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Aluminium reaches four-year highs due to Middle East shipping disruptions

Aluminum prices reached four-year-highs on Monday, as concerns over a'supply of metal' were fueled by fears of a prolonged disruption of shipping in the Middle East because of the U.S./Israel war against Iran.

Benchmark 'aluminum' traded 1.8% lower, at $3,385 per metric ton. This is the highest price since March 2022, when the metal was used for transport, construction, and packaging, reaching a record of $4,073.50.

The conflict in the Middle East has virtually closed the Strait of Hormuz, through which aluminum produced in that region is shipped to the U.S.

Ed Meir, Marex analyst, said that the Europeans were particularly worried as the Gulf Aluminum stoppage coincided with Mozal's going off-line this month.

Some producers are looking to reduce their stock levels outside of the region to meet their obligations, but this will be difficult due to the high concentration of Russian metals on the exchanges (currently sanctions) and the low inventory elsewhere.

In December, South32 said its 560,000-metric-ton-per-year capacity Mozal smelter would be placed on care and maintenance from mid-March, after talks with utilities and ?Mozambique's government failed to yield a new power deal.

Concerns about supply have turned the contango or discount for the cash aluminum?contract in the three-month ahead into a premium. It climbed to $47.34 per ton, the highest level since February 2022. The previous high was $32.

The prices of aluminium on the maturity curve up to 2036 have been backwardated.

The surge in oil prices has also led to a slowdown of global growth, and a weakening demand for industrial metals.

Copper fell 0.5% at $12,800 per ton. Zinc rose 1.5% to $3 347. Lead was down by 0.9% at $1 936. Tin dropped 3.3% to $ 48 400. Nickel was unchanged, ceded at $17 465. Reporting by Pratima Dasai. Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)