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Aluminium reaches four-year highs due to Middle East shipping disruptions

Aluminum prices reached four-year-highs on Monday as fears about prolonged shipping disruptions due to the U.S./Israeli war in the Middle East fueled a concern over supplies of the metal. Benchmark aluminium was down?1.5% to $3,394 per metric ton by 1711 GMT, from $3,544 earlier. This is the highest price since March 2022, when the metal prices for transport, construction, and packaging reached a record of $4,073.50.

The conflict in the Middle East virtually closed the Strait of Hormuz, through which aluminum produced in that region is shipped to the U.S.A. and Europe. Ed Meir, Marex analyst, said that the Europeans were particularly worried by this Gulf Aluminum stoppage as it coincides with Mozal's planned shutdown in October.

"Some producers want to draw down stock from outside the area to fulfill their obligations. But?we suspect that this will be difficult due to the high concentration of Russian metals on the exchange, which are currently sanctioned. And the low levels of inventories in general." In December, South32 said its 560,000-metric-ton-per-year capacity Mozal smelter would be placed on care and maintenance from mid-March, after talks with utilities and Mozambique's ?government failed to yield a new power deal.

Concerns about supply have turned the contango or discount for the cash aluminum contract?over the next three months into a premium. On Friday it climbed to $47.4 per tonne, its highest level since February 2022. It was previously around $22 per tonne.

The prices of aluminium on the curve of?maturity going out to 2036 have been backwardated.

The soaring?oil prices have also impacted the demand for industrial metals, as well as the dollar's strength.

Copper rose?0.6%, to $12,943 per ton. Zinc rose 0.9%, to $3,327. Lead fell 1%, to $1,933. Tin rose 0.3%, to $50,235. Nickel lost 0.5%, to $17.385. Reporting by Pratima Dasai. Mark Potter, Tomasz Janowowski and Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)