict between Iran and the United States, which began February 28, has significantly disrupted energy markets around the world. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed to shipping, causing a shortage of oil and a spike in prices of up to 50%.

The net income for the period January-March was $2.2 billion. This is down from $3.5 million a year ago. Chevron is still only a small part of the Middle East's turmoil, with less than 5%.

Results of the Downstream are in Red

Downstream operations, on the other hand, saw a swing to a loss, falling from $325 million in profit last year, to $817 million this year. This was due primarily to "accounting mismatches" from derivative-related time effects. These are expected to reverse in the next quarter.

Exxon, a larger rival, also reported a similar impact from timing effects.

Eimear Bonner, chief financial officer at Chevron, said in an interview that the company expects to close paper positions of about $1 billion and make a profit in the second-quarter.

She said that excluding the timing effects, which are common in volatile environments, Chevron’s business was solid.

"We see our cash flow increasing, we see our earnings increasing, and all of our plans are on schedule."

LIMITED MIDDLE-EAST EXPOSURE

Chevron's Middle East production is lower than its peers. The company reported that production in the U.S. was robust and exceeded 2 million barrels per a day for the third consecutive quarter.

The first-quarter volumes decreased slightly, to 3.86m barrels of oil equivalents per day, compared to the previous three months due to downtime in the Tengiz Field in Kazakhstan following a fire.

The free cash flow was also down to $1.5 billion, due to lower operating cash flows. The metric, adjusted to exclude the impact of working capital but still a negative number, was down on the previous quarter.

Bonner confirmed?the company’s goal of achieving a minimum 10% annual growth rate in adjusted free cash flows through 2030.

Chevron paid out $3.5 billion as dividends during the quarter and purchased $2.5 billion of shares. The company's buyback figure is lower than the previous quarter. Bonner stated that they continue to "target" full-year purchases between $10 billion and $20 billion.

The company reported that its capital expenditures in the first quarter of 2026 were higher than the previous year. This was partly due to the investments made in connection with the Hess acquisition. However, this was offset by lower spending in the Permian basin.

(source: Reuters)