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Sources say that the premium on Japan Q1 aluminum has more than doubled to $195/T due to fears about a shortage.

Sources say that the premium on Japan Q1 aluminum has more than doubled to $195/T due to fears about a shortage.
Sources say that the premium on Japan Q1 aluminum has more than doubled to $195/T due to fears about a shortage.

Five sources involved in the price talks confirmed that the premium for aluminum shipments to "Japanese" buyers for the period January to March is $195 per ton. This represents a 127% increase from the previous quarter and reflects fears about a tight supply.

Early December saw the latest round of quarterly price negotiations between Japanese buyers, Rio Tinto and South32. Normally, talks end before the beginning of the next quarter. However, this round lasted into the new calendar year because there was a large gap between the buyers and sellers.

The premium paid for the January-March quarter is significantly higher than the $86/ton paid during the October-December period and represents?the first increase in a calendar year. The premium was below the second-round producers' offers?of $210 to 225 per ton but above some initial offers?of $190 to 203 per ton.

Japan is the largest Asian importer for premiums and light metals For primary metal shipments, it agrees to each quarter pay over the London Metal Exchange cash price that is the benchmark for the area.

Sources said that the premium increase reflects the concern over a tighter supply. This is especially true after South32 decided to mothball Mozal Aluminium Smelter in Mozambique, in March. They had failed to reach an agreement on power supply with the government.

A source from a trading firm said that despite the weak demand in Japan spot premiums had risen due to supply concerns to $170 per ton.

We said that we would not be able to ship metal into Asia until premiums were increased. This was after hearing about the Mozal production stop.

The source said that "buyers resisted the prices of $200, so we settled on $190s to avoid lengthy negotiations."

Sources declined to identify themselves due to the sensitive nature of the issue. (Reporting and editing by Joe Bavier, Susan Fenton and Yuka Obayashi)

(source: Reuters)