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Argentina's mining exports will top $5 billion by 2025, despite lithium struggles. Industry body claims

Argentina's mining exports will top $5 billion by 2025, despite lithium struggles. Industry body claims

The president of the Argentine Chamber of Mining Companies, CAEM, predicted that Argentina's mining exports would exceed $5 billion by 2025. This is up from $4.6 in 2024.

Roberto Cacciola, in an interview with he said that the main mining exports of Argentina, gold and silver, would remain the same or even decline slightly by 2025, due to the maturation process for mining projects. However, the rising prices would make up the volume decrease.

Cacciola stated that the mining exports could reach $5 or $5.2 billion this year.

He said that he expected the opposite for lithium. He expects a rise in production when prices are falling.

He added: "In terms volume, there are no significant changes for gold or silver. There may be a slight reduction. In lithium, volume is increasing, but the price has dropped, which will keep exports of lithium at a level similar to that in 2024." According to the National Mining Secretariat, in 2024 gold contributed $3.14billion, or 68%, silver $641m, or 14%, and lithium $631m, or 13.6%.

The libertarian government of Argentine president Javier Milei is trying to boost the promising mine sector in order to increase income, which it desperately needs to maintain macroeconomic stability.

It created the Large Investment Incentive Regime, which offers tax, exchange rate, and customs benefits to investments exceeding $200 million.

The government has approved only the Anglo-Australian company Rio Tinto's Rincon Project, a $2.7billion investment in Salta, a northern province, for construction of a Lithium Carbonate Plant. Cacciola stated that the fall in lithium prices caused by an excess of supply and a lower demand for electric cars has delayed investments. In the last two years, China's oversupply has caused prices to fall more than 90%.

"Lithium firms are working hard to break even or may be running a deficit. He said that this is a temporary situation, but a reality.

He said, "Everyone thought about expanding and growing. Now they are thinking about survival." "Some expansions were delayed. "We're not going to be able to recreate the same euphoria as in 2022-2023 because of the sharp drop (in prices)."

Argentina, along with Chile and Bolivia is part of "the lithium triangle", which contains the largest reserves in the world. The country also has world class copper projects. However, none of them are currently in production.

Cacciola estimates that the government would extend by an additional year the deadline for submitting projects to the RIGI, which expires on July 8, 2026. This is because many projects – especially copper – have expressed interest in participating in the incentive scheme.

McEwen Copper, a Canadian company, has only applied for Los Azules to be included in the RIGI.

The RIGI is operating. It's planned, I believe. Cacciola stated that he did not see any obstacles to the extension of the program.

He added that the copper projects were "all set to be submitted, they just need some definitions." (Report by Lucila SIGAL; edited by Nicolas Misculin & Jamie Freed).

(source: Reuters)