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Simandou aims to leverage global high-grade ore with Guinea's launch

Guinea wants to maintain high prices on premium iron ore, according to senior officials, as the giant Simandou Project, which is expected to reach a peak of 120 million metric tonnes per year, enters the market in this month.

This may cause a conflict with China, the main customer and owner of the mine, who has taken steps to centralize imports in order to drive down prices.

Simandou has 75% Chinese ownership, which means that three quarters of the company's output will be shipped to China.

Bouna Sylla, Guinea's Mines Minister, said in Conakry that "our main interest is to maintain high prices." He did not give any details but said that Conakry would tap Rio Tinto expertise.

The ownership of Simandou has been split between a Singaporean consortium and a Chinese consortium, WCS. WCS is owned by Chinese state-owned Baowu, which also has indirect ownership in Rio's joint venture Simfer.

This week, iron ore prices fell to their lowest level since the beginning of July as fears about China's demand and swollen inventories dampened prices. The prices also highlighted fragile fundamentals despite temporary support from supply problems.

GUINEA TAKES ON THE GREEN STAINLESS MARKET

Sylla stated that Guinea is looking to bypass China by selling its high-grade Simandou iron ore to Europe and the Middle East.

Simandou ore with a 65% iron grade targets the premium segment for green steels that are less carbon intensive.

Erik Hedborg is the head of raw materials at CRU Group, a metals consultancy. He said that Guinea will receive 15% of the total output of each of Simandou’s two mining blocks. This gives it a rare advantage in a market for green, sustainable steel, which is dominated by Australia, and Brazil.

Rio Tinto, which operates the blocks 3 and 4, will be in direct competition with Brazil’s Vale.

"In Australia, there is no premium." This gives Rio the chance to sell both Pilbara's 62-grade ore and Simandou premium ore to European steel mills, and possibly the Middle East for green steel.

Rio has stated that it will not comment on any commercial issues. Vale didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment.

Hay suggested that one way Guinea could possibly increase prices is by working with other major producers to manage their collective export rate.

Hay explained that Guinea's pricing strength is somewhat diminished because China is the primary target market for Simandou ore.

"Simandou ore will almost certainly be shipped by Chinese ships, and it represents only 1% of seaborne trade that is dominated primarily by China."

Hedborg said that China will continue to rely heavily on Australia and Brazil. However, Simandou’s mid-cost product is competitive enough for it to replace more expensive supply and change the market dynamics.

The Simandou Project has been delayed for decades

Simandou's production, which was originally planned for 1997, is now years behind schedule. Guinea's ruling party ordered that development be stopped in 2022. It said it wanted to clarify how the interests of Guinea would be protected.

Guinea holds 15% of the mines, infrastructure and future steel plants in this $20 billion project.

Officials claim that this model of co-development reduces costs and provides long-term revenue to the state.

Guinea will also build pellet and direct-reduced iron plants in Europe and America to meet the demand for green steel. By leveraging its close proximity, it can reduce costs.

Djiba Dikite, Guinea's chief staff said: "Simandou's not just a mine project. It's a geopolitical tool and an economic one." "We are pro-African, defending Guinean interests." Maxwell Akalaare Adombila, Veronica Brown and Jan Harvey (Reporting)

(source: Reuters)