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Shanghai copper firms up as dollar falls
Shanghai copper prices rose on Monday, as the dollar fell to its lowest level in three years. However, a trade war between China and the U.S., the top metals consumer in the world, is likely to limit any further gains. As of 0342 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange was up 0.6%, trading for 76,480 Yuan ($10 494) per ton. London Metal Exchange (LME), is closed for Easter Monday. Dollar plunged Monday, as investor confidence in U.S. economics took another hit due to President Donald Trump’s plans to shake-up the Federal Reserve. This would put into question the independence and authority of the central banks. Separately on Monday, China warned against striking an economic deal with the United States that would be at its expense. It was ratcheting its rhetoric up in the spiralling trade conflict between the two largest economies of the world. Xie feng, China's ambassador in the United States, urged Washington to find common ground with Beijing, and to pursue peaceful coexistence, while warning that China was ready to retaliate as the trade war escalated. Other metals include: SHFE aluminium, which rose 0.7%, to 19,840 Chinese yuan per ton; zinc, up 0.98% to 22,230 yuan; lead, up 0.7%, to 16,930 Yuan; tin, up 1.2%, to 259,000 yuan; and nickel, up 0.4%, to 126.120 Yuan. $1 = 7.2876 Chinese Yuan (Reporting and editing by Sherry J. Phillips, Mrigank Dhaniwala).
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Gold soars at record high due to trade war fears and weaker dollar
Gold prices soared to record highs on Monday due to concerns about global economic growth caused by the spiraling Sino-U.S. Trade War. A weaker dollar also boosted the rally. As of 0246 GMT the spot gold price had risen 1.7%, to $3383.87 per ounce, after reaching a session high of $3384 earlier. U.S. Gold Futures rose 2% to $3 396.10. Dollar index hits three-year low making gold more appealing for holders of other currencies. "Markets are pricing in heightened risks due to U.S. trade tensions, stagflation fears, and resilient central bank demand," said IG's market strategist Yeap Jun-Rong. On April 2, U.S. president Donald Trump announced "reciprocal" tariffs on dozens countries. While his administration has paused levies on some countries, they have escalated their trade battle with China. China warned other countries on Monday against signing a wider economic agreement with the United States, which Trump is said to be seeking. Trump's team is evaluating the possibility of firing Powell. Russia and Ukraine have accused each other on the geopolitical stage of thousands of attacks which violated the ceasefire of one day declared by President Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin has said that there was no order for the frontline fighting to be extended. The safe haven bullion is in good hands. Rong stated that the next possible milestone for gold would be at the $3,500 mark. However, positioning could appear crowded near term, and technical indicators indicate near-term conditions of overboughtness. Silver spot rose 0.3%, to $32.66 per ounce. Platinum gained 0.3%, to $969.68. Palladium dropped 0.3%, to $959.43. (Reporting and editing by Anmol Mukherjee and Anushree Choubey in Bengaluru, and Sumana D'Souza and Savio d'Souza).
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Shanghai copper prices rise on Dollar weakness
Shanghai copper prices rose slightly on Monday, as the dollar fell to its lowest level in three years. However, a continuing trade tension between the U.S., which is the world's largest metals consumer, and China was likely to limit any further gains. As of 1400 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange was up 0.2%, trading for 76150 yuan per ton ($10,443.38). London Metal Exchange (LME), is closed for Easter Monday. Investor confidence in the U.S. economic system took a further hit as a result of President Donald Trump's plans for a shake-up at the Federal Reserve. This would put into question the independence and authority of the central banks. Separately China stated that it respected all parties who resolved economic and trade disputes with the United States by consultation on equal footing but will firmly oppose anyone striking a deal on China's cost, its Commerce Ministry announced on Monday. Xie feng, China's ambassador in the United States, urged Washington to find common ground with Beijing, and to pursue peaceful coexistence, while warning that China was ready to retaliate as the trade war escalated. Other metals include: SHFE aluminium, which rose 0.2%, to 19,740 Yuan per ton; zinc, up 0.7% to 22,180 Yuan; lead, up 0.4%, to 16,880 Yuan; tin, up 0.6%, to 258,280 Yan, and nickel, down 0.2%, to 125420 Yuan.
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Indians suffer from respiratory problems and skin rashes after living in the world's worst polluted city
Sumaiya Ansari was suffering from breathing difficulties for several days prior to being hospitalized in March. She was given oxygen support. Doctors say that her illness is likely caused by high pollution levels. According to IQAir's estimates, Byrnihat’s average annual PM2.5 concentration was 128.2 milligrams per cubic meter in 2024, which is over 25 times higher than the WHO recommended level. PM2.5 is particulate matter that has a diameter of 2.5 microns and less. This can cause deadly diseases, including heart problems. Abdul Halim, Ansari’s father, said, "It was scary. She was breathing like fish." He brought Ansari home after two days in the hospital. According to data from the government, respiratory infections cases in the region increased to 3,681 by 2024, up from 2,082 in 2012. Dr. J Marak, of Byrnihat Primary Healthcare Centre, said that 90% of the patients he sees daily have a cough and/or other respiratory problems. Residents report that the toxic air causes skin rashes, eye irritations, damages crops and prevents them from doing routine tasks such as drying their laundry outside. Dildar Hussain, a farmer, said: "Everything has been covered in dust or soot." Critics claim that Byrnihat's pollution problem is indicative of a larger trend that affects not only India's major cities but also the Capitalism As industrialisation accelerates, environmental protections are being eroded. Government data shows that the air quality in Byrnihat remains poor throughout the year. Experts say that the pollution problem in this town is worsened by the fact that it has a "bowl-shaped" topography and 80 industries, many of which are highly polluting. Arup Misra, the chairman of Assam’s pollution control board, said that the terrain between Meghalaya's hills and Assam’s plains is too narrow for pollutants to spread. A Meghalaya official, who declined to be identified, stated that the town's geographical location made it harder to find a solution, as both states shifted blame between themselves. Assam, Meghalaya and IQAir have formed a joint committee to fight the pollution in Byrnihat. (Reporting and writing by Tora Aggarwala, Sakshi Dayal and Raju Gopalakrishnan; editing by Raju Gopi Krishnan)
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Progress in US-Iran negotiations eases supply concerns, lowering oil prices
The oil prices dropped by about 1% after the nuclear talks between Iran and the United States progressed. This eased concerns that this dispute would reduce the supply of the Middle Eastern major producer. Brent crude futures fell 70 cents or 1.03% to $67.26 per barrel at 0030 GMT, after closing 3.2% higher on Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $64, down 68 cents or 1.05% after closing up 3.54% the previous session. Last week, Thursday was the final settlement day due to the Good Friday holiday. Iran's Foreign Minister said that the U.S. had agreed to start drafting a framework for any potential nuclear deal with Iran on Saturday, following talks described by a U.S. government official as "very positive progress." Progress in the nuclear talks follows the U.S. imposing further sanctions last week. These included sanctions against a teapot oil refinery based in China, which it claims processed Iranian crude. This increased pressure on Tehran during the discussions. Teapot is the industry term for smaller independent processors. Brent and WTI both gained about 5% in the last week due to concerns about the tightening of Iranian oil supplies and hopes for an agreement between the United States, and the European Union. This was their first weekly increase in three weeks. Separately, Russia, Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin blamed each for breaking the one-day ceasefire declared on Easter Sunday by the Russian president. Both sides accused the other of hundreds attacks, and the Kremlin said there was never an order to extend the ceasefire. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Florence Tan is the reporter)
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Interfax reports that the Russian economy ministry has cut its Brent price forecast for 2025 by almost 17%.
Interfax reported on Monday morning that the Russian economy ministry had reduced its forecast of the average price for Brent crude in 2025 from the amount it thought the price would be in September by almost 17%. Interfax reported that in the ministry's baseline scenario for economic forecasts of 2025, the average price of Brent is expected to be $68 per barrel, down from $81.7 per barrel in the September forecasts. The Ministry of Finance estimates that the price of Urals, Russia’s main blend, is $56 per barrel, compared to the $69.7 per barrelle on which Russia based its budget for 2025. The agency quoted a ministry representative as saying, "We think that this is an estimate which is fairly conservative." Oil and gas revenues account for a third (or more) of the budget. In April, the Russian central bank had warned that due to a lower global demand, oil prices may be lower for several years than expected. Urals prices dropped to their lowest level since 2023 early April, trading at around $53 a barrel. They traded below $60 per barrel last week. The ministry said that it did not expect a recession to occur due to the trade wars of U.S. president Donald Trump and believes global growth will be slightly higher than 2% this year. Interfax quoted the representative of the ministry as saying: "The world's still bigger than the United States. So some flows will be directed." The Ministry maintained its forecast of 2.5% for the gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Russia and raised its inflation forecast from 4.5% to 7.6%. The rouble is also expected to be slightly stronger this year than it was previously forecasted, with an average of 94,3 roubles for every dollar, compared to an earlier prediction of 96.5.
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Severe weather strikes the Midwest and South of the US, killing two people in Oklahoma
Police said that at least two people including a child died after their vehicle became stranded on flood waters in Oklahoma, during the Easter weekend, when severe weather and flooding affected parts of the U.S. South, Midwest and Midwest. In a press release, police in Moore (Oklahoma), about 11 miles south-southeast of Oklahoma City, stated that the weather was "historic". "One (of the vehicles) was swept underneath the bridge. All but two of the occupants were saved at the time. "It is with deep sadness that we announce that two people, an adult male and a 12-year old boy, were found dead later," the statement said. The police in Moore, Oklahoma have urged residents to stay home. They responded late Saturday to more than a dozen calls by residents who were stuck in their vehicles because of high water. Oklahoma was covered by flood warnings that indicate a flood may be imminent or has already occurred. National Weather Service stated on Sunday that severe thunderstorms are expected to occur from east Texas through far southeast Iowa, Illinois and into central Arkansas. A strong tornado with damaging winds is also possible from central Arkansas and central Missouri. The National Weather Service has issued a tornado watch for certain parts of Arkansas and Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri and Oklahoma. A deadly spring storm that swept across the U.S. from Texas to Ohio caused tornadoes, heavy rains, and even a few deaths in the South and Midwest. (Reporting and editing by Mary Milliken, Chris Reese and Kanishka Singh from Washington)
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Russia-Ukraine War: US welcomes extension of ceasefire
The U.S. State Department announced on Sunday that it would be happy to see the one-day ceasefire declared by Russian president Vladimir Putin for Easter extended beyond Sunday, despite the Kremlin's earlier statement that there had been no extension order. Both Russia and Ukraine have accused each other of violating the ceasefire. Putin declared a ceasefire for one day in Ukraine, until Sunday midnight Moscow time (2100 GMT). KEY QUOTES "We've seen that President Putin announced a temporary truce due to Easter. In an email statement sent on Sunday, a spokesperson for the State Department said that they remain committed to achieving full and comprehensive peace. As we evaluate their seriousness, we welcome the extension of this punishment beyond Sunday. Why it's important U.S. president Donald Trump Has repeatedly warned about the risk of escalation in the three-year old war that was started by Russia's full scale invasion of its neighbor, and has said he wants the war to end. The U.S. secretary of state has said that the war should be ended. Marco Rubio Washington said that it will abandon efforts to broker a deal for peace if there are no clear signs of progress in the near future. Trump announced that he would sign a mineral deal with Kyiv within a week after the U.S.A. and Ukraine signed a Memorandum of Understanding on Thursday. A failed attempt in February was the result of Zelenskiy and Trump's clash in the Oval Office. CONTEXT Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the Ukrainian president, said that Russia pretended to respect the Easter ceasefire but in reality, it had continued hundreds of artillery assaults Saturday night and more on Sunday. Russia's Defence Ministry claimed that Ukraine violated the ceasefire and caused damage to civilians and infrastructure. Putin wants Ukraine to give up its NATO ambitions and permanently cede the four lost regions to Russia. He also wants to limit its army size. Kyiv claims that these demands amount to a demand for its capitulation.
CORRECTED-BHP's Anglo buyout makes business sense if the price is ideal: Russell
BHP Group's. proposed takeover of rival miner Anglo American is one of those. uncommon circumstances where a megamerger in fact makes strong. service sense, but it will be challenging to pull off to the. satisfaction of all celebrations.
BHP, the world's biggest mining company, offered. $ 39 billion last week to buy Anglo, a move the. London-listed miner that grew out of South Africa rejected as. significantly undervalued.
The expectation now is that BHP might increase its deal, or. other purchasers for Anglo, or parts of its diversified portfolio,. may emerge.
Much of the limelights has actually concentrated on Anglo's copper. assets as the lure for BHP, with a combined business ending up being the. world's largest producer of the industrial metal with a share of. around 10%.
In effect, BHP's quote is largely seen as a massive vote of. confidence in the future of copper, which is essential to the. energy transition offered its residential or commercial properties as a conductor and its. resistance to rust.
The bid might also be an implied admission on BHP's part that. buying copper assets is far easier than searching for them and. establish brand-new mines.
Anglo has interests in 3 copper mines in Chile and its. production in the 2023 financial year was 507,000 metric heaps,. which led to underlying profits before interest, taxes,. devaluation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $1.452 billion.
The London-listed miner likewise has a 60% share in the. Quellaveco mine in Peru, which gave it production of 319,000. lots and EBITDA of $1.781 billion.
This offered Anglo total copper output of 826,000 heaps and. EBITDA of $3.233 billion, or 32% of the group's overall for 2023.
BHP's copper organization is more varied, with operations. in Chile, Peru, Australia and the United States, and in the 2023. financial year production was 1.717 million tons for an. underlying EBITDA of $6.65 billion.
For the sake of argument, assume Anglo's copper incomes can. be preserved and the copper rate stays steady, it would take. about 6 years for the earnings to settle half of BHP's. current offer price for Anglo.
Naturally, it's most likely that there would be some cost. synergies, and it's likewise probably the case that copper costs. rally, particularly if the energy shift begins to speed up.
That would make Anglo's copper possessions more valuable to BHP. as the return would be over a shorter time period.
Naturally, this presumes that BHP's view of Anglo's possessions is. that copper is efficiently half of the worth of the overall. company.
The concern for investors looking at BHP's proposed. takeover of Anglo is how much are Anglo's non-copper properties. worth, can they be disposed of successfully, or incorporated into. the broader group.
COAL, IRON ORE
The asset that fits finest with BHP's existing portfolio is. Anglo's metallurgical coal mines in Australia's Queensland. state.
BHP, through its alliance with Japan's Mitsubishi, is the. world's biggest exporter of the coal utilized mostly to make. steel, while Anglo ranks third.
Integrating their possessions would produce a dominant metallurgical. coal gamer, so much so that the deal is most likely to bring in. examination from regulators, especially in countries like Japan,. which source the large bulk of their coal from Australia.
The present BHP proposal predicts Anglo's South African iron. ore possessions, held through Kumba Iron Ore, and the. platinum mines of Anglo American Platinum, being. divested and distributed to investors.
This may present issues for the South African authorities,. but it's also a sad reflection of how worldwide business. are no longer keen on possessions in the country that was when. renowned as a centre of mining quality.
Iron ore is BHP's most significant earner, and the high-grade. material produced by Kumba would work in the portfolio, however. South Africa's political risk and crumbling facilities make. it unsightly.
Anglo's Brazilian iron ore operations likewise offer high-grade. ore, which BHP could integrate or seek to sell.
Platinum is a commodity that may have a hard time in the energy. shift, offered its use in catalytic converters for internal. combustion engine automobiles.
Anglo's other interests, such as diamonds through De Beers,. and manganese through Samancor, might most probably be sold to. existing partners: the Botswana government for De Beers and. South 32 for the manganese.
Overall, the mechanics of the deal seem to make great sense. for BHP.
They can be made to make good sense for Anglo's investors if. the offer is lifted enough so that they can't say no.
Winning over numerous regulators across several nations may. be much more tricky, and compromises may be needed, and that. might end up undermining the very logic of the deal in the first. location.
Disclosure: At the time of publication Clyde Russell owned. shares in BHP Group as an investor in a fund.
The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a writer. .
(source: Reuters)