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Tariffs, growth fears hit industrial metal prices

Tariffs, growth fears hit industrial metal prices

The prices of industrial metals on the London Metal Exchange fell on Monday. Copper hit a four-week high as fears that U.S. tariffs on imports would harm growth and demand dominated sentiment.

Benchmark copper prices on the LME were down 0.8% to $8,975 per metric ton by 1008 GMT, from $9,008 earlier, the lowest price since January 6.

The plan of President Donald Trump to impose 25% on Canada, Mexico and China and 10% on the United States' largest trading partners from Tuesday onwards will slow down global economic growth.

Tariffs on Canada and Mexico are particularly concerning as these countries have free trade agreements with other countries. The market is now expecting broader tariffs against other countries.

Citi analysts wrote in a recent note that they believe any proposed implementations of a universal U.S. Import Tariff, higher tariffs against China, and expected retaliatory duties from other countries would further escalate trade tensions, resulting in global growth headwinds.

Taxes on metals shipped to the United States are also expected to drive up prices in the country. Copper prices on COMEX have traded at a premium compared to LME.

COMEX copper trades at around $4.2395 cents per pound, or $9.350 a ton. This is a premium around $300 over LME.

Concerns about a shortage of supplies are also fuelled by the large number of futures and warrants on aluminium and the falling inventory in LME-registered warehouses.

Discount for cash on three-month aluminium At around $2 per ton, the price has fallen from over $40 in December. The premium for the March three-month contract is higher than the one for the month of December. The aluminium contract has increased to $13 per ton, up from $1 at the beginning of January.

LME aluminium stocks, at 587,200 tons Since May last year,, has nearly halved.

Aluminium for three months was down by 0.6% to $2,578 per ton. Zinc fell 0.1% to 2,738, while lead fell 0.3% to 1,944. Tin retreated 0.7% at $29,900, and nickel dropped 0.7% at $15,110.

The stronger dollar has made industrial metals costlier for holders of currencies other than the US dollar.

A weaker survey of purchasing directors at manufacturing firms located in the top consumer China was also negative.

(source: Reuters)