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Copper gains defy gloomy outlook

Copper gains defy gloomy outlook

The copper price hit its highest level in over two weeks on the Monday after a weaker US dollar triggered fund purchases. However, traders are unsure that this upward momentum will continue as long as U.S. tariffs dominate sentiment.

The levy imposed by Donald Trump has harmed the outlook for economic growth in the world and for demand for industrial metals.

By 1126 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), which had reached its highest level since April 4, was now up 1.5% to $9,325 per metric tonne.

One copper trader stated that the market was not based on fundamentals but rather on funds buying as a reaction to the dollar, and people cutting short positions.

Concerns over the independence and credibility of the Federal Reserve have impacted the currency after Trump's attacks on Fed chief Jerome Powell.

A weaker dollar makes metals priced in dollars cheaper for buyers of other currencies. This could boost demand. This relationship is used in the trading of funds called commodity trading advisors, which trade on signals generated by numerical models.

Copper has broken through resistance on the technical front at the 50-day- and 100-day-moving averages, respectively, at $9,290 and $ 9,330. The 21-day moving avg. is $9,380. This represents the next barrier to the upside.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's (ShFE) warehouse stocks, which fell 36% since February to 171,611 tonnes, and lower inventories at Shanghai's bonded storage facilities are supporting copper prices. .

Citi analysts in a China note said that while trade conflicts are expected to affect demand in the second- and third-quarters, businesses hope for stimulus to offset this.

Dealers are optimistic that the domestic market will remain resilient, despite recent export headwinds, they wrote.

Other metals saw a 0.8% increase in aluminium at $2,384 per ton. Zinc gained 1.5% at $2,616, while lead was up by 0.6% at $1,933. Tin was up 1.3% at $31,030, and nickel rose 0.4% to $15,690.

(source: Reuters)