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Gold prices rise on Fed rate cut bets and a weaker dollar

Gold prices rose on Wednesday, as the expectation of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in September gained momentum following a mild inflation report. A weaker dollar also boosted bullion demand.

As of 0802 GMT, spot gold rose 0.3% to $3354.77 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery increased by 0.1% to $3,403.20.

Market participants are beginning to discuss if the Fed is going to make a 50 basis-point cut at its meeting in September following yesterday's comments by U.S. Treasury Sec. Bessent, with a focus of incoming weaker U.S. Economic data supporting that," said UBS commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

The markets are pricing in more than 90% of the chance that the Fed will cut rates next month. After July's modest inflation spike, which indicated a limited impact on consumer prices from U.S. tariffs, at least one further reduction is expected by year's end.

A low interest rate environment is usually beneficial to gold, which is a non-yielding investment that's often seen as a safe-haven asset during economic or geopolitical uncertainty.

Dollar index has hit a low of two weeks, making the price of greenback bullion more accessible to overseas buyers.

The European and Ukrainian leaders are meeting with U.S. president Donald Trump in a virtual session on Wednesday, ahead of the summit between him and Russian President Vladimir Putin. They will be trying to make clear that selling out Kyiv’s interests for a ceasefire is a dangerous thing.

"Don't anticipate those talks will have a meaningful impact on the gold market. (They) may trigger some short-term instability." Staunovo stated that near-term gold prices will likely move sideways until U.S. economic data starts to support an earlier (Fed rate) cut cycle.

The U.S., China and other countries extended the 90-day tariff truce, which prevented triple-digit duty on goods from each country.

Spot silver was up 1.3% at $38.39 an ounce. Platinum rose 0.8% to 1,346.05 while palladium was up 0.4% to 1,133.72. (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich in Bengaluru, Anmol Choubey)

(source: Reuters)