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The weekly copper price is up on the back of mine supply concerns and China demand
Copper prices were on track to gain a weekly % of?1.5% this Friday. This was due to concerns about mine supply disruptions and signs of active demand from?China, the top consumer. By 0948 GMT, the benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange had risen by 1.2% to $14,473.50 per metric tonne. Yangshan Copper Premium This week, the price of copper in China reached its highest level in four years, after the country returned from its week-long vacation. The Shanghai Futures Exchange monitors copper inventories in warehouses. The end-of-week stock level was 58,744 tonnes, an increase of 20,000 tons over the previous week. Exchange data revealed that copper stocks at the LME registered warehouses fell to a six-week-low of 233.025 tons, after daily outflows totaling 4,700?tons. This was mainly due to warehouses in Taiwan and Hong Kong. Since 2025, copper prices have been supported by the constant transfers of metal to Comex warehouses, especially in the last six months. This is due to uncertainty about potential US import tariffs for refined copper. Comex inventories are at a record high of 711 609 tons. Cash copper contracts ended Thursday with a $97 per ton premium over the three-month contract. Morgan Stanley stated in a report that "any slowdown in US stocks could make the markets feel looser. But China's demand has been resilient, and supply is experiencing significant disruptions." The union representing Antofagasta’s?Centinela mine in Chile has said that the strike will?begin affecting output in November. Antofagasta initially downplayed its impact, but this situation has increased the risk of disruptions at other mines. Aluminium and lead, among other LME metals, rose by 1.1% each to $3,085 a ton and $1,880 per ton. Zinc rose 1.7% to $3.781.50. Tin increased 2.1% to $52,305. Nickel climbed 1.2%, to $15,730.
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AI-related companies drive the majority of third-quarter US earnings increases
US companies will likely deliver a third-quarter earnings surge, and AI-related players, like the stock market rally, are driving most of these gains. Investors are excited about the hyper-growth of AI companies, but they are also concerned about the future of the share price and how long this trend will continue. According to Tajinder dhillon, LSEG’s head of earnings research and equity, analysts expect S&P500 earnings to increase by 31% in the third quarter. Two-thirds will come from the tech sector, including AI giants Alphabet and Amazon.com, as well as Meta Platforms. The S&P 500 reached a new record this week, ahead of earnings season. This is expected to begin unofficially next?week when banks such as JPMorgan Chase or Goldman Sachs report their results. "It is all AI, and to a lesser degree, energy and material, but this is because of geopolitics,"?Sameer samana, the head of global equity and real assets at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. It wouldn't be surprising if 70-80% growth could be attributed tech and AI. The US oil price has risen by roughly 30% during the third quarter due to the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran. Samana pointed out that the?earnings estimates for the third-quarter are among the lowest. Strategists are unsure if the third-quarter growth in earnings can match the explosive growth seen in the second quarter. Most companies beat analyst's estimates and this is likely to continue in the third quarter. LSEG data shows that the S&P 500's earnings grew by 54% in the second quarter, the highest growth since 2021. LSEG data showed that excluding mark-to-market gains from Alphabet and Amazon.com for AI-related investments the growth rate was still about 35%. This is the highest level since 2021. Anthony Saglimbene is the chief market strategist of Ameriprise Financial. He said that investors should be concerned because we're approaching "peak earnings growth" in this cycle. "A lot is this AI trade built on continuing capex spending. Every quarter, as they continue to do so, the hurdle rates and scrutiny get higher." Dhillon, based upon LSEG data, said that earnings for US semiconductor firms, which are among the largest beneficiaries of the AI boom will?have risen by about 136% compared to about 158% during the second quarter. Nick Raich is the CEO of Earnings Scout. Three months ago, we were going 150 miles per hour. Raich stated that the latest reports, including those from Micron Technology, were strong and suggested other companies continue to "reap the benefits." Micron, a chipmaker, forecasted quarterly revenue that was above expectations and said customers had boosted their commitments to its long-term supply agreements up to $32 billion. This week, Google signed a huge power deal with Constellation Energy. Investors will also be paying close attention to the impact of higher interest rates on corporate profits during this earnings season. The US bond yields are rising due to concerns over inflation, high oil prices, and debt problems elsewhere. Samana warned that heavy borrowers such as utilities are at risk.
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Campaign group warns that the new Congress in Brazil poses a threat to environmental legislation
According to a report by the climate advocacy group Observatorio Do?Clima that found almost 70% of elected legislators have no or little interest in environmental issues, Brazil's new Congress will likely pose a greater obstacle to legislation protecting the environment after elections this month. The study examined bills, legislative initiatives, speeches, and public statements made by newly elected and reelected legislators. It concluded that 64 out of 81 senators have demonstrated a "very low" commitment to environmental issues. In the lower chamber, 345 out of 511 legislators were placed in the same category. According to the study, the Liberal Party, which is home to Flavio Bolsonaro (a right-wing senator) who will be facing President Luiz Inacio Lula in a presidential runoff later this month has the lowest environmental credentials of all major parties. Bolsonaro defeated Lula in a first round despite pollsters' predictions, but he didn't get enough votes to prevent a second ballot. The environmental commitment of all 28 senators and lower house members who were elected by the party on Sunday was rated as very low. The study also found that other right-leaning political parties, such as?Novo and Republicanos, Progressistas, and Uniao Brasil showed low support for environmental issues. Observatorio do Clima stated that environmental advocates may face a more 'challenging' political landscape if Bolsonaro, whose previous?comments about climate change caused concern, is elected President. I contacted the parties named but did not receive a response. The group said that proposals to weaken environmental protections, such as measures to reduce protected lands, allow mining on Indigenous land, and ease licensing requirements for environmental matters, could gain "traction" under the new Congress. Suely Araujo is the public policy coordinator for the group. She said, "This image shows four years of hard work by those who are focused on climate and environment issues."
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Trump's comment that Iran can 'take out Los Angeles' was misinterpreted
US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that comments he made about Iran being able to "take out" California cities were misinterpreted. He was referring instead to the need for people to tolerate higher gasoline prices. Trump made these remarks on Monday at a Nebraska political rally, where he talked about the economic sacrifices of Americans during World War II. "Remember that the 'war' is artificial, it costs a lot, but it's worth it," he said. "It is a small price to pay in order to keep the world and our country safe. They could take out an entire city. Let's?take Los Angeles out, let's?take San Diego out. It's a small price to pay and it will be over very soon." California's Democratic Leaders and some Republican colleagues quickly condemned the remarks. Trump stated in a Truth Social posting on Thursday that "a temporary increase in Gasoline prices is a small price to be paid for Iran not having a nuclear weapon." "If you want to see a huge price, can you imagine what would happen if they bombed San Diego and/or Los Angeles?" He continued by saying he loved both cities. Trump has dismissed concerns about cost of living stemming the Iran conflict in the past.
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US to rescind methane policy against oil and gas industry
The US Environmental Protection Agency announced on Wednesday that it would be scrapping the Biden-era regulation aimed at curbing large leaks of'methane' from oil and gas operations. The move is part a broader effort by the Trump administration to reduce regulations, which it claims burden US businesses in its quest to increase fossil fuel production. "Americans should be able to afford heating their homes during the winter and filling up their cars to drive to work." The people who produce the energy cannot?do this when they are burdened by unnecessary burdens," EPA Administator Lee Zeldin stated in a press release after announcing the decision at a meeting with representatives of the oil and gas industries in New Mexico. The "super emitter program" of the EPA requires that companies react when third parties use remote sensing to report suspected methane leaks. After taking office in 2017, the Trump administration?delayed implementing this policy until next. EPA claimed that its proposal to rescind this?rule could save $45 billion a yearly. The oil and gas industry, which is a major source of methane, is responsible for the second largest?cause?of climate change?after carbon dioxide. Environmental groups have criticized the move. In a statement, Mahyar Sorour of Sierra Club's Beyond Fossil Fuels said: "This giveaway is foolish and shortsighted. It reveals to whom the Trump administration works - its political donors."
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US seizes $3 Million in fuel shipments from Cuba as crackdown continue
The US announced on Wednesday that it had seized 90 separate shipments of biodiesel bound to Cuba, worth nearly $3 million. This is the second time this week US authorities have announced the seizure "illegal" fuel en route to Cuba. The Trump administration is continuing to choke off Cuba's energy industry, only allowing small amounts of fuel to be shipped to the private sector on the island in an effort to undercut the Cuban government. Jose Figueroa, Special Agent in Charge of Homeland Security Miami, told Miami reporters on Wednesday that the seized cargo was destined for Enetec, an Enetec-based state-owned fuel firm sanctioned earlier this year by the US. The authorities said that they intercepted fuel shipments at Port Everglades in south Florida and Houston before they left the US. Homeland Security reported that more than 600,000 gallons were seized. Figueroa stated that "an effort of this magnitude to undermine US sanction is not an accident." These actions are aimed at shipments that could benefit the Cuban government through a state controlled entity. Anyone who attempts to undermine US laws to fund, facilitate or profit from such an effort should be put on notice. Cuba's government didn't?comment immediately on the fuel seizure. Cuba's communist-run government has called the Trump administration's blockade of fuel on Cuba "economic war" and "illegal". The blockade has exacerbated the ongoing problems of blackouts, shortages of water and inflation on the island, pushing it towards a humanitarian catastrophe. US President Donald Trump stated openly that his goal is to overthrow Cuba's government with the?blockade & sanctions. Last week, the US Coast Guard announced that they had intercepted in September a large container vessel carrying fuel bound for Cuba. The Coast Guard said that the ship was attempting to evade authorities, and had large amounts of fuel hidden within its ballast tanks. In either case, the US has not disclosed the identities of the exporters.
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Russia claims that Ukraine has struck two nuclear facilities at Zaporizhzhia
The head of Russia's state nuclear corporation said that despite the fact that Ukrainian drones had attacked two facilities at Zaporizhzhia, a Russian-held nuclear power plant in southeast Ukraine, there was no danger to nuclear safety. Alexei Likhachev said that a driver who was delivering food to plant workers had been killed by the drone attack. Likhachev said that a laboratory and a plant for the processing of radioactive waste were targeted. Ukraine has yet to comment on the incident. The plant's management announced on?Saturday that Ukrainian shelling in recent weeks has damaged the external power supply equipment. Electricity is currently provided by emergency diesel generators. The plant does not produce electricity, but it needs two external links for power to cool nuclear fuel. In the first few weeks of the war, which began with Moscow's invasion of its smaller neighbor in February 2022, Russia captured the?plant - Europe's biggest with six reactors. Since then, Moscow and Kyiv accuse each other regularly of military actions that compromise nuclear safety. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN's nuclear watchdog has repeatedly taken action to ensure a ceasefire surrounding the plant so that repairs could be made to the lines connecting the facility to the main grid. UN monitors are at the Zaporizhzhia and three other plants in Ukraine. Maria Zakharova of the Russian Foreign Ministry wrote on her ministry's website that the West was enabling Ukrainian aggressions by not publicly condemning them. Zakharova wrote that "Kyiv has intensified its shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant because Western countries have not responded appropriately to these actions, effectively facilitating new assaults." "Such an attitude toward strikes by the Ukrainian military shows the true 'value' of statements made by representatives of these nations about nuclear and physical safety at international forums."
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The top cases in the US Supreme Court docket
US Supreme Court will hear a number of important cases in its new term, which begins Monday. These include issues like President Donald Trump's Immigration Policies, the ban on assault-style rifles, the financial responsibility of Big Oil for climate change and Republican-backed voting restriction. This is a list of some of the cases that are being argued in the current term. The term runs until the end of June. Big Oil Climate Suit ExxonMobil, Suncor Energy and Boulder officials argued on October 5, attempting to "thwart" a lawsuit filed by Boulder officials. The Justices grappled with the complex question of whether local governments should be allowed to hold oil companies responsible for harms caused by climate change. After Colorado's highest court allowed Boulder to sue them for violating state laws and seeking unspecified damages, the companies filed an appeal. Trump's administration supported the companies. The justices expressed concerns over unduly restricting the power of states to pursue litigation related to climate change, and the potential for chaos if local government across the nation were allowed to sue these corporations. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June. TRUMP'S MANDATORY DETENTION OF IMMIGRANTS The court will determine the legality Trump's policy, which subjects millions of illegal immigrants living in the US to mandatory detention while deportation proceedings are underway. Trump's policy of mass deportation includes this policy. The Supreme Court heard the Trump administration appeal of a lower-court ruling that ruled against the policy, in a case concerning a Brazilian citizen. The US administration has abandoned its long-standing interpretation of federal laws that allowed immigrants living in the US to be released under bond until their cases were heard in immigration court. Dates for the arguments have not been set yet. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June. DEPORTATIONS TO A THIRD COUNTRY BY TRUMP In December, the justices will hear arguments over the Trump administration’s policy to deport migrants to "third countries", or other nations than their home country. They won't give them the opportunity to demonstrate the harms that they might face. On September 29, the court allowed the Trump administration to continue its policy, suspending a federal judge’s ruling that deporting migrants to third-country countries was illegal. Human rights groups claim that more than 25,000 migrants were deported under this policy to 29 different countries. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June. Ban on assault-style rifles On December 2, the justices will hear arguments in a challenge against state prohibitions of 'assault style rifles. This case involves a weapon type that is often associated with mass killings. The lower courts in Cook County Illinois and Connecticut upheld the bans on powerful semiautomatic weapons such as AR-15s. Lower courts rejected arguments that these measures violated the US Constitution's Second Amendment rights to "keep and bear arms." Gun rights groups, as well as other opponents, have argued that Supreme Court precedents regarding the Second Amendment protect firearms in "common usage." The end of June is the expected date for a ruling. Voting Rights On December 8, the justices will hear arguments in a Republican led bid to reinstate voter restrictions in Arizona. This would require proof of citizenship for all voter registrants, and purge voter lists in Arizona from alleged non-US citizen voters. Republicans appealed a lower court's decision to stop certain provisions of Arizona law for violating federal voting registration laws. The Trump administration has supported key aspects of the appeal. The Arizona measure, according to critics, adds additional mandates for voting which unfairly targets Latinos and Native American voters. These groups tend to support Democratic candidates. The ruling is expected to be made by the end of June. LGBT RIGHTS On November 3, the justices will hear arguments in an appeal by the Archdiocese of Denver, and other Catholic entities, to be exempted of a Colorado program that funds preschools' nondiscrimination requirements. A lower court ruled that Colorado's program didn't violate the First Amendment rights of the Catholic plaintiffs. State funds are provided for preschools. The Catholic plaintiffs objected that the state required schools receiving funding through the program to give all children an "equal chance" to enroll in pre-school, regardless of certain characteristics. This included the sexual orientation of students and their families. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June. EPIC GAMES SUE AGAINST Apple Apple will try to avoid being found in contempt by the justices in its legal battle with Epic Games, the maker of "Fortnite". The iPhone maker had been found to be in violation of an order from a court ordering sweeping changes in its lucrative App Store as part the antitrust litigation. Apple appealed the ruling of a lower court that upheld a federal judge's decision in Oakland, California finding Apple in contempt for Epic's lawsuit against App Store fees. Dates for the arguments have not yet been announced. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June. PEPSICO TRADEMARK CASE The court will hear arguments regarding a claim by Rise Brewing, a maker of canned coffees, to hold PepsiCo responsible for an alleged trademark violation involving Pepsi’s morning energy beverage "Mtn Dew Rise." Rise Brewing appealed the ruling of a lower court that rejected the company's claim the name "Mtn Dew Rise," infringes on its trademarks, and confuses customers with its coffee brand. No date has been set for the arguments. The ruling is expected to be made by the end June.
Wanted: Volunteers who will host nuclear waste forever
The Trump Administration's plan to release a wave small futuristic reactors that will power the AI age relies on an ancient strategy to dispose the highly toxic waste. Bury it at the bottom a very deep pit.
There's still a problem. The hole is not very deep, but the temporary stockpiles of 100,000 tons of radioactive waster at nuclear plants and other sites in the United States keep growing.
The U.S. government is now offering a radioactive reward to resolve this dilemma.
According to a proposal released by the Department of Energy last week, states are being asked to offer to host a permanent geological storage facility for spent fuel. This repository will be part of a campus of new nuclear reactors, waste processing, uranium enlargement and data centers.
The request for information marks a major shift in policy. A spokesperson for DOE's Office of Nuclear Energy said that the plan to boost nuclear power is now accompanied by a requirement to find "a permanent home" for waste. This puts the decision-making in the hands of the local communities and could result in tens of millions of dollars of investment and thousands of new jobs.
Lake Barrett, a former U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission official and DOE employee, said, "By combining all of this together, it is a matter that big carrots are placed next to a less desirable waste facility." He said that states such as Tennessee and Utah have expressed an interest in investing in nuclear energy.
The Nuclear Office said that the request generated interest, but did not comment about individual states. States have 60 days to reply. Utah and Tennessee officials did not respond when contacted for comment.
The President Donald Trump is looking to quadruple the U.S. nuclear capacity by 2050 to 400 gigawatts as the electricity demand increases for the first decade thanks to artificial intelligence, the growth of data centers and the electrification in transport.
The DOE has selected 11 advanced nuclear test reactors for licensing on a fast track in 2025. It aims to build three pilots by the 4th of July this year.
According to the U.S., British and European Commission governments, the public's acceptance of nuclear power is partly based on the "promise" of burying the nuclear waste deeply underground.
The spokesperson for the Office of Nuclear Energy said that "a complete nuclear strategy must include durable, safe pathways for final disposal, and this remains a requirement element of the RFI."
Prior attempts to find a resolution have met with strong opposition locally.
The DOE began looking for a permanent facility to store waste in 1983. In 1987, it settled on Nevada's Yucca Mountain. Former President Barack Obama stopped funding the project in 2010 because Nevada legislators were concerned about safety, and how it would affect casinos and hotels. Nearly $15 billion had already been spent.
NEW REACTOR DESIGNS
Small modular reactors are being promoted by countries such as the United States, Britain Canada, China, and Sweden to accelerate the deployment nuclear power.
SMRs are attractive because they can be largely prefabricated in factories. This makes them easier to assemble and faster than larger reactors.
The new SMR designs will not solve the waste issue. Designers are not required to take into account waste from the start, but they do need to have a plan on how it will managed.
Seth Tuler is an associate professor at Worcester Polytechnic Institute. He was previously a member of the U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board.
According to a 2022 study published by the Proceedings of the?National Academy of Sciences, the majority of the new SMRs will produce the same amount of waste or more per unit of electricity as today's large nuclear reactors.
SMRs could also be located in areas that lack the infrastructure required for larger plants. This raises the possibility of many other nuclear sites becoming interim waste dumps. According to the U.S. Nuclear Power Regulator, the term "interim" in the United States can refer to more than a century after the reactor has closed.
We contacted nine companies that were behind the 11 SMR designs supported by DOE's Fast-Track programme. Some people said that nuclear waste was a problem for both the reactor operators and the government.
Some said that they hoped for technological advancements in the next decade to improve prospects for reprocessing, but they still agreed that a permanent repository is needed.
Reprocessing spent fuel, where uranium, plutonium, and other elements are separated and sometimes reused, is gaining interest due to the prospect of a second wave of nuclear reactors.
The spokesperson of the Nuclear Energy Office said that "modern technologies, especially advanced recycling and processing, can shrink the volume nuclear material that needs to be disposed," Reprocessing is not a substitute for permanent disposal.
However, nuclear security experts questioned whether the reprocessing process would be included on any of these new campuses.
Ross Matzkin Bridger, a former DOE official, said that "every time it has been tried, it has failed. It creates security risks and proliferation, costs are huge, and it complicates the waste management." He claimed that the few countries recycling fuel recycled between zero and 2%. This is far below the 90 percent promised.
A PERMANENT PROBLEM
Most waste is currently stored indefinitely on-site in the United States of America, Canada, Europe and Britain, initially in spent fuel pools for cooling, then in concrete or steel casks. France sends spent fuels to La Hague, Normandy, for reprocessing.
According to the DOE, the more than 90 reactors in the United States -- the largest nuclear power producer in the world ahead of China and France -- add about 2,000 tonnes of waste each year to the existing stockpiles.
Office of Nuclear Energy data indicates that by the end of 2024 U.S. tax payers will have paid $11.1 billion in compensation to utility companies for storing spent nuclear fuel. Some of this fuel can remain dangerous to humans for hundreds of thousand of years.
According to the British Government, the decommissioning of Scotland's Dounreay plant, where the last nuclear reactor closed in 1994 has been extended several times due to problems with waste handling. This is a sign that the industry will face many issues as old plants close.
As Dounreay is demolished, vast vaults will be filled with large metal containers containing low-level radioactive material.
Since the first commercial nuclear power plant in England went online in 1970, there has been a consensus that burying toxic wastes deep underground was the best option. However, no repository is currently in operation in any part of the world.
It takes time to get a repository operational. The government needs community support and geological studies to determine how the groundwater flows and the rock's stability up to 1,000 metres underground (1,090 yards).
Finland is the country that has made the greatest progress, and is on the verge of opening the first permanent nuclear repository to be located in the world in Olkiluoto. The process began in 1983.
Posiva, the Finnish firm behind the project began moving test?canisters over four hundred meters underground in 2024. It said its goal was to begin commercial operations in this year. However, it is still waiting for the Finnish Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority (Finnish Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority) to approve the operating license, which will then be followed by technical inspections.
After the system is up and running, separate tunnels underground will be filled with canisters of copper and steel housing waste and sealed forever.
Sweden started building its permanent repository on January 20, 2025. It aims to be operational by the end of 2030s. Canada has chosen a site to operate in Ontario by the end of 2040. Switzerland and France, too, have selected sites and plan to open their repositories around 2050. The UK is aiming for late 2050s but has not yet decided on a site.
In the interim, until a permanent repository is built in the country for high-level nuclear wastes from sites like Dounreay, they are sent to Sellafield (England) for storage.
Data centers are being built on some decommissioned nuclear sites including Dounreay. They're already connected to the grid and don't require a wait.
There is still a long way to go in the cleanup. The sea was contaminated with irradiated fuel decades ago, and a "minor fragment" of radioactive material was discovered on a local shore in January.
The last "significant particle" was found in April, and fishing has been banned within a radius of 2 kilometers (1.25 miles) of Dounreay’s outlet pipe due to radioactive particles.
The British government extended the deadline for cleaning up Dounreay from 2033 to 2070 last year.
(source: Reuters)