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MORNING quote ASIA-Guarding versus disinflation complacency

A take a look at the day ahead in Asian markets.

Financiers are no doubt relieved that disinflationary pressures seem to be spreading across numerous parts of the world, however there were a couple of cautions on Tuesday against complacency that they might keep in mind entering into Wednesday.

Australia's reserve bank struck a hawkish tone in its policy statement, some U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed comparable wariness over inflation, and international oil rates extended their current climb to the greatest in 7 weeks. That wasn't enough to eliminate the general bullishness pervading world markets - Asian stocks published strong gains, Nvidia ended up being the world's most valuable publicly-traded company and the S&P. 500 and Nasdaq struck new highs - however it's a pointer that markets. are not a one-way bet. Momentum cooled likewise in part to disappointing U.S. retail sales. figures that recommend growth in the world's biggest economy is. slowing - the dollar and Wall Street hardly budged, and Treasury. yields fell.

Asian markets might have a hard time for direction on Wednesday. Trade figures from Japan and Indonesia, current account data. from New Zealand, and Japan's tankan business surveys are. highlights on the local financial calendar.

The New Zealand dollar could take its hint from the Reserve. Bank of New Zealand's primary economic expert Paul Conway, who will. talk on inflation.

Swaps markets are pricing in 35 basis points of relieving from. the RBNZ this year and a more 90 bps to 100 bps next year. That's considerably more than the Reserve Bank of Australia,. which is only seen cutting rates 50 bps by the end of next year.

The Aussie dollar was one of the best-performing G10. currencies on Tuesday after the RBA left its cash rate on hold. at 4.35%, as expected, but stressed the need to be watchful on. inflation.

Japan's yen discovers back in and around the 'intervention zone'. of 158.00 per dollar to 160.00 per dollar, where Tokyo. stepped in on two events recently to avoid it from. weakening any further.

The Bank of Japan will be more careful than many about the. inflationary effects of the weak exchange rate and oil, which is. up more than 10% in the last two weeks.

Japanese lender Norinchukin Bank, meanwhile, will sell more. than $63 billion of its holdings of U.S. and European federal government. bonds during the year ending March 2025, Nikkei reported.

Norinchukin will do this as part of the bank's efforts to. dramatically alter its portfolio management, Nikkei quoted the. bank's CEO as saying.

It will be fascinating to see what effect, if any, this has. on the bonds being sold and the yen. Japan is the most significant. overseas holder of U.S. Treasuries and the biggest financial institution. nation on the planet - repatriating a small part of these. holdings could move world markets.

Here are crucial developments that might supply more instructions. to markets on Wednesday:

- Japan trade (May)

- Japan tankan studies (June)

- RBNZ's Conway speaks

(source: Reuters)