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Oil drops with US-Iran Peace Talks in Focus

Oil prices dropped?on Friday, continuing losses from the previous day as investors watched peace talks between Iran and the United States, while economic activity in Europe?shrank dramatically.

Brent crude futures fell 82 cents or?0.8%? to $104.20 a barge by 0949 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Futures were down $60 cents or 0.6%?to $97.66.

The benchmarks fell around 5.6% to their lowest level in over a week on Wednesday after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran are in the final stages.

Tehran is responding to the text sent by the U.S., Iran's ISNA reported on Thursday. The news agency added that the Pakistani army chief's visit to Tehran was to "minimize the gaps" and to help achieve an official announcement of agreement.

Trump said he was willing to continue attacks against Iran, but he would wait for "the answers" from Iran.

ING analysts stated in a 'note' on Thursday that they had been in a similar situation before. This led to disappointment. They forecast an average Brent price for the current quarter of $104 a barrel.

Iran warned of further attacks, and announced steps to consolidate its control of the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait remains mostly closed. The strait was used to transport oil and LNG equaling about 20% of the global demand before the war.

Kim Fustier is a senior global oil analyst at HSBC. She said that "oil prices have remained relatively confined despite the magnitude of the Middle East disruption." She said that a pullback in Chinese purchases, along with a surge of exports from the Atlantic Basin led by the U.S. as well as the rapid withdrawal of strategic stockpiles and inventories "has eased the immediate availability concerns as well as narrowed the extreme physical disruptions experienced earlier in the crisis."

Surveys showed that the economic activity in the Eurozone shrank in May at its fastest rate in over two and a half years as an increase in living costs, mainly due to war,?hammered service demand across Europe.

Stockpile Drawdowns

Iran announced on Wednesday a new "Persian Gulf Strait Authority", stating that there would be "controlled maritime zones" in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran closed the strait as a response to U.S. attacks and Israeli attacks which started the war in February. Since an April ceasefire, most of the fighting has stopped. However, while Iran has limited traffic through Hormuz and the U.S. blockedaded its coast, both countries are limiting the flow of goods.

The war has caused countries to rapidly?tap into their strategic and commercial inventories, raising fears about draining these stocks.

Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the United States announced on Wednesday that it had withdrawn nearly 10 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the past week, which was its largest withdrawal ever. According to EIA data, U.S. crude stocks also dropped?more than expected last weekend.

Mingyu Gao is the chief researcher at China Futures for energy and chemicals. He said that with the Strait of Hormuz closed, global refined products and onshore crude inventories will fall to their lowest levels in five years for this time of the year by late May or late June. Reporting by Stephanie Kelly, Sam Li, and Siyi Liu, in London; editing by Clarence Fernandez and Emelia Sithole Matarise, and Susan Fenton

(source: Reuters)