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Copper record set after Chilean mine strike

Prices of copper soared to record levels on Monday, as fears about supply?intensified after a strike in a Chilean mining facility and forecasts of deficits?as well as low stocks at London Metal Exchange-approved warehouses.

The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 2.7% to $12,811 per metric tonne at 1138 GMT, from an earlier peak of $12,905.5. The metal used for power and construction reached a record price of $12,960 per ton.

The theme of shortages was reinforced by traders after a strike took place at Capstone Copper’s Mantoverde gold and copper mine in northern Chile.

Mantoverde is expected to produce between 29,000-32,000 metric tonnes of copper. This is only a small fraction of the global production forecast for this year of 24 million tonnes. However, this reinforces expectations that there will be a shortfall.

Analysts at UBS wrote in a report that they forecast a deficit of 300,000 to 400,000 tons by 2026. This will increase to 500,000 tons by 2027.

The drop in LME inventories, at 142.550 tons, has fueled the rise of copper prices.

Copper tariffs are still being reviewed, even though copper import levies were exempted from August 1's law.

Aluminium prices in other countries have risen to $3,069 per ton. This is the highest since April 2022, due to fears of shortages.

Gregory Wittbecker is the President of Wittsend Commodity Advisors. He said that for the past 20 years, the LME's price has been largely dictated by China's capital costs.

"Now, the market needs to begin thinking about CapEx in Indonesia."

Lead rose 0.2% at $2,011, Nickel firmed up 0.4% at $16,885, and Tin rose 3.5% to $41,925.

The big rise in tin was due to traders short-covering on a market with low volume. (Reporting and editing by Bernadette B. Baum; Pratima D. Desai)

(source: Reuters)