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S&P reduces Volvo Cars' rating outlook citing US tariffs and competition in China

S&P lowered its outlook on Volvo Cars' BB+ rating to "negative" on Friday from "stable". The company said that the increased competition in China and the U.S. Tariffs were harming the growth prospects of the company.

Last month, the Swedish automaker, owned by China's Geely in majority, retracted its earnings guidance. It also announced cost-cutting measures, including the layoff of 3,000 workers, mostly white-collar, due to a drop in demand.

S&P stated in a press release that "the negative outlook for Volvo Cars reflects the company's large exposure to U.S. tariffs on imports, and its increasing marginalisation on the Chinese market."

We expect Volvo Cars to face pressure on its profitability and cash flow generation in 2025-2026. This will be partially alleviated by an extensive cost-cutting programme.

In 2024, the United States will account for 16% of Volvo Cars' sales. China will be responsible for 20%.

Volvo Cars only produces one model in the United States and imports the rest. This leaves the company at greater risk of U.S. Tariffs than its European counterparts.

S&P also said that a proposed ban by the United States in 2027 on automakers controlled a Chinese entity weighed on outlook.

A U.S. Court temporarily reinstated new tariffs on Thursday, after a U.S. district court ordered their immediate suspension the day before. (Reporting and editing by Terje Solsvik, Tomasz Janovowski)

(source: Reuters)