North Africa

The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces of Sudan (RSF), a group that aims to protect the oil-producing South, announced on Monday it had taken full control over Babanusa. The RSF released a statement saying that it "liberated" Babanusa, in West Kordofan State -- the latest frontline of the war in Sudan. It did so by repelling "a surprise assault" from the Sudanese Army in what they called "a clear breach of the humanitarian ceasefire." Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on November 19 that he would intervene in order to end the conflict which erupted in April 2023. In November, the...

The major Gulf stock markets rose early on Thursday as they followed gains in Asian stocks, and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week grew. Investors are focused on Federal Reserve officials' statements this week, as there is a lack of data about the U.S. economic situation following the end to the government shutdown. CME FedWatch Tool shows that traders are now attributing an 85% chance of a rate reduction next month, up from 30% just a week earlier. The U.S.'s monetary policy changes have an important impact on Gulf markets where the majority of currencies are pegged...

The office of the Iraqi prime minister said that Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, met with former CEO of Russia’s Lukoil on Monday to discuss how to resolve disruptions in the oil company’s operations following U.S. Sanctions. Sources told us last week that Lukoil declared force majeure on its West Qurna-2 oil field in southern Iraq. This is the largest fallout from the sanctions imposed last month against Russian oil companies as U.S. president Donald Trump pushed to end the conflict in Ukraine. Sudani told Vagit Aliekperov Iraq was committed to stable oil markets worldwide, according to a press release from his...

Kuwait's Oil Minister said that OPEC was ready to increase production by rolling back further its oil output reductions if necessary to address the market shortages following new US sanctions against Russian oil majors. In a dramatic policy shift, U.S. president Donald Trump has targeted Russia's two largest oil companies: Lukoil and Rosneft. This is the most aggressive action Washington has taken against Russian business since Moscow invaded Ukraine. The news that India was considering reducing its Russian imports also caused the global oil price to rise by 5%. In response to a query, Kuwaiti Minister Tariq al-Roumi stated: "I...

Early Thursday morning, the Gulf stock markets were mixed as investors disappointed by corporate earnings and oil prices rose. Dubai's main stock index rose 0.2%. This was aided by the 0.7% increase in Emaar Properties, a blue-chip developer. ENBD, Dubai’s largest lender by assets reported a 23 percent increase in its third-quarter net income to 6.4 billion Dirhams ($1.74 billion), exceeding analysts' expectations by 5.54 billion Dirhams. Separately classifieds company Dubizzle Group announced on Wednesday that it had delayed its IPO at the Dubai Financial Market. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index fell 0.2%. Oil giant Saudi Aramco lost 1% after...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), which last week raised its growth forecast for 2025 for the Middle East, North Africa, and the Levant, said that the risks in the region remain to the downside despite recent improvements in geopolitical conflicts. The IMF raised its forecast of GDP growth in 2025 for the MENA Region to 3.3% from 2.6%, which it projected in may. The outlook for this year was a resilient one, despite the fact we are living in a time of global uncertainty, where trade tariffs affect most of the world, and geopolitical tensions still exist, according to Jihad...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgraded its economic growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia in 2025 on Tuesday, due to an earlier than expected unwinding of production cuts. The IMF's latest World Economic Outlook raised its forecast of Saudi Arabia's growth to 4% in 2025 from the 3% projected in April. The growth rate for 2026 has also been revised up to 4%. The IMF stated that the IMF expected the growth of the Middle East and Central Asia to be boosted by the acceleration of growth in oil and gas exporters in the Gulf States, as the effects of disruptions...

Sources within the group stated that OPEC+ countries chose to only increase their November production modestly due to fears of a global glut. Non-OPEC oil supply is also increasing while fuel demand growth is slowing. The group announced on Sunday that it would increase its monthly production by 137,000 barrels a day in November. This is a continuation of the increases begun in April. Three OPEC+ source said that was the smallest option the group had discussed. They cited concerns over an upcoming surplus. OPEC declined comment. The Saudi Arabian government did not reply to a comment request. Jorge Leon,...

Chevron announced on Monday that the subsidiary of its Noble Energy had reached an agreement with Equatorial Guinea regarding the development and construction of the Aseng Gas Project. This will allow it to make a final investment choice. The project is located in Block I of Douala Basin and will contribute to the continued supply of liquefied gas to the global market from Central Africa. The initial investment will be around $690 million, and it will help the country achieve its ambitions of becoming a regional hub for gas processing. EQUATORIAL GUINEA SET TO LAUNCH LICENSING ROUND Equatorial Guinea and...

Saudi stocks rose in the early trading on Wednesday, after the Capital Market Authority announced that it will ease foreign ownership limits on listed companies. UAE markets continued to lose money due to a general sector weakness. Bloomberg News reported that Saudi Arabia's benchmark index soared by 4.9%. It is on course to be its biggest single-day gain since over eight years. This was driven by the broad sector strength after Capital Market Authority announced it's close to easing current foreign ownership restrictions of 49%. Al Rajhi Bank shares, the largest Islamic lender in the world, surged by 10%, marking...

In an interview with Kuwaiti newspaper Al Qabas, Oil Minister Tariq Al Roumi stated that Kuwait's crude production capacity is 3.2 million barrels a day. Multiple reports indicate that this is the highest capacity in over a decade. In 2010, it peaked at 3.33 million bpd before falling to less than 3 million bpd. Al-Roumi, a spokesperson for Al Qabas, said that Kuwait will increase its oil production under the OPEC+ deal to 2.559 millions bpd by October. On September 7, eight OPEC+ member countries agreed to increase output by 137,000 bpd for October. This is in line with the...

Gulf stocks were mixed early on Thursday. They reflected a cautious mood, but there was no sign of a risk-off position after Israel's attack in Qatar. Traders appeared to be pricing the event as an isolated incident. Israel expanded its Middle East military campaign by targeting Hamas leaders in Doha. Regional investors, who have been navigating months' worth of geopolitical tension, seemed to see the event from a temporary, tactical perspective. Qatar's benchmark stock index fell 0.3% on track to extend its losses for the fourth consecutive session. Investors weighed political developments and possible diplomatic uncertainty as they sold financials....

On Friday, the U.N. Human Rights Council held a special session to discuss the situation in al-Fashir in Sudan. States will be considering a request for an investigation into the reported mass murders that occurred as the city of Darfur fell under paramilitary control. A draft resolution would include a fact-finding investigation to identify those responsible for alleged violations committed in al-Fashir by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and their allies. In his opening remarks to delegates, U.N. Human Rights Chief urged the international Community to Act. "There's been too much show and pretense, but too little action." "It must...

The U.S. Export-Import Bank has sent a letter of intent to Rare Earths firm REalloys for a loan of up to $200,000,000 to fund processing and magnetic facilities. This would be Washington’s latest effort to boost American production of these specialized materials. If approved, the loan could increase U.S. accessibility to magnets that are used in electric cars, cell phones and fighter jets, among other products. These magnets are the focus of a global trade dispute as China is using them to leverage negotiations with the Trump Administration. A letter from September 18 was seen by and shows that privately-held...

The Spanish High Court has opened an investigation into privately owned steelmaker Sidenor, which is accused of selling steel to a firm in Israel for the purposes of manufacturing weapons. This is one of the potential legal consequences that could result from Spain's ban of such deals. According to a statement, Judge Francisco de Jorge will lead the investigation against Sidenor CEO Jose Antonio Jainaga Gomez as well as two other executives. They are accused of smuggling drugs and being complicit in crimes against humanity and genocide. On November 12, they were called to testify. The court said Sidenor had...

The Spanish High Court has opened an investigation into privately owned steelmaker Sidenor, which is accused of selling steel to a firm in Israel for the purposes of manufacturing weapons. This is one of the potential legal consequences that could result from Spain's ban of such deals. According to a statement, Judge Francisco de Jorge will lead the investigation against Sidenor CEO Jose Antonio Jainaga Gomez as well as two other executives. They are accused of smuggling drugs and being complicit in crimes against humanity and genocide. On November 12, they were called to testify. The court ruled that Sidenor...

NioCorp, a rare earths miner in Colorado, said Thursday that it was working with Lockheed Martin - a U.S. defence contractor - to develop an alloy of scandium and aluminium for military equipment. The program is funded by the Pentagon. NioCorp, based in Colorado, received $10 million in August from the Pentagon to develop a Nebraska mining facility that will produce scandium - one of 17 rare earths. Lockheed is an important supplier of weapons and fighter jets to the U.S. Military. NioCorp, Lockheed and other companies are using a portion of this funding to develop an aluminum and scandium...

On Tuesday morning, most Gulf stock markets were up, following the Asian benchmarks. This was due to a possible easing in U.S. China trade tensions. Saudi Arabia's index, however, fell because of disappointing corporate earnings. Dubai's main stock index rose by 0.3% with the top lender Emirates NBD advancing 1.9%. RBL announced on Saturday that ENBD would buy 60% of the Indian private lender RBL Bank, the largest acquisition of its kind in India's finance sector. The index in Abu Dhabi rose 0.3%. This was due to a 0.3% increase by investment company Multiply Group after the board of its...

The major Gulf stock markets edged up in early trading on Monday. This was helped by rising expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates this month. However, weak oil prices limited gains. The U.S. unemployment rate rose to nearly four-year levels in August. This confirms that the labour market is softening, which will lead the Fed to cut rates next week. According to CME FedWatch, traders have priced in a rate cut of 25 basis points (bp), with an 8 percent chance of a 50-bp jumbo cut. The Fed's position is important in the Gulf where the majority...

Two sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that the Trump administration is mulling over a plan in which at least $2 billion will be reallocated from the CHIPS Act for the purpose of funding critical minerals projects, and to increase Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s influence on the strategic sector. The move proposed would use funds already allocated to Congress for semiconductor manufacturing and research, thus avoiding the need for a new spending request. It also aims to reduce U.S. dependency on China in terms of critical minerals that are widely used by electronics and defense industries. Sources said...

Two sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that the Trump administration is looking at a plan for reallocating at least $2 billion to the CHIPS Act in order to fund crucial minerals projects, and to increase Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s influence on the strategic sector. The move proposed would use funds already allocated to Congress for semiconductor manufacturing and research, thus avoiding the need for a new spending request. It also aims to reduce U.S. dependency on China in terms of critical minerals that are widely used by electronics and defense industries. Sources said that boosting Lutnick's position...

The British government will impose trade limits on steel that are more restrictive than anticipated, restricting imports from Vietnam and South Korea, as well as Algeria, to protect its domestic supply against the effects of a trade war. Britain is trying to protect its domestic steel industry from an oversupply in the global market. It has taken a number of measures to help it. These include negotiating the removal U.S. Tariffs, which are yet to take full effect, and taking control of British Steel, to stop it from closing down. The global trade upheaval caused by Trump's tariffs, and the...

Investors were anxiously waiting to see if Iran would respond to U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. The price of oil has risen to its highest level since January, as supply fears were stoked by the United States joining Israel to attack Iran's nuclear sites. The market participants are expecting further price increases amid growing fears that a retaliatory move by Iran could include the closing of the Strait of Hormuz through which approximately a fifth of world crude oil supply passes. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index rose 0.7%. Al Rajhi Bank gained 0.6%, and Saudi Arabian Mining Company added...

The major stock markets in the Gulf recovered some of the losses they suffered in previous sessions, when the conflict between Israel and Iran escalated. Saudi Arabia's benchmark Index gained 1.2%. This was mainly due to a 1.9% increase at Al Rajhi Bank, and a 3.2% rise at Saudi Arabian Mining Company. Sunday, the index fell 1%. After a 7% increase on Friday, oil prices were volatile. Israel and Iran renewed their strikes over the weekend, raising fears that the conflict could spread across the Middle East and disrupt oil exports. The Qatari Index rose 1.7%, a day after it...